Premiership prediction: Home win expected when Coleraine takes on Warrenpoint Town

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Competition: Tue 15.February
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Showgrounds (2496 seats)

Coleraine have 40 points performing as the home side. Warrenpoint Town have gained 12 points as the visiting team. Could we look at anything else than a home win?

Insights:
  • Coleraine have the most clean sheets (15) in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Premiership

It's no vacation for neither Coleraine nor Warrenpoint Town as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Coleraine form and stats

27 points is a decent return from 13 Premiership games here at The Showgrounds for Coleraine. The data says 8 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. It’s been three wins in a row for Coleraine here at The Showgrounds, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Coleraine lost their last game at Cliftonville (placed 3rd) after a 0-2 scoreline.

Before that, Coleraine had a home game versus Dungannon Swifts which ended with a victory 2-0.

Coleraine are traveling soon after this match as the Premiership match at Warrenpoint Town awaits in four days.

A decent goal production from Coleraine in their home games so far, with 21 goals from 13 league matches. Defensively Coleraine have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (5 in 13 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Warrenpoint Town form and stats

Warrenpoint Town have only collected 6 points from their away games in the Premiership, after 1-3-8 (12 played).

The fans enjoyed Warrenpoint Town's previous fixture versus Carrick Rangers (placed 10th), a 4-2 win played at home.

Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Glenavon.

With the host team identified as having a victory probability of around 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the away team would be unexpected. Researching earlier matches with similar odds and Warrenpoint Town playing away, we found nine results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, two draws and seven defeats. The visitors lost five of these games by at least two goals.

A quick return to home after this game, as Warrenpoint are hosting Coleraine in the Premiership only four days away.

The attacking power of Warrenpoint Town when travelling is not overwhelming with 8 goals scored from 12 league matches away. Warrenpoint Town struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 20 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The contenders have played each other previously this season, with the final score Coleraine - Warrenpoint Town 2-0 logged in the official records. Statistics for the preceeding ten meetings involving these two participants are: eight wins for Coleraine, zero draws and two wins for Warrenpoint Town. Over 2,5 goals: eight times; under 2,5 goals: two games.

Top Goalscorers

ColeraineM. Shevlin
M. Shevlin
10 goals
Warrenpoint TownL. Wade Slater
L. Wade Slater
5 goals
ColeraineL. Kane
L. Kane
4 goals

Coleraine missing players

Warrenpoint Town missing players

Coleraine Warrenpoint Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
26 13 4 Played P 4 12 26
11 8 4 Won W 0 1 3
7 3 0 Drew D 1 3 3
8 2 0 Lost L 3 8 20
39 21 9 Scored S 2 8 23
21 5 0 Conceded C 9 20 58
81% 77% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
77% 77% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 67% 77%
46% 38% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 50% 69%
15% 8% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 17% 27%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 19%
31% 15% 0% BTTS BTTS 25% 42% 50%
58% 77% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
31% 31% 0% Failed to Score F T 75% 58% 50%
 
5.3 4.8 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.5 3.7
4.7 4.2 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 8.2 7.5 6.1
1.7 1.5 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.2 2.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
9.3 9.7 12 Shots (avg) S ( 6.2 6.4 6.2
4 4 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 2 2.5
37% 40% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 33% 35%
 
8.2 7.2 7 Shots against (avg) S A 14.8 11.4 10.6
3 2.3 1.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 5.3 5.1
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Coleraine have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Coleraine have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Warrenpoint Town have scored away.
  • Coleraine have the most clean sheets (10) at home in Premiership
  • Coleraine have the most clean sheets (15) in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Warrenpoint Town have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Warrenpoint Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Warrenpoint Town have the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have the fewest points (6) away in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have the fewest scored goals (8) away in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have the fewest scored goals in the second half (9) in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town have the most conceded goals in the first half (31) in Premiership
  • Warrenpoint Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Glentoran 27 18 5 4 51 26 14 9 2 3 28 17 13 9 3 1 23 9 25 59
2 Linfield 27 16 8 3 47 18 13 9 4 0 22 5 14 7 4 3 25 13 29 56
3 Cliftonville 27 16 7 4 44 23 14 11 1 2 25 10 13 5 6 2 19 13 21 55
4 Crusaders 25 14 3 8 33 17 11 5 2 4 15 8 14 9 1 4 18 9 16 45
5 Larne 27 13 5 9 48 31 14 6 4 4 22 12 13 7 1 5 26 19 17 44
6 Coleraine 26 11 7 8 39 21 13 8 3 2 21 5 13 3 4 6 18 16 18 40
7 Ballymena United 26 12 2 12 29 35 13 8 2 3 20 13 13 4 0 9 9 22 -6 38
8 Glenavon 26 10 6 10 35 32 13 5 2 6 15 18 13 5 4 4 20 14 3 36
9 Dungannon Swifts 27 8 1 18 35 66 13 4 1 8 20 34 14 4 0 10 15 32 -31 25
10 Carrick Rangers 27 6 5 16 26 47 14 4 2 8 14 23 13 2 3 8 12 24 -21 23
11 Portadown 27 2 8 17 22 58 13 0 7 6 12 20 14 2 1 11 10 38 -36 14
12 Warrenpoint Town 26 3 3 20 23 58 14 2 0 12 15 38 12 1 3 8 8 20 -35 12