Eredivisie match prediction and preview for the FC Emmen vs Excelsior scrap

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Sat 11.March
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: De Oude Meerdijk (8600 seats)

Very important face-off in the bottom part of the Eredivisie, with both FC Emmen and Excelsior experiencing more stress than bliss. This match is a typical "six-pointer" with the hosting team at 16th and the away side in 15th position.

Insights:
  • FC Emmen have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Excelsior have the most conceded goals (58) in Eredivisie

It should be mentioned that Excelsior play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Excelsior on grass are 4 victories, 3 draws and 12 defeats from 19 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 16-47. You can compare this with overall results below.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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FC Emmen form and stats

2-8-2 (win-draw-lost) are the Eredivisie numbers at home for FC Emmen so far this season.

Emmen are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-3 away versus FC Volendam. der Hart had a busy but productive day in the FC Volendam match. Despite making six saves the loss could not be prevented. Midfield player Romeny got a match rating of 7.63 in that game, the max score being 10. Romeny hit the woodwork once, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 5 times.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 2-2 versus Go Ahead Eagles.

The FC Emmen fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 12 matches. FC Emmen have conceded 15 in these home matches. FC Emmen has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.

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Excelsior form and stats

There's been little loot from Excelsior's travels as they have only collected 4 points from 12 away games in the Eredivisie. Excelsior only have 1 win to counter their 10 defeats and 1 draw. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Excelsior have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone eleven consecutive matches without winning on the road.

Excelsior failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Sparta Rotterdam (placed 6th) that ended with defeat 1-4. Attacker Driouech got a player rating of 7.45 in the game. "Man of the match" Driouech scored one goal and hit two key passes.

A 0-3 defeat away at FC Groningen before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Excelsior playing away, we found 5 games. Results were 1 away win, 0 draws and 4 home wins.

Take note: 8 of the last 10 league fixtures featuring this side have had only one (or no) team scoring (Both Teams to Score NO in sports betting).

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Excelsior as they have only managed to score 8 times from 12 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The contenders have played each other previously this season, with the result Excelsior - FC Emmen 2-1 entered in the official records. Previous ten meetings involving these sides: FC Emmen won three, Excelsior were winners in six and we saw one draw. six games with more than 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

EmmenO. ter Haar Romeny
O. ter Haar Romeny
5 goals
FC EmmenR. Zivkovic
R. Zivkovic
3 goals
ExcelsiorR. El Yaakoubi
R. El Yaakoubi
3 goals

FC Emmen missing players

Excelsior missing players

FC Emmen Excelsior
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
24 12 4 Played P 2 12 24
3 2 0 Won W 1 1 6
9 8 4 Drew D 0 1 2
12 2 0 Lost L 1 10 16
21 13 3 Scored S 2 8 21
43 15 3 Conceded C 3 36 58
88% 75% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
75% 58% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 71%
50% 42% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 58% 58%
38% 33% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 50% 42%
12% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 29%
54% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 42% 46%
21% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 8% 17%
38% 42% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 42%
 
4.6 5.2 7 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 2.7 4.2
5.5 4.4 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 6.4 6.1
1.5 1.2 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.7 1.4
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.4 12.2 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 5 7.3 10
3.5 3.7 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.5 2.8 3.3
25% 30% 18% Goal Efficiency G E 67% 24% 27%
 
14.2 11.8 12.8 Shots against (avg) S A 23 19 17.5
4.5 3.8 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 8 9.3 7.8
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • Excelsior have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Excelsior have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Excelsior have the fewest scored goals in the second half (9) in Eredivisie
  • Excelsior have the most conceded goals (36) away in Eredivisie
  • Excelsior have the most conceded goals (58) in Eredivisie
  • Excelsior have the most conceded goals in the first half (27) in Eredivisie
  • Excelsior have the the worst goal difference (-28) away in Eredivisie
  • Excelsior have the the worst goal difference (-37) in Eredivisie
  • Excelsior have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Excelsior haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Excelsior is in the worst form (0-1-5)
  • FC Emmen have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Feyenoord 24 16 7 1 54 22 12 8 4 0 24 6 12 8 3 1 30 16 32 55
2 Ajax 24 15 7 2 66 23 12 7 4 1 35 9 12 8 3 1 31 14 43 52
3 AZ 24 15 5 4 50 28 11 6 4 1 25 15 13 9 1 3 25 13 22 50
4 PSV 24 15 4 5 61 28 12 10 1 1 37 8 12 5 3 4 24 20 33 49
5 FC Twente 24 11 8 5 39 21 12 9 3 0 30 6 12 2 5 5 9 15 18 41
6 Sparta Rotterdam 24 11 7 6 36 26 12 7 2 3 20 12 12 4 5 3 16 14 10 40
7 FC Utrecht 24 10 7 7 39 37 12 5 4 3 13 11 12 5 3 4 26 26 2 37
8 RKC Waalwijk 24 8 8 8 39 37 12 6 3 3 26 16 12 2 5 5 13 21 2 32
9 SC Heerenveen 24 8 7 9 27 32 12 4 2 6 13 18 12 4 5 3 14 14 -5 31
10 NEC 24 6 12 6 30 23 12 3 8 1 21 12 12 3 4 5 9 11 7 30
11 Fortuna Sittard 24 8 5 11 31 41 12 3 3 6 15 20 12 5 2 5 16 21 -10 29
12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 6 8 10 34 43 12 4 4 4 19 20 12 2 4 6 15 23 -9 26
13 Vitesse 24 5 8 11 28 42 12 2 4 6 13 24 12 3 4 5 15 18 -14 23
14 FC Volendam 24 6 5 13 28 53 12 5 1 6 18 25 12 1 4 7 10 28 -25 23
15 Excelsior 24 6 2 16 21 58 12 5 1 6 13 22 12 1 1 10 8 36 -37 20
16 FC Emmen 24 3 9 12 21 43 12 2 8 2 13 15 12 1 1 10 8 28 -22 18
17 FC Groningen 24 4 5 15 25 49 12 3 3 6 17 21 12 1 2 9 8 28 -24 17
18 SC Cambuur 24 4 4 16 17 40 13 2 0 11 9 25 11 2 4 5 8 15 -23 16

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.