Experts' prediction: Ajax set to get maximum points from Willem II visit

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Sat 19.February
Match begins: 17:45 (UTC)
Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion (14637 seats)

Both Willem II and Ajax are longing for points in this fixture, even with the guesting team having a 33 point edge from earlier matches.

Insights:
  • Willem II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Ajax have the most scored goals (69) in Eredivisie

Willem II and Ajax should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Willem II form and stats

The story so far in the Eredivisie for Willem II at their home stadium (Koning Willem II Stadion) is 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats.

In their previous game, the manager Grim led his Willem to a defeat away at Sparta Rotterdam. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Koning Willem II Stadion. Heerkens was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.44 out of 10. The defender Heerkens won 9 of 12 duels.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting RKC Waalwijk in a game that was won 3-1.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Willem II here at Koning Willem II Stadion in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (10 from 11 games). Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 17 goals have been conceded. When Willem II hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like RKC Waalwijk, Fortuna Sittard, Sparta Rotterdam, Go Ahead Eagles and PEC Zwolle), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 3 times.

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Ajax form and stats

The strength of Ajax on their travels this season is incredible with 26 points collected from 10 Eredivisie away games. Ajax has 8-2-0 on the road, with 23 goals scored and 2 conceded. The away team travel with confidence. Not since the FC Twente game have they lost an away game, meaning Ajax has taken points from ten away matches in a row.

Ajax have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Remko Pasveer. It's been 217 minutes since they last conceded in Eredivisie.

Impressive finishing from Klaassen and Haller (3) secured the home win 5-0 against FC Twente in their previous game. The attacker Haller got a match rating of 10.0 in that game. Haller scored three goals, served one assist, hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Again, the away team are huge favourites in this match and any other result would be an upset. We checked our Tipsway database for earlier, recent games with Ajax given similar win odds in an away game. This check revealed 13 matches with eleven wins as expected, two draws and zero surprise home wins. The favourites won seven of these games by at least two goals.

The schedule is very tough for Ajax now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Champions League game at Benfica is waiting in only four days.

The Ajax manager Hag has got the team scoring on the road, with 23 away goals in 10 league matches. Ajax are tight as a drum on their travels, having allowed the opposition only 2 goals away. It's worth mentioning that 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

This was the score when the squads met previously this season; Ajax - Willem 5-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Willem II one win, one draw and Ajax eight victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AjaxS. Haller
S. Haller
16 goals
AjaxD. Tadić
D. Tadić
7 goals
AjaxA. dos Santos
A. dos Santos
7 goals

Willem II missing players

Ajax missing players

Willem II Ajax
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
22 11 3 Played P 4 10 22
6 4 1 Won W 4 8 17
3 1 0 Drew D 0 2 3
13 6 2 Lost L 0 0 2
21 10 2 Scored S 13 23 69
41 17 6 Conceded C 0 2 5
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 91%
73% 64% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 80% 82%
59% 55% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 40% 64%
32% 27% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 20% 41%
18% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 20% 41%
50% 45% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 20% 14%
14% 9% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 80% 82%
41% 45% 67% Failed to Score F T 0% 10% 14%
 
4.1 4.7 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 8.5 6.3 7.4
4.8 4.5 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 3.7 2.4
1.4 0.9 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.2 1
6 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.6 10 5.3 Shots (avg) S ( 19 14.7 19.4
2.9 2.9 1.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 8.2 5.5 7.6
33% 31% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 39% 42% 41%
 
13.9 13.2 18.3 Shots against (avg) S A 6.8 9.3 7.4
5.5 5.8 7.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.5 2.5 2
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • Ajax have not yet lost a game away.
  • Ajax have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Ajax have scored more than double the goals of Willem II.
  • Ajax have the fewest conceded goals (2) away in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the fewest conceded goals (5) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (0) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (5) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most clean sheets (18) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most clean sheets (8) away in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most points (26) away in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals (69) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals in the first half (34) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals in the second half (35) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the the best goal difference (+21) away in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the the best goal difference (+64) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Ajax is in the best form (6-0-0) in Eredivisie
  • Willem II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 22 17 3 2 69 5 12 9 1 2 46 3 10 8 2 0 23 2 64 54
2 PSV 22 16 1 5 54 28 11 8 0 3 29 16 11 8 1 2 25 12 26 49
3 Feyenoord 22 15 3 4 52 19 11 8 1 2 28 10 11 7 2 2 24 9 33 48
4 AZ 22 13 3 6 43 26 10 7 2 1 24 10 12 6 1 5 19 16 17 42
5 FC Twente 22 12 5 5 34 27 10 6 3 1 15 6 12 6 2 4 19 21 7 41
6 Vitesse 22 11 3 8 27 36 11 4 2 5 11 21 11 7 1 3 16 15 -9 36
7 FC Utrecht 22 10 5 7 39 29 11 7 3 1 26 12 11 3 2 6 13 17 10 35
8 NEC 22 8 6 8 27 31 10 2 3 5 10 14 12 6 3 3 17 17 -4 30
9 SC Cambuur 22 9 3 10 38 47 11 4 1 6 21 25 11 5 2 4 17 22 -9 30
10 FC Groningen 22 6 7 9 25 31 11 2 6 3 9 9 11 4 1 6 16 22 -6 25
11 SC Heerenveen 22 7 4 11 20 31 12 3 2 7 11 19 10 4 2 4 9 12 -11 25
12 Heracles Almelo 22 6 5 11 23 30 12 6 3 3 17 13 10 0 2 8 6 17 -7 23
13 RKC Waalwijk 22 5 7 10 24 36 11 4 1 6 10 19 11 1 6 4 14 17 -12 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 22 6 4 12 22 38 11 4 0 7 14 19 11 2 4 5 8 19 -16 22
15 Willem II 22 6 3 13 21 41 11 4 1 6 10 17 11 2 2 7 11 24 -20 21
16 Fortuna Sittard 22 5 4 13 24 50 10 3 2 5 13 23 12 2 2 8 11 27 -26 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 8 11 17 35 12 2 5 5 10 17 10 1 3 6 7 18 -18 17
18 PEC Zwolle 22 4 4 14 17 36 11 2 3 6 7 12 11 2 1 8 10 24 -19 16

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.