Premiership prediction and preview: Carrick Rangers moderate favourite to overcome Dungannon Swifts

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Competition: Northern Ireland Premiership
Competition: Tue 11.April
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Let's get ready for Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts! Despite the season performances so far, this match could be a riot!

Insights:
  • Carrick Rangers haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals (22) in Premiership

It's no vacation for neither Carrick nor Dungannon Swifts as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Carrick Rangers form and stats

The total Premiership stats at home this season for Carrick Rangers are 7-2-8 (wins-draws-losses). The home stadium (Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena) is supposed to be a fortress, but for Carrick Rangers it's been a house of straw as the last four games here have all been lost. Can they turn things around?

Stress levels are on the rise for Carrick Rangers's attacking players as they have now played 318 minutes without scoring in a league game. Cushley was their last goal scorer.

Carrick's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-2 versus Newry City AFC.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Crusaders (0-3).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Carrick Rangers handle that role? We have found 7 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Carrick as they are travelling to their away game against Portadown in the Premiership. That match is four days after this one.

Carrick Rangers are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 25 goals in 17 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 32 goals have been conceded.

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Dungannon Swifts form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Dungannon Swifts so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 2-1-14 (win-draw-lose).

Dungannon are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Glenavon.

The game earlier was the Irish Cup-duel against Crusaders, a home loss (0-1). Dungannon Swifts are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. From a total of 6 matches.

The schedule is very tough for Dungannon Swifts now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Premiership game at Ballymena United is waiting in only four days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Dungannon as they have only managed to score 10 times from 17 away games in the league. The opposition has been scoring high and low on Dungannon Swifts's goalkeeper in away games this season, as they have let in 48 goals in 17 travels. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

This duo played each other previously this match year: Dungannon Swifts - Carrick Rangers 0-1. Last ten meetings between these teams: Carrick Rangers won five, Dungannon Swifts were winners in four and we saw one draw. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Carrick RangersC. Allen
C. Allen
7 goals
CarrickL. Anderson
L. Anderson
6 goals
Carrick RangersE. McGuckin
E. McGuckin
6 goals

Carrick Rangers missing players

Dungannon Swifts missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Carrick Rangers Dungannon Swifts
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
34 18 6 Played P 5 18 34
11 7 4 Won W 0 2 7
4 2 0 Drew D 1 2 3
19 9 2 Lost L 4 14 24
41 25 7 Scored S 2 11 23
67 34 5 Conceded C 16 49 77
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 97%
76% 83% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 89% 82%
56% 56% 17% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 67% 53%
41% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 44% 32%
29% 28% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 22% 21%
44% 44% 17% BTTS BTTS 40% 39% 29%
24% 22% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 15%
35% 33% 33% Failed to Score F T 60% 56% 59%
 
3.1 3.7 4.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.6 2.6 3.3
4.2 3.3 2.3 Corners against (avg) C A 4.4 5.1 5.3
2.2 2 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.4 2.1 2.2
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 3 5
 
7.7 8.6 12.7 Shots (avg) S ( 5 5.2 6.7
3.6 4.2 5.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 3.6
34% 33% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 13% 22% 18%
 
8.6 7.3 5 Shots against (avg) S A 9.8 10.3 9.7
4.4 3.9 1.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.6 6.1 5.4
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Carrick Rangers have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Dungannon Swifts have scored away.
  • Carrick Rangers haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Dungannon Swifts have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Dungannon Swifts have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals (22) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the fewest scored goals in the first half (11) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have the most conceded goals in the first half (33) in Premiership
  • Dungannon Swifts have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Larne 33 22 7 4 57 18 16 11 4 1 29 5 17 11 3 3 28 13 39 73
2 Linfield 33 21 5 7 70 25 16 11 3 2 34 11 17 10 2 5 36 14 45 68
3 Cliftonville 33 20 6 7 61 41 16 12 3 1 36 13 17 8 3 6 25 28 20 66
4 Glentoran 33 20 4 9 68 24 16 11 1 4 37 9 17 9 3 5 31 15 44 64
5 Crusaders 33 18 8 7 65 37 17 14 2 1 45 12 16 4 6 6 20 25 28 62
6 Coleraine 33 17 7 9 53 30 17 10 4 3 30 14 16 7 3 6 23 16 23 58
7 Glenavon 33 11 8 14 50 57 17 7 3 7 30 33 16 4 5 7 20 24 -7 41
8 Carrick Rangers 33 11 4 18 41 65 17 7 2 8 25 32 16 4 2 10 16 33 -24 37
9 Ballymena United 33 9 5 19 30 49 17 6 4 7 19 20 16 3 1 12 11 29 -19 32
10 Newry City AFC 33 7 2 24 31 66 17 4 1 12 19 29 16 3 1 12 12 37 -35 23
11 Dungannon Swifts 33 7 2 24 22 76 16 5 1 10 12 28 17 2 1 14 10 48 -54 23
12 Portadown 33 4 4 25 23 83 16 3 3 10 14 35 17 1 1 15 9 48 -60 16

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Larne 33 22 7 4 57 18 16 11 4 1 29 5 17 11 3 3 28 13 39 73
2 Linfield 33 21 5 7 70 25 16 11 3 2 34 11 17 10 2 5 36 14 45 68
3 Cliftonville 33 20 6 7 61 41 16 12 3 1 36 13 17 8 3 6 25 28 20 66
4 Glentoran 33 20 4 9 68 24 16 11 1 4 37 9 17 9 3 5 31 15 44 64
5 Crusaders 33 18 8 7 65 37 17 14 2 1 45 12 16 4 6 6 20 25 28 62
6 Coleraine 33 17 7 9 53 30 17 10 4 3 30 14 16 7 3 6 23 16 23 58
7 Glenavon 33 11 8 14 50 57 17 7 3 7 30 33 16 4 5 7 20 24 -7 41
8 Carrick Rangers 33 11 4 18 41 65 17 7 2 8 25 32 16 4 2 10 16 33 -24 37
9 Ballymena United 33 9 5 19 30 49 17 6 4 7 19 20 16 3 1 12 11 29 -19 32
10 Newry City AFC 33 7 2 24 31 66 17 4 1 12 19 29 16 3 1 12 12 37 -35 23
11 Dungannon Swifts 33 7 2 24 22 76 16 5 1 10 12 28 17 2 1 14 10 48 -54 23
12 Portadown 33 4 4 25 23 83 16 3 3 10 14 35 17 1 1 15 9 48 -60 16

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