Primeira Liga match prediction: Little separates Marítimo and Vitória SC in quality

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Competition: Portugal Primeira Liga
Competition: Sun 13.March
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio dos Barreiros (10932 seats)

It's only been seven days since Marítimo met Moreirense and the scoreline was 1-0. What happens vs Vitória SC?

Insights:
  • Vitória SC have won significantly less corners away then at home.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Marítimo form and stats

3-6-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Primeira Liga numbers at home for Marítimo so far this season.

Marítimo are returning here after visiting Moreirense and winning with a 1-0 scoreline. Costa scored the goal(s). The goalie Victor was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 7.93 out of ten. Victor topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that, Marítimo drew at home versus Sporting CP.

This is expected to be a close game, with Marítimo perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Marítimo as a small favourite), we find 13 games. Marítimo has won five of these, drawn five and lost three.

The Marítimo fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 14 in 12 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Marítimo are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio dos Barreiros in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 12 matches.

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Vitória SC form and stats

There's been little loot from Vitória SC's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 13 away games in the Primeira Liga. Vitória SC only have 2 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 4 draws. Three consecutive losses in away matches means Vitória are growing more and more desperate for a good performance on the road.

Vitória SC won their last game, 2-1 versus Famalicão played at home. Rochinha got a match rating of 7.62 in that game, top player of the team. Rochinha scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 4 of 6 times.

A 0-3 defeat away at Benfica before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Vitória SC playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were one Vitória win, two draws and two defeats.

The visitors have scored 12 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Vitória SC have conceded 19 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The squads have met each other already this season, with the final score Vitória SC - Marítimo 2-1 logged in the official records. Head to head data (for the last ten meetings): Marítimo won one game, three matches ended with a tie and Vitória SC got six wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six

Top Goalscorers

Vitória SCO. Estupiñán Vallesilla
O. Estupiñán Vallesilla
11 goals
MarítimoA. Alipour
A. Alipour
6 goals
MarítimoD. Tagueu Tadjo
D. Tagueu Tadjo
5 goals

Marítimo missing players

Vitória SC missing players

Marítimo Vitória SC
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
25 12 4 Played P 5 13 25
8 3 0 Won W 2 2 9
8 6 2 Drew D 2 4 6
9 3 2 Lost L 1 7 10
30 14 3 Scored S 5 12 35
32 11 6 Conceded C 4 19 34
88% 83% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 85% 88%
72% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 62% 72%
44% 25% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 54% 64%
16% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 23% 32%
12% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 15% 12%
56% 50% 75% BTTS BTTS 60% 54% 64%
32% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 20% 15% 16%
24% 33% 25% Failed to Score F T 40% 46% 32%
 
4 4.6 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 4.5 5.4
5.1 4.7 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.8 5.5
3.5 2.8 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4.2 3.8 3.6
7 3 0 Red cards R C 1 3 6
 
10.7 11.7 10 Shots (avg) S ( 11.6 11.8 13.7
3.6 3.5 2.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 3.2 4.2
34% 33% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 28% 29% 33%
 
14.6 13.4 13.8 Shots against (avg) S A 12.4 13 12
4.6 4.4 4.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.6 4.7 4.3
Key stats in Primeira Liga this season:
  • Vitória SC have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Porto 25 21 4 0 63 19 12 10 2 0 30 9 13 11 2 0 33 10 44 67
2 Sporting CP 25 19 4 2 49 16 13 11 1 1 24 5 12 8 3 1 25 11 33 61
3 Benfica 25 18 3 4 65 23 12 8 1 3 30 12 13 10 2 1 35 11 42 57
4 Sporting Braga 25 13 7 5 41 24 13 7 4 2 22 10 12 6 3 3 19 14 17 46
5 Gil Vicente 25 11 9 5 36 25 13 5 4 4 19 15 12 6 5 1 17 10 11 42
6 Vitória SC 25 9 6 10 35 34 12 7 2 3 23 15 13 2 4 7 12 19 1 33
7 Marítimo 25 8 8 9 30 32 12 3 6 3 14 11 13 5 2 6 16 21 -2 32
8 Estoril 25 7 10 8 28 30 12 2 6 4 15 17 13 5 4 4 13 13 -2 31
9 Portimonense 25 7 8 10 25 28 13 2 4 7 10 17 12 5 4 3 15 11 -3 29
10 Santa Clara 25 7 8 10 30 43 13 6 4 3 18 21 12 1 4 7 12 22 -13 29
11 Paços de Ferreira 25 6 9 10 22 31 13 3 5 5 14 18 12 3 4 5 8 13 -9 27
12 Famalicão 25 6 8 11 32 40 12 3 5 4 13 14 13 3 3 7 19 26 -8 26
13 Boavista 25 4 14 7 31 39 13 3 9 1 18 15 12 1 5 6 13 24 -8 26
14 Vizela 25 5 9 11 27 43 13 3 5 5 12 17 12 2 4 6 15 26 -16 24
15 Arouca 25 5 7 13 23 45 12 3 2 7 11 26 13 2 5 6 12 19 -22 22
16 Tondela 25 6 3 16 31 48 13 4 1 8 18 25 12 2 2 8 13 23 -17 21
17 Moreirense 25 4 8 13 23 40 12 3 3 6 15 17 13 1 5 7 8 23 -17 20
18 Belenenses 25 3 7 15 15 46 12 3 2 7 10 26 13 0 5 8 5 20 -31 16

Read more about Primeira Liga

The Primeira Liga, also known as Liga NOS, is the top level of football in Portugal. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. Portuguese football is dominated by “The Big Three”: Benfica, Porto and Sporting CP (Lisbon). These three clubs generally end up in the top three positions.