Sports bettors believe Sporting CP will beat Nacional at Estádio José Alvalade

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Competition: Portugal Primeira Liga
Competition: Sat 01.May
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio José Alvalade (50044 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Sporting CP leading Nacional by 49 points.

Insights:
  • Sporting CP have the fewest conceded goals (15) in Primeira Liga
  • Nacional have the the worst goal difference (-21) in Primeira Liga

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

The season is still full of potential for Sporting CP as they can still win the whole Primeira Liga. Nacional are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

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Sporting CP form and stats

Sporting CP, who have the fewest conceded goals (15) in Primeira Liga, have performed here at Estádio José Alvalade this season with 10 wins from 14 Primeira Liga matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 0. In general it's been a long time since Sporting CP tasted defeat here at Estádio José Alvalade, as they have taken at least one point from their last 14 home games in the league.

It's back home for Sporting CP, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Sporting Braga away with the result 1-0. Matheus Nunes found the net in that victory. In the match before that, Sporting CP hosted Belenenses and drew the game 2-2.

Sporting CP made it very difficult for themselves, when Gonçalo Inácio got a red card in the 18th minute. The match was still a draw at this point. But even with this card, Sporting CP won the match 1-0! Manager R. Marques Amorim felt very clever after Matheus Nunes scored the winning goal against Sporting Braga, having brought on that player as a substitute in the 46th minute.

Sporting CP are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found nine matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won eight, drew one and lost zero.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Sporting CP as they are travelling to their away game against Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga. That match is four days after this one.

A decent goal production from Sporting CP in their home games so far, with 26 goals from 14 league matches. Sporting CP have only conceded 9 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Nacional form and stats

There's been little loot from Nacional's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 14 away games in the Primeira Liga. Nacional, who have the the worst goal difference (-21) in Primeira Liga, only have 2 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 3 draws. Bitter travels for Nacional as they have lost five games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Boavista match.

Nacional go into this game after a win, the home game against Vitória SC that ended 1-0. Preceding that game, the 1-2 loss visiting Tondela's place.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Nacional played away with similar odds. This revealed one game. The visitors overcame the odds to win zero times, zero were draws and the home team won as expected one time.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Nacional as they have only managed to score 9 times from 14 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Nacional have conceded 22 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Nacional - Sporting CP 0-2 entered in the official records. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: eight wins for Sporting CP, two draws and zero wins for Nacional. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.

Top Goalscorers

Sporting CPP. Pereira Gonçalves
P. Pereira Gonçalves
17 goals
Sporting CPN. Gomes dos Santos
N. Gomes dos Santos
6 goals
Sporting CPS. Coates Nión
S. Coates Nión
5 goals

Sporting CP missing players

Nacional missing players

Sporting CP Nacional
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 3 Played P 5 14 29
22 10 1 Won W 0 2 6
7 4 2 Drew D 1 3 6
0 0 0 Lost L 4 9 17
52 26 3 Scored S 4 9 26
15 9 2 Conceded C 10 22 47
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 90%
76% 79% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 64% 69%
38% 43% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 43% 48%
21% 29% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 14% 21%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 14%
41% 50% 67% BTTS BTTS 80% 50% 55%
59% 50% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 29% 24%
3% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 36% 31%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.5 2.8 3.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.9 2.9
3 0 0 Red cards R C 0 3 4
 
13 12.7 15.7 Shots (avg) S ( 7.6 9.6 10.9
4.4 5.1 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3.3 3.8
41% 36% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 20% 24%
Key stats in Primeira Liga this season:
  • Nacional have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Nacional have the the worst goal difference (-21) in Primeira Liga
  • Nacional is in the worst form (0-0-5)
  • Sporting CP have not yet lost a game.
  • Sporting CP have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sporting CP have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Sporting CP have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Nacional have scored away.
  • Sporting CP have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Sporting CP have the fewest conceded goals (15) in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP have the fewest conceded goals (9) at home in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (6) in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP have the most clean sheets (17) in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP have the most matches under the total-line (19) in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP have the the best goal difference (+17) at home in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP have the the best goal difference (+37) in Primeira Liga
  • Sporting CP haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sporting CP 29 22 7 0 52 15 14 10 4 0 26 9 15 12 3 0 26 6 37 73
2 Porto 28 20 6 2 57 24 14 10 3 1 28 12 14 10 3 1 29 12 33 66
3 Benfica 29 19 6 4 56 21 15 11 2 2 26 11 14 8 4 2 30 10 35 63
4 Sporting Braga 29 18 4 7 49 29 15 10 2 3 24 13 14 8 2 4 25 16 20 58
5 Paços de Ferreira 29 13 6 10 34 35 14 9 2 3 21 16 15 4 4 7 13 19 -1 45
6 Vitória SC 29 11 5 13 31 37 14 6 1 7 17 22 15 5 4 6 14 15 -6 38
7 Santa Clara 29 10 6 13 34 32 14 5 4 5 18 13 15 5 2 8 16 19 2 36
8 Moreirense 28 8 11 9 28 35 14 3 8 3 18 20 14 5 3 6 10 15 -7 35
9 Belenenses 29 7 13 9 21 27 15 5 5 5 14 16 14 2 8 4 7 11 -6 34
10 Tondela 28 10 4 14 32 47 14 8 2 4 15 13 14 2 2 10 15 32 -15 34
11 Portimonense 28 9 5 14 32 36 14 6 3 5 19 15 14 3 2 9 13 21 -4 32
12 Gil Vicente 29 9 4 16 28 39 14 4 2 8 11 17 15 5 2 8 17 22 -11 31
13 Famalicão 28 7 9 12 32 41 14 2 6 6 13 22 14 5 3 6 17 17 -9 30
14 Maritimo 29 9 3 17 24 40 14 4 2 8 9 20 15 5 1 9 15 20 -16 30
15 Rio Ave 29 6 12 11 23 33 15 4 6 5 12 13 14 2 6 6 11 20 -10 30
16 Boavista 29 6 10 13 32 43 15 4 3 8 15 21 14 2 7 5 17 22 -11 28
17 Farense 28 6 7 15 26 36 14 3 4 7 15 17 14 3 3 8 11 19 -10 25
18 Nacional 29 6 6 17 26 47 15 4 3 8 17 25 14 2 3 9 9 22 -21 24

Read more about Primeira Liga

The Primeira Liga, also known as Liga NOS, is the top level of football in Portugal. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. Portuguese football is dominated by “The Big Three”: Benfica, Porto and Sporting CP (Lisbon). These three clubs generally end up in the top three positions.