Premiership preview: Can Larne edge out victory against Coleraine?

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Competition: Fri 08.April
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Inver Park (1100 seats)

Happy home supporters, the away team claims the win or an exciting draw? It's all up in the air when the mid-table inhabitants Larne and Coleraine duel at Inver Park.

Insights:
  • Larne have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Coleraine have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

L D D D W

Larne form and stats

7 victories, 5 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Larne have to build on here at Inver Park in the Premiership.

The Larne club members got no joy from their last match, also played here at Inver Park: A 1-3 defeat against Ballymena United.

1-1 away at Carrick Rangers before that.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Larne have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won five times, drawn three and lost two.

The Larne fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 26 goals in 17 league matches.

L W L L L

Coleraine form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Coleraine so far with only 16 points returning home. The records show 4-4-8 (win-draw-lose).

Coleraine's previous game was their home loss versus Glenavon (2-3).

Preceding that game was the away victory against Warrenpoint Town with the score of 5-2.

Coleraine are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, five draws and four defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Coleraine have scored 23 goals in 16 league games away. Coleraine have conceded 21 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Coleraine - Larne 1-1 was the outcome when this pair of contenders previously played each other, earlier this season. Larne-Coleraine H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Larne two wins, Coleraine five wins, three draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

ColeraineM. Shevlin
M. Shevlin
11 goals
LarneD. McDaid
D. McDaid
10 goals
LarneL. Lynch
L. Lynch
8 goals

Larne missing players

Coleraine missing players

Larne Coleraine
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
33 17 3 Played P 2 16 33
15 7 1 Won W 0 4 13
8 5 1 Drew D 0 4 9
10 5 1 Lost L 2 8 11
56 26 5 Scored S 1 23 50
38 17 6 Conceded C 3 21 32
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 85%
79% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 75% 79%
58% 47% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 45%
30% 24% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 18%
15% 12% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 19% 12%
61% 53% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 44% 39%
27% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 31% 45%
15% 24% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 38% 30%
 
6.2 7.1 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 9 6.2 6
3.4 3.2 5 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.4 4.6
2 2.1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.9 1.7
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
10.3 10.7 9.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 9 9.5
5.3 4.8 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 4.4 4.3
31% 30% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 33% 35%
 
5.6 4.6 6 Shots against (avg) S A 6.5 9 8.2
2.7 2.3 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 3.9 3.3
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Coleraine have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Larne have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Linfield 33 22 8 3 62 22 16 12 4 0 31 7 17 10 4 3 31 15 40 74
2 Cliftonville 33 22 7 4 54 24 16 13 1 2 29 11 17 9 6 2 25 13 30 73
3 Glentoran 33 21 6 6 64 34 16 10 2 4 34 20 17 11 4 2 30 14 30 69
4 Crusaders 33 19 4 10 47 28 16 9 3 4 22 11 17 10 1 6 25 17 19 61
5 Larne 33 15 8 10 56 38 17 7 5 5 26 17 16 8 3 5 30 21 18 53
6 Coleraine 33 13 9 11 50 32 17 9 5 3 27 11 16 4 4 8 23 21 18 48
7 Glenavon 33 12 9 12 46 44 16 6 2 8 19 24 17 6 7 4 27 20 2 45
8 Ballymena United 33 13 5 15 38 46 16 8 4 4 24 19 17 5 1 11 14 27 -8 44
9 Dungannon Swifts 33 9 1 23 40 81 17 4 1 12 22 42 16 5 0 11 18 39 -41 28
10 Carrick Rangers 33 6 7 20 33 62 17 4 4 9 18 28 16 2 3 11 15 34 -29 25
11 Portadown 33 5 9 19 28 63 17 3 7 7 16 22 16 2 2 12 12 41 -35 24
12 Warrenpoint Town 33 3 3 27 30 74 17 2 0 15 20 48 16 1 3 12 10 26 -44 12