Eliteserien match prediction: Little separates Brann and Odd in quality

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Competition: Norway Eliteserien
Date: Fri 08.November
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brann Stadion (17317 seats)

Brann will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 12 points behind Odd.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Eliteserien.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Odd have a different surface at their stadium (artificial turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 1-6-5 (win-draw-loss) from twelve matches.

Brann are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. Odd are still fighting for the big positions at the top of the table.

L D D D D

Brann form and stats

4 victories, 6 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Brann, who have the fewest conceded goals (26) in Eliteserien, have to build on here at Brann Stadion in the Eliteserien. The home fans are hungry for more even though Brann have been steadily collecting points here at Brann Stadion through three straight draws.

In their previous game, the manager L. Nilsen led his Brann to a defeat in the Eliteserien match away at Vålerenga. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Brann Stadion. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Bodø / Glimt that ended 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Brann perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Brann as a small favourite), we find two games. Brann has won 0 of these, drawn 0 and lost 2.

Brann have scored 12 league goals here from 13 matches, not a lot. From these home matches, Brann have conceded only 11 goals.

W L D L D

Odd form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Odd so far with only 13 points returning home. The records show 3-4-6 (win-draw-lose).

Odd are travelling after their nice 3-2 home win in the Eliteserien against Mjøndalen (placed 15th). Preceding that, the 0-3 home loss versus Haugesund.

It's hard not to mention Torgeir Børven's lethal finishing against Mjøndalen. 3 goals was a big reason for the three points.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found seven similar matches played by Odd in our archives, and the results are: 0 wins for Odd, 2 draws and 5 defeats.

Odd are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 13 away goals from 13 games (in the league). Odd have conceded 21 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Odd - Brann 3-2. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Brann won 4 games, 2 matches ended with a draw and Odd has 4 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 4 / 6

Top Goalscorers

OddT. Børven
T. Børven
20 goals
BrannD. Bamba
D. Bamba
6 goals
BrannV. Wormgoor
V. Wormgoor
5 goals

Brann missing players

Odd missing players

Brann Odd
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 13 3 Played P 3 13 27
9 4 0 Won W 0 3 14
10 6 2 Drew D 2 4 7
8 3 1 Lost L 1 6 6
30 12 1 Scored S 1 13 42
26 11 2 Conceded C 2 21 34
85% 77% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 92% 96%
63% 54% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 85% 85%
41% 31% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 46% 56%
11% 8% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 23% 30%
7% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 15% 15%
59% 54% 33% BTTS BTTS 33% 46% 59%
26% 31% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 15% 22%
30% 38% 67% Failed to Score F T 67% 46% 22%
 
6.3 7.6 7 Corners For (avg) C F 1.7 3.7 4.6
4.1 3.8 7.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.3 4.6 4.3
1.2 0.6 0.3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.3
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Brann have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Odd have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Molde 27 18 5 4 60 27 13 11 2 0 33 8 14 7 3 4 27 19 33 59
2 Bodø / Glimt 27 14 9 4 57 37 14 9 4 1 36 12 13 5 5 3 21 25 20 51
3 Odd 27 14 7 6 42 34 14 11 3 0 29 13 13 3 4 6 13 21 8 49
4 Rosenborg 27 12 9 6 45 35 13 9 3 1 28 12 14 3 6 5 17 23 10 45
5 Viking 27 12 7 8 48 38 14 9 3 2 30 13 13 3 4 6 18 25 10 43
6 Kristiansund 27 10 8 9 36 36 13 7 4 2 26 14 14 3 4 7 10 22 0 38
7 Brann 27 9 10 8 30 26 13 4 6 3 12 11 14 5 4 5 18 15 4 37
8 Haugesund 27 7 12 8 38 35 13 3 6 4 17 16 14 4 6 4 21 19 3 33
9 Vålerenga 27 8 9 10 37 39 14 6 4 4 21 16 13 2 5 6 16 23 -2 33
10 Stabæk 27 8 9 10 30 32 14 4 7 3 16 12 13 4 2 7 14 20 -2 33
11 Lillestrøm 27 7 8 12 30 42 13 5 4 4 15 16 14 2 4 8 15 26 -12 29
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 5 13 9 29 35 14 4 8 2 17 15 13 1 5 7 12 20 -6 28
13 Tromsø 27 8 4 15 37 55 13 5 3 5 22 17 14 3 1 10 15 38 -18 28
14 Strømsgodset 27 6 8 13 33 49 14 5 3 6 23 28 13 1 5 7 10 21 -16 26
15 Mjøndalen 27 4 12 11 32 47 13 3 6 4 18 21 14 1 6 7 14 26 -15 24
16 Ranheim 27 6 6 15 31 48 14 3 2 9 19 29 13 3 4 6 12 19 -17 24

Odd:
Eliteserien:
Norway: