Football betting preview: Crusaders favourites when Warrenpoint Town visits

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Competition: Sat 06.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Seaview (3383 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Crusaders supporters in this Seaview clash with Warrenpoint Town, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Premiership table.

Insights:
  • Crusaders have the most matches over the total-line (14) in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

It's no vacation for neither Crusaders nor Warrenpoint Town as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Crusaders can neither be promoted or relegated from Premiership. For Warrenpoint Town most of the excitement is over as they will neither be promoted or relegated this season.

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Crusaders form and stats

25 points is a decent return from 12 Premiership games here at Seaview for Crusaders. The data says 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses.

Crusaders enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Larne's place. The match ended 3-0 with A. Lecky (3) scoring. Preceding that match was the home game against Glenavon that was lost 0-1.

A. Lecky was absolutely essential when Crusaders beat Larne 3-0, scoring three goals.

Crusaders are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found five matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won three, drew zero and lost two.

The manager S. Baxter will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Carrick Rangers in only three days.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (24 in 12 games), Crusaders's attacking play is working. Crusaders are not conceding a lot of goals here at Seaview in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 12 matches.

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Warrenpoint Town form and stats

There's been little loot from Warrenpoint Town's travels as they have only collected 11 points from 12 away games in the Premiership. Warrenpoint Town only have 3 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 2 draws. Warrenpoint has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Impressive finishing from A. Evans and A. O'Sullivan (2) secured the home win 4-1 against Dungannon Swifts in their previous game. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Coleraine wasn't a success with a 1-2 loss.

You'll want to know how Warrenpoint Town managed when outsiders such as today. Our database found nine similar matches resulting in two away wins, three draws and four home wins.

The schedule is very tough for Warrenpoint Town now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Premiership game at Linfield is waiting in only three days.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 12 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. The Warrenpoint manager B. Gray has some worries about the defense as 24 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Crusaders - Warrenpoint Town 4-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: ten - zero - zero (Crusaders wins - draws - Warrenpoint Town wins). As for goals, eight matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

CrusadersP. Heatley
P. Heatley
7 goals
CrusadersJ. Owens
J. Owens
6 goals
CrusadersA. Lecky
A. Lecky
6 goals

Crusaders missing players

Warrenpoint Town missing players

Crusaders Warrenpoint Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 12 3 Played P 4 12 19
11 8 2 Won W 0 3 5
3 1 0 Drew D 1 2 5
7 3 1 Lost L 3 7 9
40 24 9 Scored S 3 10 20
25 11 4 Conceded C 11 24 32
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 95%
76% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 92% 89%
71% 58% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 58% 53%
43% 42% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 25% 21%
14% 17% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 8% 11%
57% 42% 67% BTTS BTTS 75% 33% 53%
38% 50% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 16%
5% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 50% 37%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.2 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.2 1.5
3 2 1 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
9.5 10.3 9.7 Shots (avg) S ( 4.8 5.7 7.4
4.2 4.5 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.2 2.5 3.3
45% 45% 53% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 33% 32%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Crusaders have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Crusaders have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Warrenpoint Town have scored away.
  • Crusaders have the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in Premiership
  • Crusaders have the most matches over the total-line (14) in Premiership
  • Crusaders haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Warrenpoint Town have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Warrenpoint Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Linfield 21 13 3 5 47 25 11 8 2 1 29 7 10 5 1 4 18 18 22 42
2 Coleraine 21 12 4 5 32 20 12 7 2 3 18 12 9 5 2 2 14 8 12 40
3 Crusaders 21 11 3 7 40 25 12 8 1 3 24 11 9 3 2 4 16 14 15 36
4 Larne 21 10 6 5 34 22 13 7 3 3 21 13 8 3 3 2 13 9 12 36
5 Cliftonville 23 10 6 7 34 26 12 8 2 2 25 13 11 2 4 5 9 13 8 36
6 Glentoran 19 9 6 4 31 16 9 6 3 0 20 4 10 3 3 4 11 12 15 33
7 Glenavon 19 7 7 5 30 30 10 2 5 3 16 19 9 5 2 2 14 11 0 28
8 Ballymena United 20 8 3 9 27 23 9 2 2 5 9 13 11 6 1 4 18 10 4 27
9 Warrenpoint Town 19 5 5 9 20 32 7 2 3 2 10 8 12 3 2 7 10 24 -12 20
10 Carrick Rangers 19 3 4 12 18 40 9 1 2 6 10 16 10 2 2 6 8 24 -22 13
11 Portadown 19 2 6 11 19 42 8 0 3 5 6 15 11 2 3 6 13 27 -23 12
12 Dungannon Swifts 20 3 3 14 12 43 9 2 0 7 7 18 11 1 3 7 5 25 -31 12