Premiership match prediction: Little separates Larne and Crusaders in quality

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Date: Mon 11.November
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Inver Park (1100 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Larne have their presumed home advantage while Crusaders are ahead 9 points in the Premiership table.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Larne form and stats

Larne have collected 8 points from their Premiership home games so far after 2-2-2.

Larne are returning here after visiting Ballymena United in a Premiership game and winning with a 3-0 scoreline. In the match before that, Larne hosted Institute and drew the game 1-1.

Larne are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at Inver Park in their league games, having scored an impressive 17 goals in 6 attempts. On the other hand, Larne have conceded 8 goals.

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Crusaders form and stats

As the visiting team in Premiership matches, Crusaders, who have the most scored goals (35) in Premiership, have produced an overall stat of 2-2-1 so far. Two points from the last two away games for Crusaders, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

There were no winners in Crusaders's previous match, a Premiership home game that ended 1-1 vs Institute (placed 11th). Ahead of that match was the victory versus Ballymena United at their stadium, the result 2-1.

The schedule is very tough for Crusaders now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Premiership game at Carrick Rangers is waiting in only four days.

Crusaders create on average more than 2,5 goals per away game (in the league) all by themselves, having scored 13 goals in 5 travels. Crusaders have conceded 7 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Crusaders - Larne 2-2 entered in the official records. Head-to-head totals (for the last six meetings): Larne won 1 game, 2 matches ended with a draw and Crusaders has 3 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 5 / 1

Top Goalscorers

LarneM. Donnelly
M. Donnelly
7 goals
CrusadersP. Heatley
P. Heatley
7 goals
LarneJ. McMurray
J. McMurray
6 goals

Larne missing players

Crusaders missing players

Larne Crusaders
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 6 0 Played P 1 5 14
5 2 0 Won W 0 2 8
4 2 0 Drew D 1 2 4
4 2 0 Lost L 0 1 2
29 17 0 Scored S 1 13 35
15 8 0 Conceded C 1 7 16
85% 83% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
77% 83% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 93%
69% 67% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 60% 64%
46% 67% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 60% 50%
38% 67% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 29%
54% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 50%
38% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 40% 43%
23% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 7%
 
4.5 5.7 0 Corners For (avg) C F 0 3.8 3.8
4.1 3.5 0 Corners Against (avg) C A 0 1.8 2.6
1.5 1.5 0 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0 1.2 1.9
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • All of Crusaders's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Crusaders have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Crusaders have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Crusaders have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded away.
  • Crusaders haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Larne have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Larne have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Coleraine 14 9 5 0 33 9 7 4 3 0 14 3 7 5 2 0 19 6 24 32
2 Cliftonville 14 10 1 3 28 9 6 4 0 2 10 4 8 6 1 1 18 5 19 31
3 Crusaders 14 8 4 2 35 16 9 6 2 1 22 9 5 2 2 1 13 7 19 28
4 Linfield 12 9 0 3 32 9 7 6 0 1 24 6 5 3 0 2 8 3 23 27
5 Glentoran 14 8 2 4 29 20 7 5 1 1 16 7 7 3 1 3 13 13 9 26
6 Larne 13 5 4 4 29 15 6 2 2 2 17 8 7 3 2 2 12 7 14 19
7 Ballymena United 13 4 4 5 20 21 6 2 2 2 9 8 7 2 2 3 11 13 -1 16
8 Dungannon Swifts 14 4 2 8 16 35 7 3 1 3 10 15 7 1 1 5 6 20 -19 14
9 Carrick Rangers 13 4 0 9 11 21 7 2 0 5 4 11 6 2 0 4 7 10 -10 12
10 Glenavon 12 3 2 7 16 32 6 2 2 2 9 10 6 1 0 5 7 22 -16 11
11 Institute 13 1 4 8 10 30 6 0 1 5 4 19 7 1 3 3 6 11 -20 7
12 Warrenpoint Town 14 1 0 13 8 50 6 1 0 5 7 21 8 0 0 8 1 29 -42 3