Eredivisie prediction and preview: Vitesse modest favorites to beat Heracles

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Sat 03.October
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: GelreDome (25000 seats)

The season is still fairly new and the Eredivisie table has to be read with caution. So far Vitesse find themselves in 5th position and Heracles are placed 10th.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

It should be mentioned that Heracles play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Heracles on grass are 4 victories, 5 draws and 15 defeats from 24 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 23-54. You can compare this with overall results below.

L W W D D

Vitesse form and stats

Vitesse have only played one Eredivisie game here so far, a win. Last season their home statistics were 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 13 matches.

Vitesse faced defeat in their previous match, away at Ajax (1-2). Before that, Vitesse had a home game versus Sparta Rotterdam which ended with a victory 2-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Vitesse matches with similar probabilities have ended with five wins, one draw and zero defeats (from six games).

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Vitesse at home in the league. 2 on target and 0 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

L W L W W

Heracles form and stats

Heracles have played one away game so far, a loss. Last season their away games stats in the Eredivisie were 2 victories, 5 draws and 6 defeats from 13 fixtures.

Heracles are travelling again after losing away to Willem II in their previous match (0-4). Prior to that match, a home win 2-0 against ADO Den Haag.

As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Willem II was particularly ugly (0-4). The humiliation is still top of mind.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Heracles playing away, we found three games. Results were one away win, zero draws and two home wins.

0 goals so far away for Heracles, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 4. All from 1 league match away.

Head 2 Head

Vitesse-Heracles H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Vitesse four wins, Heracles two wins, four draws. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

VitesseR. Bazoer
R. Bazoer
1 goals
VitesseO. Darfalou
O. Darfalou
1 goals
VitesseO. Tannane
O. Tannane
1 goals

Vitesse missing players

Heracles missing players

Vitesse Heracles
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
3 1 0 Played P 0 1 2
2 1 0 Won W 0 0 1
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 0
1 0 0 Lost L 0 1 1
4 2 0 Scored S 0 0 2
2 0 0 Conceded C 0 4 4
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
67% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 100%
33% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 100% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 100% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
33% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 0%
67% 100% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 50%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 100% 50%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0 0.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
64 23 0 Total Shots T S 0 6 28
17 7 0 Shots on Target S O 0 1 6
24% 29% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 33%
Vitesse Last season Heracles
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
26 13   Played P   13 26
12 7   Won W   2 10
5 3   Drew D   5 6
9 3   Lost L   6 10
45 24   Scored S   9 40
35 15   Conceded C   17 34
92% 92%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   85% 92%
85% 85%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   62% 77%
65% 69%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   23% 42%
31% 23%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   15% 38%
19% 15%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   15% 23%
54% 62%   BTTS BTTS   46% 46%
31% 31%   Clean Sheets C S   15% 27%
23% 15%   Failed to Score F T   54% 35%
 
0 0   Corners for (avg) C F   0 0
0 0   Corners against (avg) C A   0 0
1.8 2.2   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.1 1.7
2 1   Red cards R C   1 1
 
408 213   Total Shots T S   123 327
139 69   Shots on Target S O   39 120
32% 35%   Goal Efficiency G E   23% 33%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 6 1 2 2 0 0 5 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 5 9
2 SC Heerenveen 3 3 0 0 6 1 2 2 0 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 5 9
3 FC Twente 3 2 1 0 6 2 2 2 0 0 5 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 4 7
4 PSV 2 2 0 0 5 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 3 6
5 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 4 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 6
6 PEC Zwolle 3 1 1 1 5 3 2 1 0 1 4 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 4
7 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 3 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 4
8 VVV-Venlo 3 1 1 1 6 5 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 5 4 1 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 4 2 1 1 0 0 4 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 3
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 2 4 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 4 -2 3
11 FC Groningen 3 1 0 2 3 6 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 -3 3
12 AZ 2 0 2 0 4 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 2
13 FC Utrecht 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Fortuna Sittard 3 0 1 2 4 8 2 0 1 1 4 6 1 0 0 1 0 2 -4 1
15 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 4 7 1 0 0 1 3 5 1 0 0 1 1 2 -3 0
16 ADO Den Haag 2 0 0 2 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 -3 0
17 RKC Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 0 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 3 -4 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 0 3 0 7 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 2 0 6 -7 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 25 18 2 5 68 23 13 11 0 2 40 8 12 7 2 3 28 15 45 56
2 AZ 25 18 2 5 54 17 13 10 1 2 32 8 12 8 1 3 22 9 37 56
3 Feyenoord 25 14 8 3 50 35 13 9 3 1 29 15 12 5 5 2 21 20 15 50
4 PSV 26 14 7 5 54 28 12 8 3 1 32 12 14 6 4 4 22 16 26 49
5 Willem II 26 13 5 8 37 34 13 7 4 2 17 9 13 6 1 6 20 25 3 44
6 FC Utrecht 25 12 5 8 50 34 12 8 0 4 30 12 13 4 5 4 20 22 16 41
7 Vitesse 26 12 5 9 45 35 13 7 3 3 24 15 13 5 2 6 21 20 10 41
8 Heracles 26 10 6 10 40 34 13 8 1 4 31 17 13 2 5 6 9 17 6 36
9 FC Groningen 26 10 5 11 27 26 13 7 1 5 17 10 13 3 4 6 10 16 1 35
10 SC Heerenveen 26 8 9 9 41 41 14 3 8 3 17 18 12 5 1 6 24 23 0 33
11 Sparta Rotterdam 26 9 6 11 41 45 13 7 3 3 30 16 13 2 3 8 11 29 -4 33
12 FC Emmen 26 9 5 12 32 45 13 9 2 2 26 12 13 0 3 10 6 33 -13 32
13 VVV-Venlo 26 8 4 14 24 51 13 5 3 5 14 21 13 3 1 9 10 30 -27 28
14 FC Twente 26 7 6 13 34 46 13 5 3 5 23 22 13 2 3 8 11 24 -12 27
15 PEC Zwolle 26 7 5 14 37 55 12 5 2 5 28 30 14 2 3 9 9 25 -18 26
16 Fortuna Sittard 26 6 8 12 29 52 13 6 4 3 22 17 13 0 4 9 7 35 -23 26
17 ADO Den Haag 26 4 7 15 25 54 13 2 6 5 11 17 13 2 1 10 14 37 -29 19
18 RKC Waalwijk 26 4 3 19 27 60 13 3 2 8 13 20 13 1 1 11 14 40 -33 15

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.