Eredivisie match prediction: Little separates Willem II and PEC Zwolle in quality

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Fri 22.January
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion (14637 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Eredivisie, Willem II holding 16th place and PEC Zwolle lying 13th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

Insights:
  • Willem II is in the worst form (0-1-5)
  • PEC Zwolle have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

8 - 7 - 20 with 31-66. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for PEC Zwolle when playing on grass like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. PEC Zwolle play their home games on artifical turf so that's why we provide these numbers.

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Willem II form and stats

Willem II's results here at Koning Willem II Stadion in the Eredivisie have been very modest with 2 victories, 1 draw and 5 defeats.

Willem drew their last game, 1-1 away at RKC Waalwijk (placed 15th). Ahead of that match, Willem II lost 2-3 at home to FC Groningen.

Willem II's goalie Jorn Brondeel played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against RKC Waalwijk with a stunning six saves.

This is expected to be a close game, with Willem II perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Willem II as a small favourite), we find six games. Willem II has won three of these, drawn zero and lost three.

The Willem fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 12 goals in 8 league matches. Willem have conceded 18 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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PEC Zwolle form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for PEC Zwolle so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 1-4-3 (win-draw-lose).

Zwolle aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 261 league minutes without a goal. P. Clement was the last player to find the net.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Eredivisie home defeat versus Fortuna Sittard with 0-2 on the scoreboard. A 0-1 defeat away at Feyenoord before that.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found three similar matches played by PEC Zwolle in our archives, and the results are: two wins for PEC Zwolle, zero draws and one defeat.

A quick return to home after this game, as PEC Zwolle are hosting Heracles in the Eredivisie only four days away.

Zwolle have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 8 league away games 9 goals have been scored. Zwolle have conceded 16 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result PEC Zwolle - Willem II 0-0 entered in the official records. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - three - two (Willem wins - draws - PEC Zwolle wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

WillemV. Pavlidis
V. Pavlidis
6 goals
Willem IIC. Nunnely
C. Nunnely
3 goals
Willem IIK. Wriedt
K. Wriedt
3 goals

Willem II missing players

PEC Zwolle missing players

Willem II PEC Zwolle
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
17 8 1 Played P 3 8 17
2 2 1 Won W 1 1 3
4 1 0 Drew D 2 4 8
11 5 0 Lost L 0 3 6
20 12 2 Scored S 5 9 17
36 18 1 Conceded C 3 16 26
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 88%
88% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 82%
65% 88% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 50% 41%
41% 62% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 50% 29%
24% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
65% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 62% 47%
12% 12% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 12% 24%
29% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 41%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.7 1.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.1 1.4
2 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
11.1 11.1 10 Shots (avg) S ( 17.3 12.9 13.3
3.9 4 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.7 3.9 4
30% 38% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 29% 25%
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • All of Willem II's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • PEC Zwolle have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • PEC Zwolle haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Willem II has the most dropped points from leading position (15) in Eredivisie
  • Willem II have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Willem II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Willem II is in the worst form (0-1-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 17 13 2 2 58 13 9 7 1 1 28 8 8 6 1 1 30 5 45 41
2 Vitesse 17 12 2 3 31 13 8 7 1 0 15 3 9 5 1 3 16 10 18 38
3 PSV 17 11 4 2 41 19 8 7 0 1 19 6 9 4 4 1 22 13 22 37
4 Feyenoord 17 10 5 2 32 13 8 4 4 0 13 5 9 6 1 2 19 8 19 35
5 AZ 17 9 7 1 41 25 8 5 2 1 18 10 9 4 5 0 23 15 16 34
6 FC Groningen 17 9 4 4 25 21 9 4 3 2 10 8 8 5 1 2 15 13 4 31
7 FC Twente 17 8 4 5 33 24 9 3 2 4 14 14 8 5 2 1 19 10 9 28
8 SC Heerenveen 17 5 7 5 25 26 8 3 2 3 12 11 9 2 5 2 13 15 -1 22
9 Sparta Rotterdam 17 6 3 8 28 30 9 2 2 5 19 21 8 4 1 3 9 9 -2 21
10 FC Utrecht 17 4 9 4 22 24 9 3 5 1 14 12 8 1 4 3 8 12 -2 21
11 Fortuna Sittard 17 5 4 8 25 34 8 2 2 4 13 18 9 3 2 4 12 16 -9 19
12 Heracles 17 5 3 9 19 28 8 3 1 4 13 9 9 2 2 5 6 19 -9 18
13 PEC Zwolle 17 3 8 6 17 26 9 2 4 3 8 10 8 1 4 3 9 16 -9 17
14 VVV-Venlo 17 4 4 9 27 45 9 2 3 4 11 27 8 2 1 5 16 18 -18 16
15 RKC Waalwijk 17 3 5 9 15 29 9 1 4 4 9 15 8 2 1 5 6 14 -14 14
16 Willem II 17 2 4 11 20 36 8 2 1 5 12 18 9 0 3 6 8 18 -16 10
17 ADO Den Haag 17 2 4 11 16 41 8 0 2 6 8 20 9 2 2 5 8 21 -25 10
18 FC Emmen 17 0 5 12 17 45 9 0 3 6 13 28 8 0 2 6 4 17 -28 5

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.