Experts' prediction: Crusaders set to get maximum points from Warrenpoint Town visit

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Date: Wed 01.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Milltown Playing Fields (1280 seats)

Season ticket holders at Milltown Playing Fields haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Warrenpoint Town languishing in the 12th position so far. The guesting Crusaders will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Warrenpoint Town form and stats

Warrenpoint Town's struggle is real here at Milltown Playing Fields with only 9 points collected from 11 Premiership games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 3-0-8. Warrenpoint Town are very eager to stop a potential losing streak at Milltown Playing Fields, having lost their two previous games here.

Warrenpoint Town drew their last game, 1-1 away at Glenavon (placed 7th). In the game before, an away victory match versus Institute with a 1-0 scoreline.

No one expects the home team to get anything from this game. It's not often a home team are such massive outsiders as in this game. We've searched our database for matches where Warrenpoint Town had similar winning odds as today, and found five games. In these, the hosts won 1, drew 0 and lost 4. Betting people looking at handicaps might be interested to know that Warrenpoint Town lost 2 similar games by at least two goals.

Warrenpoint Town has scored 12 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. Neutralizing the opposition is a challenge, Warrenpoint Town having conceded 28 goals here at Milltown Playing Fields so far.

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Crusaders form and stats

5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss. That’s the product of Crusaders, who have the most scored goals (53) in Premiership, playing as the away team in the Premiership this season. Crusaders are enjoying a nice run from their away games now, having played eight in a row without losing.

Crusaders won their last game, 5-0 versus Dungannon Swifts played at home. A 1-2 loss hosting Cliftonville before that.

As mentioned above, Crusaders was the only team on the pitch versus Dungannon Swifts in their previous game, winning 5-0. This could be a tougher task.

Again, the away team are huge favourites in this match and any other result would be an upset. We checked our Tipsway database for earlier, recent games with Crusaders given similar win odds in an away game. This check revealed three matches with 3 wins as expected, 0 draws and 0 surprise home wins. The favourites won 2 of these games by at least two goals.

Crusaders have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 25 goals from 11 away matches. 11 goals have been conceded by Crusaders in these games.

Head 2 Head

Warrenpoint Town and Crusaders have met before this season: Warrenpoint Town - Crusaders 0-1. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Warrenpoint Town won 0 games, 1 match ended with a draw and Crusaders has 9 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 8 / 2

Top Goalscorers

CrusadersJ. McGonigle
J. McGonigle
9 goals
CrusadersP. Heatley
P. Heatley
8 goals
CrusadersJ. Owens
J. Owens
8 goals

Warrenpoint Town missing players

Crusaders missing players

Warrenpoint Town Crusaders
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 11 23
4 3 1 Won W 3 5 12
1 0 0 Drew D 0 5 7
18 8 2 Lost L 0 1 4
16 12 3 Scored S 15 25 53
65 28 6 Conceded C 2 11 23
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 96%
87% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 82% 83%
70% 73% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 45% 57%
52% 55% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 45% 43%
17% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 27% 26%
39% 55% 67% BTTS BTTS 67% 64% 52%
4% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 36% 39%
57% 45% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 9% 13%
 
3.4 3.4 3.7 Corners For (avg) C F 6 5 4.7
7.4 5.6 4 Corners Against (avg) C A 1.5 3 3.5
1.4 1.8 0.3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.8 1.9
1 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
 
98 54 13 Total Shots T S 50 107 265
35 20 2 Shots on Target S O 23 46 114
43% 60% 150% Goal Efficiency G E 39% 37% 36%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Crusaders has the most dropped points from leading position (16)
  • Crusaders has the most scored goals (25) away
  • Crusaders has the most scored goals (53)
  • Crusaders has the most scored goals in the second half (33)
  • Crusaders has the the best goal difference (+30)
  • Crusaders have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Crusaders have scored more than double the goals of Warrenpoint Town.
  • Warrenpoint Town has the fewest scored goals (16)
  • Warrenpoint Town has the fewest scored goals in the first half (5)
  • Warrenpoint Town has the most conceded goals (65)
  • Warrenpoint Town has the most conceded goals in the first half (31)
  • Warrenpoint Town has the the worst goal difference (-49)
  • Warrenpoint Town have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Warrenpoint Town have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Warrenpoint Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Warrenpoint Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Warrenpoint Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cliftonville 22 15 2 5 39 15 10 7 0 3 16 6 12 8 2 2 23 9 24 47
2 Linfield 21 14 2 5 43 16 10 8 1 1 27 7 11 6 1 4 16 9 27 44
3 Coleraine 23 12 8 3 48 22 12 7 5 0 26 8 11 5 3 3 22 14 26 44
4 Glentoran 22 13 5 4 47 25 11 8 2 1 28 9 11 5 3 3 19 16 22 44
5 Crusaders 23 12 7 4 53 23 12 7 2 3 28 12 11 5 5 1 25 11 30 43
6 Larne 22 8 8 6 39 22 11 2 6 3 21 13 11 6 2 3 18 9 17 32
7 Glenavon 22 8 3 11 35 50 12 6 3 3 21 15 10 2 0 8 14 35 -15 27
8 Ballymena United 23 7 5 11 30 36 11 4 3 4 17 16 12 3 2 7 13 20 -6 26
9 Carrick Rangers 22 8 1 13 28 32 11 4 0 7 14 17 11 4 1 6 14 15 -4 25
10 Dungannon Swifts 22 5 3 14 25 64 11 4 2 5 16 25 11 1 1 9 9 39 -39 18
11 Institute 23 2 7 14 18 51 12 1 2 9 8 31 11 1 5 5 10 20 -33 13
12 Warrenpoint Town 23 4 1 18 16 65 11 3 0 8 12 28 12 1 1 10 4 37 -49 13