Premiership forecast and data: Larne moderate expected to get the better of Cliftonville

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Competition: Sat 18.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Inver Park (1100 seats)

A key match in Premiership as both participants are struggling for the top league positions. With Larne in 1st position and Cliftonville at 2nd, this promises to be a thriling battle. Read on to find out more!

Insights:
  • Larne have the fewest conceded goals (15) in Premiership

This ground has grass, which is not Cliftonville's familiar surface at their own pitch. When playing on grass Cliftonville have performed like this: Played 43 matches resulting in 22 wins, 11 draws and 10 defeats with the goal data 67-50 (scored/conceded).

It's no vacation for neither Larne nor Cliftonville as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Larne form and stats

Larne are steadily winning Premiership games and points here at Inver Park. 9 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 13 games.

The Larne goalkeeper is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 555 minutes without conceding a goal in the Premiership.

The home supporters saw a 0-0 draw versus Cliftonville last time out and are looking for a win here.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Dungannon Swifts and winning 3-0.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Larne handle that role? We have found 13 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 8 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat.

It should be considered that a look at the 13 most recent league matches shows that 12 of them qualified as a both teams not to score result (only one or none of the teams scored a goal).

As for guarding their own goal, Larne have only let in {4 goals} at home. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Cliftonville form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Premiership travels is 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats.

Cliftonville are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 0-0 draw at Larne (placed 1st).

A home win before that, celebrating 3-0 vs Portadown.

We have checked recent matches where Cliftonville have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 0 victories, 2 draws and 4 defeats.

Cliftonville have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 14 league away games 20 goals have been scored. Cliftonville's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 23 goals from these trips. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The previous head-to-head encounter ended Cliftonville - Larne 2-1, earlier this season. Previous ten meetings involving these participants: Larne won three, Cliftonville were winners in four and we saw three draws. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

LarneL. Bonis
L. Bonis
11 goals
LarneP. O'Neill
P. O'Neill
11 goals
CliftonvilleR. Hale
R. Hale
11 goals

Larne missing players

Cliftonville missing players

Larne Cliftonville
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 14 2 Played P 4 15 29
18 9 1 Won W 1 7 18
6 4 0 Drew D 1 3 6
4 1 1 Lost L 2 5 5
48 26 2 Scored S 5 20 53
15 4 2 Conceded C 6 23 33
82% 71% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 87% 90%
64% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 69%
43% 43% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 60% 62%
21% 21% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 40% 45%
11% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 20% 21%
21% 14% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 47% 45%
68% 79% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 33% 45%
29% 36% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 21%
 
5.8 5.8 4.5 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 4.3 4.3
3.4 3.2 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 3.9 3.6
2 2.2 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.3 1.4
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
10.3 10.3 9.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9 9.4 10.1
4.7 4.8 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 4.3 5.3
35% 42% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 45% 31% 34%
 
4.5 3.7 6 Shots against (avg) S A 9.2 8.7 7.5
1.7 1.4 1.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 4.1 3.5
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Larne have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Larne have the fewest conceded goals (15) in Premiership
  • Larne have the fewest conceded goals (4) at home in Premiership
  • Larne have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in Premiership
  • Larne have the fewest matches over the total-line (12) in Premiership
  • Larne have the most clean sheets (10) at home in Premiership
  • Larne have the most clean sheets (18) in Premiership

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Larne 27 18 5 4 48 15 13 9 3 1 26 4 14 9 2 3 22 11 33 59
2 Cliftonville 28 18 5 5 53 33 14 11 3 0 33 10 14 7 2 5 20 23 20 59
3 Linfield 28 17 4 7 54 25 13 8 3 2 23 11 15 9 1 5 31 14 29 55
4 Coleraine 28 16 6 6 49 23 15 9 3 3 27 13 13 7 3 3 22 10 26 54
5 Crusaders 28 16 5 7 56 33 14 12 1 1 38 10 14 4 4 6 18 23 23 53
6 Glentoran 26 16 3 7 52 18 12 9 0 3 31 6 14 7 3 4 21 12 34 51
7 Ballymena United 27 9 4 14 29 40 14 6 3 5 19 16 13 3 1 9 10 24 -11 31
8 Carrick Rangers 26 9 4 13 34 47 14 7 2 5 22 20 12 2 2 8 12 27 -13 31
9 Glenavon 26 7 7 12 43 51 15 6 3 6 28 30 11 1 4 6 15 21 -8 28
10 Newry City AFC 28 6 2 20 25 52 14 4 1 9 15 22 14 2 1 11 10 30 -27 20
11 Dungannon Swifts 29 6 2 21 19 66 14 5 1 8 12 22 15 1 1 13 7 44 -47 20
12 Portadown 27 1 3 23 9 68 12 1 2 9 5 28 15 0 1 14 4 40 -59 6