Ekstraklasa prediction and preview: Lech Poznan modest favorites to beat Lechia Gdansk

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Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Competition: Sun 23.February
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: INEA stadion (45830 seats)

It's advantage Lech Poznan so far with their 5th position in the Ekstraklasa table, welcoming Lechia Gdansk who are placed 6th.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Lech Poznań form and stats

Overall Ekstraklasa stats at home this season for Lech Poznań are 5-3-3 (wins-draw-losses).

Lech Poznań faced defeat in their previous match, away at Cracovia Kraków (1-2). The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Arka Gdynia.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Lech Poznań matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, one draw and one defeat (from three games).

Lech Poznań have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at INEA stadion with 21 goals in 11 league matches. Lech Poznań are not conceding a lot of goals here at INEA stadion in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 11 matches.

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Lechia Gdańsk form and stats

The visitors are W4-D3-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Ekstraklasa.

Lechia Gdańsk had fun at their own home (INEA stadion) last time out, beating Piast Gliwice 1-0. A 2-2 draw at Śląsk Wrocław's stadium before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Lechia Gdańsk playing away, we found three games. Results were one away win, one draw and one home win.

Lechia Gdańsk have scored 12 goals on their travels this season, from 10 away games in the league. Lechia Gdańsk have conceded 13 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2-1 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Lech Poznań victories, three draws and four Lechia Gdańsk wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Lech PoznańC. Gytkjær
C. Gytkjær
12 goals
Lechia GdańskF. Lopes Paixão
F. Lopes Paixão
9 goals
Lech PoznańK. Jóźwiak
K. Jóźwiak
5 goals

Lech Poznań missing players

Lechia Gdańsk missing players

Lech Poznań Lechia Gdańsk
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 3 10 22
9 5 3 Won W 1 4 9
7 3 1 Drew D 1 3 7
6 3 0 Lost L 1 3 6
37 21 11 Scored S 4 12 26
22 9 1 Conceded C 4 13 24
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 91%
91% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 70% 73%
59% 64% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 70% 50%
23% 27% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 20% 14%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
64% 45% 25% BTTS BTTS 67% 60% 55%
36% 55% 75% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 27%
9% 9% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 30% 27%
 
6.8 7.6 5.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5 5.6 5.4
4.8 4 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 6 5.5
1.7 1.7 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 3.2 2.6
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 3 3
 
305 163 55 Total Shots T S 25 96 235
139 77 26 Shots on Target S O 8 41 94
27% 27% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 29% 28%
Key stats in Ekstraklasa this season:
  • Lech Poznań have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lech Poznań have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Lechia Gdańsk have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Legia Warszawa 22 13 3 6 45 23 11 8 1 2 30 9 11 5 2 4 15 14 22 42
2 Cracovia Kraków 22 13 3 6 32 17 12 9 1 2 21 7 10 4 2 4 11 10 15 42
3 Pogoń Szczecin 22 11 6 5 25 18 11 5 3 3 12 8 11 6 3 2 13 10 7 39
4 Śląsk Wrocław 22 9 9 4 29 23 11 5 5 1 20 17 11 4 4 3 9 6 6 36
5 Lech Poznań 22 9 7 6 37 22 11 5 3 3 21 9 11 4 4 3 16 13 15 34
6 Lechia Gdańsk 22 9 7 6 26 24 12 5 4 3 14 11 10 4 3 3 12 13 2 34
7 Piast Gliwice 22 10 4 8 24 22 11 7 2 2 15 9 11 3 2 6 9 13 2 34
8 Wisła Płock 22 9 4 9 27 35 11 6 2 3 18 13 11 3 2 6 9 22 -8 31
9 Jagiellonia Białystok 22 8 6 8 31 29 11 6 2 3 18 10 11 2 4 5 13 19 2 30
10 Raków Częstochowa 22 9 2 11 26 34 11 6 1 4 16 14 11 3 1 7 10 20 -8 29
11 Zagłębie Lubin 22 8 4 10 31 31 11 5 3 3 19 12 11 3 1 7 12 19 0 28
12 Górnik Zabrze 22 6 9 7 26 27 11 6 4 1 19 9 11 0 5 6 7 18 -1 27
13 Wisła Kraków 22 7 2 13 26 35 10 5 0 5 14 8 12 2 2 8 12 27 -9 23
14 Korona Kielce 22 6 5 11 12 24 11 4 2 5 8 8 11 2 3 6 4 16 -12 23
15 Arka Gdynia 22 5 6 11 17 31 10 2 5 3 7 10 12 3 1 8 10 21 -14 21
16 ŁKS Łódź 22 4 3 15 21 40 11 3 2 6 13 16 11 1 1 9 8 24 -19 15

Read more about Ekstraklasa

The Ekstraklasa, which carries the sponsorship name Lotto Ekstraklasa, is the top football league in Poland. It has 16 teams playing each other home and away to decide a regular season league table. The top eight teams then play a championship round while the bottom eight play a relegation round.