Estoril have 25 points running out as the host team. Arouca have brought back 14 points using the away locker rooms. Will this be a home win?
- Estoril have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Arouca is in the worst form (0-1-5)
Little time to rest for the host team, as they featured in a Primeira Liga match only four days back. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Vitoria Guimaraes.
Estoril form and stats
With 1 Primeira Liga win, 5 draws and 2 defeats from their home games, Estoril are certainly not brimming with confidence. It's trouble wherever Estoril are playing these days as they have suffered four straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways.
Estoril enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Vitoria Guimaraes's place. The match ended 1-3 with Franco scoring. The home team returns to Estádio António Coimbra da Mota after drawing with Vitoria Guimaraes (placed 6th) on their last time out; the game ended 1-3. In their previous game, the manager Pinheiro led his Estoril to a defeat away at Vitoria Guimaraes. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Midfielder Franco was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.15 (out of ten) in that game. Franco scored one goal, hit one key pass and had 20 successful passes (of 25 total).
Previous to that game, a home match hosting Porto in a game that was won 2-3. The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 2-3 versus Porto. Preceding that match was a defeat to Porto (2-3).The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Estoril have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won six times, drawn two and lost one.
The match schedule is unforgiving for Estoril as they have a new game in only four days, a Primeira Liga match thankfully also at home. Pacos de Ferreira are visiting.
Estoril has scored 11 league goals at home this season, in 8 matches. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Estoril have conceded 12 from these games. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.
Arouca form and stats
There's been little loot from Arouca's travels as they have only collected 4 points from 9 away games in the Primeira Liga. Arouca only have 0 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 4 draws. Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in ten away games in a row.
Arouca's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Benfica that finished 0-2. Arouca failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Benfica (placed 3rd) that ended with defeat 0-2. Arouca won their last game, 0-2 versus Benfica played at home.
Before that one, a nice away victory 1-2 at Belenenses. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Belenenses that ended 1-2. A 1-2 defeat away at Belenenses before that.Arouca are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, four draws and five defeats. From a total of nine matches.
The visitors will be packing their bags again in only four days as another away game awaits: The Primeira Liga trip to Famalicao.
The visitors have scored 7 goals from 9 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Arouca have conceded 15 goals in these games.
Head 2 Head
This was the end result when the teams faced each other previously this season; Arouca - Estoril 0-2. Estoril-Arouca H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Estoril four wins, Arouca four wins, two draws. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).Top Goalscorers
  A. Russo Franco 8 goals |  O. Dabbagh 4 goals | Chiquinho 3 goals |
Estoril missing players
Arouca missing players
| Estoril | Arouca | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | Played | P | 4 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | Won | W | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | Drew | D | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | Lost | L | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 24 | 11 | 2 | Scored | S | 4 | 7 | 17 |
| 22 | 12 | 2 | Conceded | C | 5 | 15 | 35 |
| 94% | 88% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 75% | 89% | 94% |
| 78% | 75% | 100% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 75% | 89% | 94% |
| 44% | 62% | 100% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 50% | 56% | 61% |
| 33% | 50% | 100% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 25% | 11% | 22% |
| 6% | 12% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 61% | 75% | 100% | BTTS | BTTS | 75% | 67% | 61% |
| 22% | 12% | 0% | Clean Sheets | C S | 25% | 11% | 11% |
| 22% | 25% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| 5.1 | 3.8 | 7 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 6.2 | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| 4.8 | 6.1 | 2 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 3.5 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| 3.3 | 3.4 | 3 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 4 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 10.9 | 9.9 | 11 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 16.8 | 12.4 | 11.9 |
| 3.8 | 3.2 | 4 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 4.8 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| 35% | 42% | 50% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| 13.4 | 13.6 | 8 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 8.8 | 12 | 11.5 |
| 3.8 | 4.5 | 5 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 3.5 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
- Arouca have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
- Arouca have yet to win a game away.
- Arouca is in the worst form (0-1-5)
- Estoril have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Estoril have won significantly less corners at home than away.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Porto | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | Benfica | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 52 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 36 | 44 |
| 4 | Sporting Braga | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 35 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 30 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
| 7 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Portimonense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Maritimo | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -15 | 20 |
| 11 | Boavista | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Vizela | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | Tondela | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 39 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -13 | 17 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -11 | 16 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -12 | 16 |
| 17 | Arouca | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -22 | 12 |
