Liga Portugal forecast and preview: Santa Clara moderate thought to subdue Portimonense

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Competition: Portugal Liga Portugal
Competition: Sat 20.May
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio de São Miguel (13277 seats)

Very important fight in the "wrong" end of the Liga Portugal, with both Santa Clara and Portimonense suffering more distress than glee. This game is a classic "six-pointer" with the hosting team at 18th and the visitors in 13th place.

Insights:
  • Santa Clara have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Portimonense have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Santa Clara are fighting like crazy to avoid relegation and desperately need points in this fixture. Portimonense is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Santa Clara form and stats

Santa Clara's results here at Estádio de São Miguel in the Liga Portugal have been very modest with 3 victories, 5 draws and 8 defeats. When Santa Clara hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Pacos de Ferreira, Santa Clara, Maritimo, Gil Vicente and Estoril), they have won 3 of 4 matches!

Santa Clara are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 3-5 away versus Sporting Braga. A goal frenzy last time out for Santa Clara, with a total of 8 goals in the match against Sporting Braga. Fun stuff to watch! The gifted forward Babi outperformed all the other players in that fixture and received a match rating of 8.15 out of 10. Babi scored two goals, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Ahead of that match, Santa won a home game hosting Gil Vicente (3-2).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Santa Clara handle that role? We have found 12 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 5 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat.

Santa Clara has scored 17 league goals at home this season, in 16 matches. Santa have conceded 29 from these games.

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Portimonense form and stats

Portimonense have only collected 13 points from their away games in the Liga Portugal, after 4-1-11 (16 played). When Portimonense is visiting a side on the bottom half, they have won 4 of 4 matches. Pacos de Ferreira, Maritimo, Gil Vicente, Estoril and Portimonense is teams we like to compare Santa Clara with.

Home advantage was not enough for Portimonense in their previous game as they lost hosting Benfica, 1-5. Portimonense lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 1-5 beating and focus on this one. It is probably bad news for Portimonense that their goalie Nakamura made seven saves in the Benfica fixture, but still could not prevent a beating. Pedrão got a match rating of 7.11 in that game, top player of the team. Pedrão scored one goal, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 31 successful passes (of 37 total).

Before that, Portimonense travelled to Casa Pia and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

We have checked recent matches where Portimonense have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 9 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 6 defeats.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 16 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Portimonense struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 26 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these parties get together this campaign, as the records show this recent match: Portimonense - Santa Clara 0-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Santa victories, five draws and two Portimonense wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

PortimonenseW. Ferreira dos Santos
W. Ferreira dos Santos
6 goals
Santa ClaraG. Silva Vieira
G. Silva Vieira
5 goals
Santa ClaraM. Barcelos da Silva
M. Barcelos da Silva
5 goals

Santa Clara missing players

Portimonense missing players

Santa Clara Portimonense
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
32 16 4 Played P 4 16 32
4 3 3 Won W 4 4 10
7 5 1 Drew D 0 1 4
21 8 0 Lost L 0 11 18
25 17 9 Scored S 7 11 25
55 29 5 Conceded C 1 26 45
91% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
66% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 50% 50%
53% 62% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 38%
25% 38% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 19%
6% 6% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 9%
50% 69% 100% BTTS BTTS 25% 25% 34%
12% 6% 0% Clean Sheets C S 75% 19% 25%
47% 31% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 56% 44%
 
4.3 4.4 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4.7 5.1
5.8 5.9 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.9 5.9
3.5 2.5 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.6 2.9
7 3 0 Red cards R C 0 3 4
 
10.8 11.3 11.8 Shots (avg) S ( 14.2 10.9 11.9
3.6 4.2 6.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 3.2 3.4
22% 25% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 22% 23%
 
13.8 13.2 14 Shots against (avg) S A 16.5 17.2 16.2
4.8 4.5 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.2 6.6 5.9
Key stats in Liga Portugal this season:
  • Portimonense have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Portimonense haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Santa Clara have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Santa Clara have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benfica 32 27 2 3 77 18 16 14 1 1 45 12 16 13 1 2 32 6 59 83
2 Porto 32 25 4 3 66 20 16 14 0 2 41 11 16 11 4 1 25 9 46 79
3 Sporting Braga 32 24 2 6 71 29 16 12 2 2 37 11 16 12 0 4 34 18 42 74
4 Sporting CP 32 22 4 6 67 29 16 13 1 2 40 10 16 9 3 4 27 19 38 70
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 32 15 5 12 33 36 16 9 3 4 17 12 16 6 2 8 16 24 -3 50
6 Arouca 31 13 9 9 33 35 16 9 2 5 21 17 15 4 7 4 12 18 -2 48
7 Chaves 32 12 10 10 34 35 16 6 5 5 19 17 16 6 5 5 15 18 -1 46
8 Famalicão 32 13 4 15 35 41 16 9 1 6 19 15 16 4 3 9 16 26 -6 43
9 Vizela 32 11 7 14 33 35 16 5 4 7 17 17 16 6 3 7 16 18 -2 40
10 Casa Pia 32 11 7 14 29 37 16 6 4 6 16 15 16 5 3 8 13 22 -8 40
11 Boavista 32 11 7 14 38 52 16 8 5 3 22 20 16 3 2 11 16 32 -14 40
12 Rio Ave 32 10 9 13 33 38 16 8 2 6 16 12 16 2 7 7 17 26 -5 39
13 Portimonense 32 10 4 18 25 45 16 6 3 7 14 19 16 4 1 11 11 26 -20 34
14 Gil Vicente 32 9 7 16 31 40 16 5 6 5 14 14 16 4 1 11 17 26 -9 34
15 Estoril 31 8 4 19 26 46 15 5 2 8 15 23 16 3 2 11 11 23 -20 28
16 Maritimo 32 6 5 21 30 60 16 5 3 8 20 23 16 1 2 13 10 37 -30 23
17 Pacos de Ferreira 32 5 5 22 23 58 16 2 2 12 10 32 16 3 3 10 13 26 -35 20
18 Santa Clara 32 4 7 21 25 55 16 3 5 8 17 29 16 1 2 13 8 26 -30 19

Read more about Liga Portugal

The Primeira Liga, also known as Liga NOS, is the top level of football in Portugal. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. Portuguese football is dominated by “The Big Three”: Benfica, Porto and Sporting CP (Lisbon). These three clubs generally end up in the top three positions.