Arouca vs Vilafranquense betting preview: Visitors should struggle at Estádio Municipal de Arouca

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Competition: Portugal Segunda Liga
Competition: Sun 25.April
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (5600 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Arouca fans are optimistic that the difference between 6th and Vilafranquense's 15th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Arouca have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (9) in Segunda Liga
  • Vilafranquense have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

This stadium uses grass, unlike Vilafranquense's home stadium. The visitors last 41 games on grass have ended in 8 wins, 13 draws and 20 losses.

Vilafranquense are struggling to avoid relegation.

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Arouca form and stats

When playing at home in the Segunda Liga, Arouca, who have the fewest conceded goals (9) at home in Segunda Liga, have managed 7 wins, 4 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 14 games. Arouca has recorded two wins in a row here at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Arouca are confident in defense, having played 341 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

Before that, Arouca had a home game versus UD Oliveirense which ended with a victory 3-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Arouca matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, two draws and one defeat (from five games).

Arouca has scored 14 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. Arouca have only conceded 9 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Vilafranquense form and stats

Vilafranquense have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Segunda Liga, after 2-6-6 (14 played).

Home advantage was not enough for Vilafranquense in their previous game, as they lost their Segunda Liga-match, hosting Leixoes, 0-2. Prior to that match, the Vilafranquense manager J. Alves Ferreira Pinto faced defeat when travelling to Estoril and losing 1-3.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Vilafranquense playing away, we found six games. Results were two away wins, two draws and two home wins.

Vilafranquense find the net regularly in their away games. 14 goals from 14 away fixtures in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Vilafranquense's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 22 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Vilafranquense - Arouca 2-0 played earlier this season.

Arouca missing players

Vilafranquense missing players

Arouca Vilafranquense
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 4 14 29
13 7 2 Won W 0 2 4
9 4 2 Drew D 2 6 15
7 3 1 Lost L 2 6 10
33 14 8 Scored S 2 14 27
22 9 5 Conceded C 5 22 40
83% 79% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 86% 83%
55% 43% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 79% 72%
34% 29% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 57% 45%
14% 7% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 29% 28%
3% 7% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 3%
34% 29% 60% BTTS BTTS 50% 64% 55%
52% 57% 40% Clean Sheets C S 50% 21% 24%
31% 36% 20% Failed to Score F T 50% 29% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 1.9 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 3.7 3.3
4 2 1 Red cards R C 0 3 4
 
10 10.5 11.2 Shots (avg) S ( 8.8 8.1 8.2
3.8 3.4 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.8 2.6
30% 30% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 36% 36%
Key stats in Segunda Liga this season:
  • Arouca have the fewest conceded goals (9) at home in Segunda Liga
  • Arouca have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (9) in Segunda Liga
  • Arouca have the most clean sheets (8) at home in Segunda Liga
  • Vilafranquense have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Estoril 29 19 7 3 50 21 14 9 4 1 30 13 15 10 3 2 20 8 29 64
2 Vizela 28 14 10 4 46 30 14 9 4 1 22 12 14 5 6 3 24 18 16 52
3 Academica 29 14 10 5 37 23 14 7 4 3 18 13 15 7 6 2 19 10 14 52
4 Chaves 29 15 7 7 39 28 15 6 5 4 15 14 14 9 2 3 24 14 11 52
5 Feirense 29 15 6 8 37 25 15 8 3 4 19 14 14 7 3 4 18 11 12 51
6 Arouca 28 13 8 7 33 22 14 7 4 3 14 9 14 6 4 4 19 13 11 47
7 Penafiel 29 10 8 11 36 37 15 6 5 4 20 16 14 4 3 7 16 21 -1 38
8 Casa Pia 29 9 11 9 36 39 15 5 4 6 18 23 14 4 7 3 18 16 -3 38
9 Benfica II 28 10 6 12 45 37 14 8 2 4 25 14 14 2 4 8 20 23 8 36
10 Leixoes 29 9 9 11 30 34 14 6 4 4 17 16 15 3 5 7 13 18 -4 36
11 Mafra 29 9 7 13 30 41 14 6 4 4 17 19 15 3 3 9 13 22 -11 34
12 Sporting Covilha 28 7 10 11 27 32 14 4 6 4 17 17 14 3 4 7 10 15 -5 31
13 Cova Piedade 29 7 10 12 33 42 14 3 5 6 14 21 15 4 5 6 19 21 -9 31
14 Academico Viseu 29 7 8 14 26 39 14 3 4 7 10 19 15 4 4 7 16 20 -13 29
15 Vilafranquense 29 4 15 10 27 40 15 2 9 4 13 18 14 2 6 6 14 22 -13 27
16 Varzim 29 7 6 16 21 35 14 3 3 8 10 18 15 4 3 8 11 17 -14 27
17 UD Oliveirense 29 6 9 14 22 41 15 3 6 6 12 17 14 3 3 8 10 24 -19 27
18 Porto II 29 5 11 13 35 44 15 3 3 9 20 26 14 2 8 4 15 18 -9 26

Read more about Segunda Liga

The Segunda Liga, or LigaPro, is the second level of Portuguese football. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. The top two teams are promoted to the top level in Portugal (Primeira Liga) while the bottom two are relegated.