Npfl match prediction and preview for Akwa United vs Warri Wolves clash

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Competition: Nigeria Npfl
Competition: Wed 21.July
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Akwa Ibom Stadium (30000 seats)

Akwa United should be favourites to win this home game against Warri Wolves, if the league table is anything to judge by. Or are we in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • Akwa United have the fewest conceded goals (19) in Npfl
  • Warri Wolves have the most dropped points from leading position (17) in Npfl

It's no vacation for neither Akwa nor Warri Wolves as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Akwa are battling for top spots and have everything to play for. Wolves are struggling to avoid relegation.

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Akwa United form and stats

Home games in the Npfl have been a walk in the park for Akwa United so far, with 42 points won from 16 matches; 13 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. The Akwa United fans aren't used to losing league-games here at Akwa Ibom Stadium and will expect new points from this game. Akwa has played 16 games in a row here without a defeat.

The home team returns to Akwa Ibom Stadium after being equal after 90 minutes with Rivers United (placed 5th) on their last time out; the Npfl game ended 1-1.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Enyimba in a game that was won 1-0.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Akwa as they have a new game in only four days, a Npfl match thankfully also at home. Jigawa Golden Stars are visiting.

The Akwa United fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 27 goals in 16 league matches. Akwa have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only 6 goals.

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Warri Wolves form and stats

There's been little loot from Warri Wolves's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 16 away games in the Npfl. Warri Wolves only have 0 wins to counter their 13 defeats and 3 draws. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Warri Wolves have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 16 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the MFM game.

Wolves had fun at their own home (Akwa Ibom Stadium) last time out, beating Kwara United 1-0.

Prior to that match, the Wolves manager faced defeat when travelling to Rivers United and losing 1-2.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Wikki Tourist in just four days.

The visitors have scored 9 goals from 16 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Wolves's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 30 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Warri Wolves - Akwa United 0-0 played earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's two Akwa United victories, five draws and three Warri Wolves wins. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, eight matches with two goals or less.

Akwa United missing players

Warri Wolves missing players

Akwa United Warri Wolves
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 16 5 Played P 5 16 33
16 13 4 Won W 0 0 9
13 3 1 Drew D 1 3 7
4 0 0 Lost L 4 13 17
40 27 8 Scored S 3 9 27
19 6 3 Conceded C 9 30 40
79% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
58% 62% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 69% 58%
36% 50% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 38% 30%
6% 6% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 19% 12%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
42% 38% 60% BTTS BTTS 60% 44% 36%
52% 62% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 27%
27% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 56% 42%
 
4.8 6.4 7.6 Corners for (avg) C F 3.2 2.9 4.2
3.7 2.2 2.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 5.3 3.5
1.8 1.2 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.1 1.6
3 2 1 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
10.5 13.6 18 Shots (avg) S ( 3 6.3 10.3
3.8 5 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0.8 2.2 2.7
34% 34% 28% Goal Efficiency G E 67% 26% 27%
Key stats in Npfl this season:
  • Akwa United have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Akwa United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Akwa United have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Akwa United have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Warri Wolves have scored away.
  • Akwa United have the fewest conceded goals (19) in Npfl
  • Akwa United have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Npfl
  • Akwa United have the most clean sheets (16) in Npfl
  • Akwa United have the the best goal difference (+21) in Npfl
  • Akwa United have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Akwa United have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Warri Wolves have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Warri Wolves have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Warri Wolves have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Warri Wolves have the most dropped points from leading position (17) in Npfl
  • Warri Wolves have the most matches under the total-line (8) in Npfl
  • Warri Wolves have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Warri Wolves have yet to win a game away.
  • Warri Wolves haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Akwa United 33 16 13 4 40 19 16 13 3 0 27 6 17 3 10 4 13 13 21 61
2 Nasarawa United 33 18 4 11 45 32 17 15 1 1 36 13 16 3 3 10 9 19 13 58
3 Kano Pillars 33 17 7 9 36 25 17 15 2 0 24 3 16 2 5 9 12 22 11 58
4 Enyimba 33 16 9 8 33 28 17 11 6 0 22 11 16 5 3 8 11 17 5 57
5 Rivers United 33 16 8 9 40 30 17 14 3 0 28 5 16 2 5 9 12 25 10 56
6 Kwara United 33 15 7 11 39 27 16 12 4 0 28 4 17 3 3 11 11 23 12 52
7 Enugu Rangers 33 15 7 11 37 27 16 13 2 1 27 6 17 2 5 10 10 21 10 52
8 Lobi Stars 33 15 5 13 36 32 16 14 2 0 29 7 17 1 3 13 7 25 4 50
9 Plateau United 33 13 8 12 40 27 17 12 4 1 33 8 16 1 4 11 7 19 13 47
10 Akwa Starlets 33 14 4 15 32 40 16 11 2 3 25 15 17 3 2 12 7 25 -8 46
11 MFM 33 11 11 11 25 25 16 9 5 2 16 8 17 2 6 9 9 17 0 44
12 Heartland 33 12 8 13 39 43 17 10 5 2 27 14 16 2 3 11 12 29 -4 44
13 Katsina United 33 12 6 15 32 38 17 11 5 1 28 10 16 1 1 14 4 28 -6 42
14 Wikki Tourist 33 10 9 14 33 40 17 10 4 3 25 15 16 0 5 11 8 25 -7 39
15 Abia Warriors 33 9 11 13 38 37 16 9 3 4 25 13 17 0 8 9 13 24 1 38
16 Sunshine Stars 33 9 10 14 23 32 16 7 7 2 14 8 17 2 3 12 9 24 -9 37
17 Jigawa Golden Stars 33 9 9 15 23 39 16 8 6 2 13 7 17 1 3 13 10 32 -16 36
18 Warri Wolves 33 9 7 17 27 40 17 9 4 4 18 10 16 0 3 13 9 30 -13 34
19 Ifeanyi Uba 33 8 10 15 30 44 16 8 5 3 18 11 17 0 5 12 12 33 -14 34
20 Adamawa United 33 5 9 19 18 41 17 5 8 4 16 13 16 0 1 15 2 28 -23 24

Read more about Npfl

The Nigerian Professional Fotball League (NPFL) is the highest level of football in Nigeria. It has earlier been known as the Nigerian Premier League, Nigerian Premiership, Nigerian Professional League and other names. It currently holds two divisions each with twelve teams. The top three teams in each division qualify for a championship playoff.