Primeira Liga prediction and preview: Tondela modest favorites to beat Belenenses

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Competition: Portugal Primeira Liga
Date: Sun 01.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Joao Cardoso (5000 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the home supporters in this Estadio Joao Cardoso clash with Belenenses, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Primeira Liga table.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Tondela form and stats

When playing at home in the Primeira Liga, Tondela have managed 1 win, 1 draw and suffered 3 defeats from 5 games.

Tondela lost their last game at Pacos de Ferreira (placed 17th) after a 0-1 scoreline. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Sporting CP in a game that was won 1-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Tondela have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 0.

Tondela aren't scoring a lot here at Estadio Joao Cardoso in the league, with only 3 goals from 5 games. On the other hand, Tondela have conceded 6 goals.

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Belenenses form and stats

Belenenses have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Primeira Liga, after 1-2-3 (6 played). Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Belenenses's last three away games as they have all been lost.

Two away games in a row for Belenenses, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Chaves in the Taça De Portugal. A 0-2 defeat away at Sporting CP before that.

We have checked recent matches where Belenenses have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were W2-D7-L0.

The attacking power of Belenenses when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 6 league matches away. In the opposite end, Belenenses have conceded 11 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Tondela won 1, Belenenses won 5 and 4 draws. 5 games with over 2,5 goals, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

TondelaDenílson
Denílson
3 goals
TondelaRichard
Richard
2 goals
BelenensesLicá
Licá
2 goals

Tondela missing players

Belenenses missing players

Tondela Belenenses
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
11 5 1 Played P 3 6 11
4 1 0 Won W 0 1 3
3 1 0 Drew D 0 2 2
4 3 1 Lost L 3 3 6
11 3 1 Scored S 1 4 8
11 6 2 Conceded C 10 11 18
73% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 67% 82%
36% 40% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 64%
36% 40% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 36%
27% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 50% 36%
18% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 17% 18%
36% 40% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 33% 27%
45% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 27%
45% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 67% 64%
 
4.6 5 7 Corners For (avg) C F 3.3 4.3 4.4
5.6 6.2 3 Corners Against (avg) C A 6 6.7 5.5
2.5 2 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2.3 2.8
2 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
 
89 39 8 Total Shots T S 24 52 101
35 16 3 Shots on Target S O 8 17 31
31% 19% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 24% 26%
Key stats in Primeira Liga this season:
  • Belenenses have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Belenenses have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tondela have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benfica 11 10 0 1 25 4 6 5 0 1 14 2 5 5 0 0 11 2 21 30
2 Porto 11 9 1 1 22 5 5 5 0 0 13 0 6 4 1 1 9 5 17 28
3 Famalicão 11 7 3 1 23 16 5 4 1 0 13 7 6 3 2 1 10 9 7 24
4 Sporting CP 11 6 2 3 18 12 5 3 0 2 10 7 6 3 2 1 8 5 6 20
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 11 4 4 3 19 14 6 3 2 1 13 5 5 1 2 2 6 9 5 16
6 Tondela 11 4 3 4 11 11 5 1 1 3 3 6 6 3 2 1 8 5 0 15
7 Boavista 11 3 6 2 9 7 6 2 3 1 6 4 5 1 3 1 3 3 2 15
8 Rio Ave 11 4 3 4 15 13 6 2 2 2 10 8 5 2 1 2 5 5 2 15
9 Sporting Braga 11 4 3 4 14 15 5 2 2 1 9 9 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 15
10 Santa Clara 11 3 4 4 7 10 6 2 2 2 5 5 5 1 2 2 2 5 -3 13
11 Gil Vicente 11 3 4 4 9 12 6 2 4 0 6 3 5 1 0 4 3 9 -3 13
12 Vitoria Setubal 11 2 6 3 3 7 6 2 4 0 2 0 5 0 2 3 1 7 -4 12
13 Belenenses 11 3 2 6 8 18 5 2 0 3 4 7 6 1 2 3 4 11 -10 11
14 Maritimo 11 2 5 4 12 17 6 1 3 2 8 10 5 1 2 2 4 7 -5 11
15 Moreirense 11 2 5 4 13 15 5 2 2 1 7 4 6 0 3 3 6 11 -2 11
16 Portimonense 11 1 5 5 8 16 5 0 2 3 4 8 6 1 3 2 4 8 -8 8
17 Pacos de Ferreira 11 2 2 7 7 17 6 2 1 3 4 5 5 0 1 4 3 12 -10 8
18 Desportivo Aves 11 1 0 10 12 26 5 1 0 4 6 8 6 0 0 6 6 18 -14 3

Read more about Primeira Liga

The Primeira Liga, also known as Liga NOS, is the top level of football in Portugal. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. Portuguese football is dominated by “The Big Three”: Benfica, Porto and Sporting CP (Lisbon). These three clubs generally end up in the top three positions.