Primeira Liga prediction and preview: Vitória Setúbal modest favorites to beat Tondela

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Competition: Portugal Primeira Liga
Date: Mon 12.August
Match begins: 19:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio do Bonfim (18694 seats)

Vitória Setúbal and Tondela are ready to show off their new players and skills: It's their first game of the Primeira Liga season.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Vitória Setúbal form and stats

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Vitória Setúbal have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 2 times, drawn 3 and lost 2.

Last season, Vitória Setúbal's league statistics were 8 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses, resulting in a 13th position in the Primeira Liga. Over these 34 matches they scored 28 goals and conceded 39. Playing at home last season Vitória Setúbal managed 4-6-7 (win-draw-lost) with 13 goals and 18 conceded.

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Tondela form and stats

Tondela are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 15 matches.

Just as the home team, Tondela have been through a few friendly games in the intense training period that just finished. The results from these training matches are 0 Tondela wins, 0 draws and 1 loss.

Let's have a look at how Tondela performed last season in the Primeira Liga: They landed a 15th position in the league table after playing out 9 victories, 8 draws and 17 defeats. In total they scored 40 and conceded 54 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 2 - drew 5 and lost 10 with 18/30 goals scored/conceded.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 5 - 2 - 3 (Vitória Setúbal wins - draws - Tondela wins). As for goals, 5 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 5 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Vitória Setúbal missing players

Tondela missing players

Vitória Setúbal Tondela
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
1 1 0 Played 0 1 1
0 0 0 Won 0 0 0
1 1 0 Drew 0 1 1
0 0 0 Lost 0 0 0
0 0 0 Scored 0 0 0
0 0 0 Conceded 0 0 0
0% 0% 0% Over 0.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 0% 0%
100% 100% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Failed To Score 0% 100% 100%
 
0 0 0 Corners For (avg) 0 2 2
2 2 0 Corners Against (avg) 0 0 0
3 3 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 1 1
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Vitória Setúbal Last season Tondela
Total Home   Statistic   Away Total
34 17   Played   17 34
8 4   Won   2 9
12 6   Drew   5 8
14 7   Lost   10 17
28 13   Scored   18 40
39 18   Conceded   30 54
82% 82%   Over 0.5   94% 97%
65% 65%   Over 1.5   76% 76%
35% 29%   Over 2.5   53% 50%
9% 6%   Over 3.5   35% 29%
3% 0%   Over 4.5   18% 15%
47% 35%   BTTS   53% 56%
32% 35%   Clean Sheets   6% 12%
38% 47%   Failed To Score   47% 35%
 
5.4 5.7   Corners For (avg)   6.6 5.8
4.7 4.4   Corners Against (avg)   5.5 5.5
3 2.4   Yellow Cards (avg)   3.2 2.9
8 6   Red Cards   5 13
Key stats last season:
  • Tondela have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Vitória Setúbal
06-05-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 0 - 3 Boavista
12-05-19 PL Chaves 1 - 2 Vitória Setúbal
18-05-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 1 - 3 Rio Ave
03-08-19 LC Vitória Setúbal 1 - 0 Moreirense
12-08-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 19:15 Tondela
17-08-19 PL Porto 20:30 Vitória Setúbal
23-08-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 18:00 Moreirense
31-08-19 PL Gil Vicente 20:30 Vitória Setúbal
15-09-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 15:00 Sporting Braga
22-09-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 15:00 Portimonense
Tondela
11-05-19 PL Sporting CP 1 - 1 Tondela
19-05-19 PL Tondela 5 - 2 Chaves
13-07-19 CF Desportivo Aves 2 - 1 Tondela
03-08-19 LC Penafiel 1 - 0 Tondela
12-08-19 PL Vitória Setúbal 19:15 Tondela
19-08-19 PL Tondela 19:15 Portimonense
25-08-19 PL Marítimo 15:00 Tondela
01-09-19 PL Tondela 15:00 Santa Clara
15-09-19 PL Rio Ave 15:00 Tondela
22-09-19 PL Tondela 15:00 Vitória Guimarães

Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Benfica 34 28 3 3 103 31 17 14 2 1 63 17 17 14 1 2 40 14 72 87
2 Porto 34 27 4 3 74 20 17 15 0 2 41 9 17 12 4 1 33 11 54 85
3 Sporting CP 34 23 5 6 72 33 17 14 2 1 38 13 17 9 3 5 34 20 39 74
4 Sporting Braga 34 21 4 9 56 37 17 13 1 3 32 15 17 8 3 6 24 22 19 67
5 Vitória Guimarães 34 15 7 12 46 34 17 10 4 3 27 12 17 5 3 9 19 22 12 52
6 Moreirense 34 16 4 14 39 44 17 8 3 6 18 19 17 8 1 8 21 25 -5 52
7 Rio Ave 34 12 9 13 50 52 17 5 6 6 26 28 17 7 3 7 24 24 -2 45
8 Boavista 34 13 5 16 34 40 17 10 1 6 20 13 17 3 4 10 14 27 -6 44
9 Belenenses 34 10 13 11 42 51 17 6 5 6 25 26 17 4 8 5 17 25 -9 43
10 Santa Clara 34 11 9 14 43 45 17 5 5 7 24 26 17 6 4 7 19 19 -2 42
11 Portimonense 34 11 6 17 44 59 17 8 4 5 29 24 17 3 2 12 15 35 -15 39
12 Marítimo 34 12 3 19 26 44 17 8 2 7 17 17 17 4 1 12 9 27 -18 39
13 Vitória Setúbal 34 8 12 14 28 39 17 4 6 7 13 18 17 4 6 7 15 21 -11 36
14 Desportivo Aves 34 10 6 18 35 49 17 5 3 9 20 23 17 5 3 9 15 26 -14 36
15 Tondela 34 9 8 17 40 54 17 7 3 7 22 24 17 2 5 10 18 30 -14 35
16 Chaves 34 8 8 18 34 57 17 4 6 7 20 23 17 4 2 11 14 34 -23 32
17 Nacional 34 7 7 20 33 73 17 5 3 9 12 22 17 2 4 11 21 51 -40 28
18 Feirense 34 3 11 20 27 64 17 2 6 9 19 31 17 1 5 11 8 33 -37 20