Home advantage could prove decisive in Dungannon Swifts - Portadown battle

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Competition: Sat 20.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stangmore Park (5000 seats)

Dungannon Swifts are welcoming Portadown for another important game after their 0-2 result against 1st-placed Linfield.

Insights:
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals (14) in Premiership
  • Portadown have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Premiership. That game was an away game at Linfield, so at least Dungannon are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

Portadown have already sealed their fate; they will finish in 10th place no matter what happens.

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Dungannon Swifts form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Premiership this season. Dungannon Swifts, who have the fewest scored goals (14) in Premiership, have only managed 2 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from their games here at Stangmore Park. Dungannon are slowly digging their own grave here at Stangmore Park with the depressing streak of not having won a home league game in eight attempts. The last victory here came in the Coleraine match. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Dungannon Swifts with their six defeats in a row. Not since the Warrenpoint Town game, 31 days ago, have they avoided a loss.

Dungannon haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 216 minutes ago. D. Wilson scored that one.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Dungannon have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won six times, drawn one and lost one.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Crusaders are coming to town in three days.

Dungannon have scored 9 league goals here from 11 matches, not a lot. Dungannon have conceded 23 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Portadown form and stats

There's been little loot from Portadown's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 12 away games in the Premiership. Portadown only have 2 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 3 draws. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Portadown have lost on their last two travels.

Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Glenavon.

We have checked recent matches where Portadown have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those four games were one victory, one draw and two defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Portadown manager M. Tipton as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Carrick Rangers.

Portadown have scored 14 goals on their travels this season, from 12 away games in the league. Portadown have conceded 29 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Dungannon - Portadown 0-3. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Dungannon won six games, two matches ended with a draw and Portadown has two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / four

Top Goalscorers

PortadownL. Bonis
L. Bonis
6 goals
DungannonR. Campbell
R. Campbell
4 goals
Dungannon SwiftsD. Wilson
D. Wilson
4 goals

Dungannon Swifts missing players

Portadown missing players

Dungannon Swifts Portadown
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 2 Played P 2 12 22
3 2 0 Won W 0 2 3
3 0 0 Drew D 1 3 6
17 9 2 Lost L 1 7 13
14 9 0 Scored S 2 14 25
50 23 4 Conceded C 5 29 47
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
83% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 95%
52% 55% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 75% 73%
26% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 42% 36%
17% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 33% 23%
39% 45% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 58% 64%
17% 9% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 8% 9%
52% 45% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 32%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.8 2 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.5 1.7
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
5 4.3 4.5 Shots (avg) S ( 6 4.8 6
1.9 1.9 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 2.3 2.8
32% 43% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 50% 41%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • All of Portadown's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Dungannon Swifts have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Dungannon Swifts have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals (14) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals (9) at home in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals in the first half (8) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals in the second half (6) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the most conceded goals in the second half (31) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Dungannon Swifts is in the worst form (0-0-6)
  • Portadown have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Portadown have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Portadown haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Linfield 25 17 3 5 63 25 15 12 2 1 45 7 10 5 1 4 18 18 38 54
2 Coleraine 23 14 4 5 37 22 13 8 2 3 20 12 10 6 2 2 17 10 15 46
3 Larne 24 12 7 5 40 24 13 7 3 3 21 13 11 5 4 2 19 11 16 43
4 Glentoran 23 11 6 6 39 20 10 6 3 1 20 6 13 5 3 5 19 14 19 39
5 Crusaders 24 12 3 9 43 30 13 8 1 4 24 13 11 4 2 5 19 17 13 39
6 Cliftonville 25 11 6 8 36 29 13 9 2 2 27 14 12 2 4 6 9 15 7 39
7 Ballymena United 24 10 5 9 33 26 11 3 3 5 12 15 13 7 2 4 21 11 7 35
8 Glenavon 23 9 7 7 36 38 11 3 5 3 18 20 12 6 2 4 18 18 -2 34
9 Warrenpoint Town 23 6 6 11 23 40 9 2 4 3 11 11 14 4 2 8 12 29 -17 24
10 Portadown 22 3 6 13 25 47 10 1 3 6 11 18 12 2 3 7 14 29 -22 15
11 Carrick Rangers 23 3 4 16 20 58 12 1 2 9 12 27 11 2 2 7 8 31 -38 13
12 Dungannon Swifts 23 3 3 17 14 50 11 2 0 9 9 23 12 1 3 8 5 27 -36 12