Eredivisie match prediction: Little separates Willem II and SC Cambuur in quality

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Fri 10.December
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion (14637 seats)

A swift look at the Eredivisie table indicate an advantage to SC Cambuur when they visit Willem II. Yet; let's play the match before we award the win!

Insights:
  • Willem II have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • SC Cambuur have the most conceded goals (35) in Eredivisie

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

Willem II's stadium, Koning Willem II Stadion, has a grass surface. SC Cambuur have artifical turf on their own stadium. This might or might not make a difference, and to help evaluate that we give you the recent performance numbers for SC Cambuur when playing on grass; 13 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 22 matches. They have scored 37 goals in these games and conceded 26.

L L L L L

Willem II form and stats

Willem II have collected 10 points from their Eredivisie home games so far after 3-1-3. When Willem II hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Feyenoord, PSV, FC Utrecht, Ajax and Vitesse), they have won 1 of 2 matches! Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Willem II with their five defeats in a row. Not since the Fortuna Sittard game, 49 days ago, have they avoided a loss.

Stress levels are on the rise for Willem's attacking players as they have now played 201 minutes without scoring in a league game. C. Nunnely was their last goal scorer.

No payout for Willem in their previous match, an away game at Ajax that ended in defeat 0-5. Willem were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one. Nikolaos Michelis, defender, was given a rating of 6.61/10 in that game, top of the team. Michelis won 2 of 4 duels.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Go Ahead Eagles (0-1).

This is expected to be a close game, with Willem perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Willem II as a small favourite), we find six games. Willem II has won two of these, drawn zero and lost four.

Willem II aren't scoring a lot here at Koning Willem Stadion in the league, with only 6 goals from 7 games. Willem have conceded 11 from these games. When Willem hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like RKC Waalwijk, Fortuna Sittard, Sparta Rotterdam, PEC Zwolle and Heracles), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

L W W W W

SC Cambuur form and stats

4-0-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for SC Cambuur, who have the most conceded goals (35) in Eredivisie, in their Eredivisie matches away. It’s been three wins in a row for Cambuur on their travels, an amazing performance which inspire hopes of making this one the fourth consecutive victory.

SC Cambuur failed to get anything from their last game, a Eredivisie home match vs Vitesse (placed 5th) that ended with defeat 1-6. Cambuur lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 1-6 beating and focus on this one. Robin Maulun got a match rating of 7.62 in that game, top player of the team. Maulun hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 4 of 4 times and had 44 successful passes (of 55 total).

Prior to that result SC Cambuur won their away game at NEC. The scoreline was 3-2.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with SC Cambuur playing away and similar expectations, we found four relevant matches. Results were four SC Cambuur wins, zero draws and zero defeats.

Cambuur has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 11 goals from 7 games. Cambuur have conceded 17 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Willem II-SC Cambuur H2H statistics last six meetings regardless of arena: Willem three wins, SC Cambuur zero wins, three draws. two of these six matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

SC CambuurJ. Jacobs
J. Jacobs
5 goals
Willem IIC. Nunnely
C. Nunnely
4 goals
Willem IIK. Wriedt
K. Wriedt
4 goals

Willem II missing players

SC Cambuur missing players

Willem II SC Cambuur
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
15 7 2 Played P 4 7 15
5 3 1 Won W 3 4 8
3 1 0 Drew D 0 0 0
7 3 1 Lost L 1 3 7
16 6 2 Scored S 7 11 27
28 11 5 Conceded C 2 17 35
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
80% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 71% 87%
67% 57% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 71% 80%
27% 14% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 57% 53%
20% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 43% 40%
53% 43% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 43% 67%
20% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 29% 20%
33% 43% 50% Failed to Score F T 25% 29% 13%
 
4.6 5.6 3 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 2.6 3.2
4.9 4.3 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.8 7.7 7.2
1.6 1.1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.4 1.3
4 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9.9 10.1 5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.8 10.7 10.9
3.2 3.3 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 4.4 4.5
33% 26% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 39% 35% 40%
 
14.1 13.6 22.5 Shots against (avg) S A 13 16.7 15.5
5.7 6 9 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 6.3 6.1
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • SC Cambuur have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • SC Cambuur have the most conceded goals (35) in Eredivisie
  • SC Cambuur have the most conceded goals in the first half (18) in Eredivisie
  • SC Cambuur have the most matches over the total-line (10) in Eredivisie
  • SC Cambuur have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • SC Cambuur haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Willem II have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Willem II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 15 11 3 1 48 2 8 6 1 1 32 1 7 5 2 0 16 1 46 36
2 PSV 15 11 1 3 38 22 8 7 0 1 25 12 7 4 1 2 13 10 16 34
3 Feyenoord 14 10 2 2 33 14 7 6 1 0 19 7 7 4 1 2 14 7 19 32
4 FC Utrecht 15 8 2 5 30 20 7 6 1 0 22 6 8 2 1 5 8 14 10 26
5 Vitesse 15 8 2 5 20 22 7 2 2 3 7 12 8 6 0 2 13 10 -2 26
6 SC Cambuur 15 8 0 7 27 35 8 4 0 4 16 18 7 4 0 3 11 17 -8 24
7 FC Twente 14 6 4 4 20 18 7 3 3 1 8 5 7 3 1 3 12 13 2 22
8 SC Heerenveen 15 6 3 6 18 21 8 3 1 4 11 14 7 3 2 2 7 7 -3 21
9 AZ 14 6 2 6 25 20 6 4 1 1 16 8 8 2 1 5 9 12 5 20
10 Go Ahead Eagles 14 6 2 6 18 23 7 4 0 3 12 9 7 2 2 3 6 14 -5 20
11 NEC 14 5 4 5 19 22 7 2 2 3 8 8 7 3 2 2 11 14 -3 19
12 FC Groningen 15 4 6 5 17 21 7 1 5 1 6 5 8 3 1 4 11 16 -4 18
13 Willem II 15 5 3 7 16 28 7 3 1 3 6 11 8 2 2 4 10 17 -12 18
14 Heracles 15 4 2 9 15 21 8 4 1 3 10 9 7 0 1 6 5 12 -6 14
15 RKC Waalwijk 14 2 6 6 14 22 7 2 1 4 5 11 7 0 5 2 9 11 -8 12
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 4 8 11 21 8 1 3 4 6 11 6 1 1 4 5 10 -10 10
17 Fortuna Sittard 14 2 3 9 16 34 7 2 1 4 8 19 7 0 2 5 8 15 -18 9
18 PEC Zwolle 15 1 3 11 8 27 7 1 2 4 3 7 8 0 1 7 5 20 -19 6

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.