Eredivisie prediction: Home win expected when AZ takes on RKC Waalwijk

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Sun 15.May
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: AFAS Stadion (17023 seats)

AZ are finding life sweet in the top positions while RKC Waalwijk are more involved in avoiding relegation. May the best team win!

Insights:
  • AZ have the most matches over the total-line (17) in Eredivisie
  • RKC Waalwijk have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

AZ is in the 5th league table position and will remain there regardless of what happens for the rest of the season. Waalwijk is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season. 4-6-13 (wins/draws/losses). These are the numbers for RKC Waalwijk when playing away games on grass, which is not the surface they have on their own home stadium (which has artifical turf). Their goal statistics from those 23 matches are 29-43 (scored/conceded).

It's no vacation for neither AZ nor RKC Waalwijk as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D D D W L

AZ form and stats

AZ are steadily winning Eredivisie games and points here at AFAS Stadion. 11 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 16 games. The last three games played by AZ, regardless of arena, have all ended draws.

AZ drew their last game, 2-2 away at FC Utrecht (placed 7th). A disappointing finish for AZ in their match versus FC Utrecht as their 2-0 lead was destroyed and replaced with a 2-2 full time score. Pavlidis has scored in three matches in a row. Impressive! Pavlidis, a natural forward, was the declared top player for the team in that fixture, scoring a rating of 8.23 (out of 10). Pavlidis scored two goals.

In the match before that, AZ hosted Ajax and drew the game 2-2.

Goals decide football matches and AZ are scoring many of them at home; 35 on target from 16 league matches. AZ have conceded 17 in these home matches.

W D W L L

RKC Waalwijk form and stats

RKC Waalwijk have only collected 14 points from their away games in the Eredivisie, after 2-8-6 (16 played).

RKC Waalwijk won their last game, 2-0 versus Heracles Almelo played at home. Attacker Kramer got a player rating of 8.63 in the game. "Man of the match" Kramer scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes and had 25 successful passes (of 29 total).

Before that, Waalwijk travelled to SC Cambuur and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

The home team is given a winning chance of about 80 percent by the betting public. This does not leave much hope for the visitors, but some teams enjoy the outsider role and perform well in it. Looking at similar away games for RKC Waalwijk we find six games. Results are one RKC Waalwijk win, one draw and four defeats.

Waalwijk find the net regularly in their away games. 20 goals from 16 away fixtures in the league. RKC Waalwijk have conceded 25 goals in these games. RKC Waalwijk has visited these top teams five times, and 4 of 5 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

The records show that this isn''t the first time these two teams face each other this campaign, as the statistics show this recent match: RKC Waalwijk - AZ 1-0. Head-to-head totals (for the prior ten meetings): AZ won seven games, one match ended in a draw and RKC Waalwijk managed two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: eight / two

Top Goalscorers

AZV. Pavlidis
V. Pavlidis
16 goals
AZJ. Karlsson
J. Karlsson
15 goals
RKC WaalwijkM. Kramer
M. Kramer
11 goals

AZ missing players

RKC Waalwijk missing players

AZ RKC Waalwijk
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 16 5 Played P 5 16 33
18 11 5 Won W 1 2 8
7 3 0 Drew D 1 8 11
8 2 0 Lost L 3 6 14
63 35 14 Scored S 7 20 37
41 17 6 Conceded C 10 25 50
94% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 94%
82% 81% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 82%
73% 75% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 50% 48%
45% 44% 60% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 38% 27%
18% 25% 40% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 12% 12%
73% 69% 100% BTTS BTTS 80% 75% 64%
12% 19% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 18%
21% 19% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 19% 24%
 
5.3 5.2 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.8 4.3
3.8 3.2 1.8 Corners against (avg) C A 8.2 6 5.3
1.6 1.4 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.6 1.8 1.7
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
13.3 13.7 12.8 Shots (avg) S ( 8.6 10.1 10.7
4.8 5.2 4.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 3.4
39% 42% 61% Goal Efficiency G E 47% 42% 33%
 
10.3 8.2 6.4 Shots against (avg) S A 24.8 17.6 15.7
3.8 3.1 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.8 5.9 5.2
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • AZ have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AZ have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • AZ have the most matches over the total-line (17) in Eredivisie
  • RKC Waalwijk have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 33 26 4 3 96 17 17 14 1 2 62 8 16 12 3 1 34 9 79 82
2 PSV 33 25 3 5 84 41 17 14 0 3 49 22 16 11 3 2 35 19 43 78
3 Feyenoord 33 22 5 6 75 32 16 11 3 2 38 15 17 11 2 4 37 17 43 71
4 FC Twente 33 19 8 6 53 36 17 10 5 2 28 13 16 9 3 4 25 23 17 65
5 AZ 33 18 7 8 63 41 16 11 3 2 35 17 17 7 4 6 28 24 22 61
6 Vitesse 33 15 5 13 40 49 16 6 2 8 18 27 17 9 3 5 22 22 -9 50
7 FC Utrecht 33 12 11 10 51 43 17 8 6 3 32 20 16 4 5 7 19 23 8 47
8 NEC 33 10 8 15 38 51 16 3 5 8 13 21 17 7 3 7 25 30 -13 38
9 SC Heerenveen 33 10 8 15 34 49 16 5 3 8 20 25 17 5 5 7 14 24 -15 38
10 Go Ahead Eagles 33 10 6 17 36 48 17 7 1 9 25 24 16 3 5 8 11 24 -12 36
11 FC Groningen 33 9 9 15 39 52 16 4 6 6 16 18 17 5 3 9 23 34 -13 36
12 SC Cambuur 33 10 6 17 50 68 17 5 3 9 29 35 16 5 3 8 21 33 -18 36
13 RKC Waalwijk 33 8 11 14 37 50 17 6 3 8 17 25 16 2 8 6 20 25 -13 35
14 Heracles Almelo 33 9 7 17 32 46 16 7 5 4 21 18 17 2 2 13 11 28 -14 34
15 Sparta Rotterdam 33 7 11 15 27 47 17 4 7 6 16 21 16 3 4 9 11 26 -20 32
16 Fortuna Sittard 33 9 5 19 35 67 17 6 2 9 20 31 16 3 3 10 15 36 -32 32
17 Willem II 33 8 6 19 29 57 16 6 3 7 15 20 17 2 3 12 14 37 -28 30
18 PEC Zwolle 33 7 6 20 25 50 16 3 5 8 12 18 17 4 1 12 13 32 -25 27

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.