Liga Portugal prediction: Home win expected when Porto takes on Paços de Ferreira

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Competition: Portugal Liga Portugal
Competition: Sat 05.November
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Do Dragão (50033 seats)

Porto are chasing the top table places while Paços de Ferreira are more nervous about steering clear of relegation. Who wins the prize?

Insights:
  • Porto have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Paços de Ferreira have the fewest scored goals (7) in Liga Portugal

The hosts Porto saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Champions League. This match was also played here at Estádio Do Dragão. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Paços de Ferreira have had more rest.

W D W L W

Porto form and stats

Porto have collected 12 points from their Liga Portugal home games so far after 4-0-1.

Porto's previous fixture was a Champions League game also played at home, finishing 2-1 against Atletico Madrid. The home team are looking to repeat that performance. The versatile forward Taremi outdid all others in that game and managed a match rating of 8.25 out of 10. Taremi scored one goal, hit four key passes and had 25 successful passes (of 31 total).

1-1 away at Santa Clara before that.

Everyone expects Porto to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found 6 games: 6 home wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Porto have won with at least two goals margin 6 times in similar situations.

There will be little rest for Porto after this match as they are travelling to Mafra for a Taça De Portugal game in only three days.

Porto are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Do Dragão in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 3 from 5 matches.

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Paços de Ferreira form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Liga Portugal travels is 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Paços de Ferreira, who have now gone eleven games without a victory.

Paços de Ferreira might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Maritimo proved too strong as Paços de Ferreira slumped to a 0-1 defeat in front of their own fans at Estádio da Capital do Móvel. Ferreira goalkeeper Jordi could take pride in a wonderful day versus Maritimo, but even with pulling off six saves the loss could not be helped.

Prior to that match, the Paços de Ferreira manager da Silva faced defeat when travelling to Famalicao and losing 1-2.

The attacking power of Paços de Ferreira when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 5 league matches away. Ferreira have conceded 8 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Porto have won all of the 4 latest games versus this team. Can they do it again?

The games between these teams have had a tendency to be aggressive, having seen 5 sending-offs from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

PortoM. Taremi
M. Taremi
5 goals
PortoEvanilson
Evanilson
4 goals
PortoW. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno
3 goals

Porto missing players

Paços de Ferreira missing players

Porto Paços de Ferreira
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
11 5 1 Played P 1 5 11
7 4 1 Won W 0 0 0
2 0 0 Drew D 0 1 2
2 1 0 Lost L 1 4 9
23 15 5 Scored S 2 4 7
8 3 1 Conceded C 3 8 20
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
82% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 60% 64%
45% 80% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 40% 45%
27% 40% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 20% 18%
18% 40% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 100% 20% 18%
45% 40% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 45%
45% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
9% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 55%
 
6.3 5.2 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3 5.2 5.6
3.5 4 4 Corners against (avg) C A 13 6.8 6
2 2.4 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.8 3.5
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 5
 
16.8 16.2 21 Shots (avg) S ( 3 8.4 11.3
5.9 6.2 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.8 3.6
35% 48% 71% Goal Efficiency G E 100% 29% 18%
 
8.1 9.6 9 Shots against (avg) S A 29 16 14.5
2.7 3.2 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 4.2 4
Key stats in Liga Portugal this season:
  • Paços de Ferreira have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Paços de Ferreira have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Paços de Ferreira have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Liga Portugal
  • Paços de Ferreira have the fewest scored goals (7) in Liga Portugal
  • Paços de Ferreira have yet to win a game.
  • Paços de Ferreira haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Paços de Ferreira is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Porto have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Porto have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Porto have scored more than double the goals of Paços de Ferreira.
  • Porto have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Porto haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benfica 11 10 1 0 29 5 6 6 0 0 23 5 5 4 1 0 6 0 24 31
2 Sporting Braga 11 8 1 2 27 10 5 3 1 1 11 4 6 5 0 1 16 6 17 25
3 Porto 11 7 2 2 23 8 5 4 0 1 15 3 6 3 2 1 8 5 15 23
4 Vitória SC 11 6 2 3 13 10 6 4 1 1 8 5 5 2 1 2 5 5 3 20
5 Casa Pia 11 6 2 3 11 8 6 3 1 2 4 2 5 3 1 1 7 6 3 20
6 Sporting CP 11 6 1 4 21 14 5 4 0 1 13 4 6 2 1 3 8 10 7 19
7 Boavista 11 5 2 4 13 18 6 3 2 1 8 8 5 2 0 3 5 10 -5 17
8 Estoril 11 4 4 3 12 10 5 1 2 2 5 7 6 3 2 1 7 3 2 16
9 Portimonense 11 5 1 5 9 11 6 3 1 2 5 5 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 16
10 Arouca 11 4 4 3 13 18 6 3 1 2 9 11 5 1 3 1 4 7 -5 16
11 Chaves 11 4 3 4 11 15 5 1 3 1 6 5 6 3 0 3 5 10 -4 15
12 Vizela 11 3 3 5 9 12 5 1 1 3 3 5 6 2 2 2 6 7 -3 12
13 Rio Ave 11 3 3 5 14 18 5 3 0 2 7 5 6 0 3 3 7 13 -4 12
14 Famalicao 11 3 1 7 10 16 5 3 0 2 7 5 6 0 1 5 3 11 -6 10
15 Santa Clara 11 2 3 6 8 12 6 1 3 2 6 7 5 1 0 4 2 5 -4 9
16 Gil Vicente 11 2 3 6 9 16 6 1 2 3 3 6 5 1 1 3 6 10 -7 9
17 Maritimo 11 1 2 8 8 26 5 0 1 4 4 8 6 1 1 4 4 18 -18 5
18 Paços de Ferreira 11 0 2 9 7 20 6 0 1 5 3 12 5 0 1 4 4 8 -13 2

Read more about Liga Portugal

The Primeira Liga, also known as Liga NOS, is the top level of football in Portugal. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. Portuguese football is dominated by “The Big Three”: Benfica, Porto and Sporting CP (Lisbon). These three clubs generally end up in the top three positions.