Eredivisie prediction: Home win expected when Ajax takes on FC Groningen

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Sun 07.March
Match begins: 11:15 (UTC)
Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena (54990 seats)

The Ajax & FC Groningen managers E. ten Hag and D. Buijs are both dreading and looking forward to this decisive game in the upper regions of the Eredivisie league table.

Insights:
  • Ajax have the most scored goals (73) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have scored more than double the goals of FC Groningen.

The hosts Ajax saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the KNVB Beker. That game was an away game at SC Heerenveen, so at least Ajax are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Ajax form and stats

Ajax, who have the most scored goals (73) in Eredivisie, have been very solid at home in the Eredivisie so far, with 28 points collected from 11 matches (9-1-1). This has contributed greatly to their 1st position in the table. Ajax has a nice streak going on as they have played twelve consecutive leaguegames without losing (regardless of home/away). They are keen to extend their tally, a streak that began after the FC Twente defeat 91 days ago. It’s been three wins in a row for Ajax here at Johan Cruijff Arena, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Happy days for Ajax in their previous game, a KNVB Beker match away at SC Heerenveen (placed 10th) that ended with a 3-0 victory. Before that, Ajax played out a Eredivisie draw 1-1 when visiting PSV.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Europa League game versus Young Boys in only four days. This game is also played here at Johan Cruijff Arena.

It's goals goals goals for Ajax who have scored 35 goals from 11 league home games. Ajax have conceded 11 in these home matches.

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FC Groningen form and stats

As the visiting team in Eredivisie matches, FC Groningen have produced an overall stat of 5-2-4 so far.

Did you know that the longest clean sheet streak is 1816 minutes? This record is held by Mazaropi when he played in Vasco da Gama. Groningen goalkeeper Sergio Padt is eager to challenge this, with his 227 minutes of keeping balls out from the net.

FC Groningen had fun at their own home (Johan Cruijff Arena) last time out, beating Fortuna Sittard 1-0. Paulos Abraham scored. Ahead of that game was the 0-0 draw at home against Feyenoord.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of manager D. Buijs when Paulos Abraham scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 46th minute.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with FC Groningen as the away team, we found one results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, zero draws and one defeat. The outsiders lost zero of these games by at least two goals.

Groningen have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 16 goals have been scored. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Groningen have conceded 16 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Ajax and FC Groningen have met before this season: FC Groningen - Ajax 1-0. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: seven wins for Ajax, one draw and two wins for FC Groningen. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

AjaxD. Tadić
D. Tadić
11 goals
FC GroningenJ. Strand Larsen
J. Strand Larsen
9 goals
AjaxA. dos Santos
A. dos Santos
8 goals

Ajax missing players

FC Groningen missing players

Ajax FC Groningen
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 11 24
18 9 2 Won W 1 5 12
3 1 1 Drew D 0 2 6
2 1 0 Lost L 2 4 6
73 35 5 Scored S 2 16 31
18 11 3 Conceded C 4 16 24
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 92%
87% 91% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 73% 58%
74% 91% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 55% 42%
48% 64% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 45% 29%
30% 36% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 8%
52% 64% 67% BTTS BTTS 33% 64% 46%
43% 36% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 9% 38%
4% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 27% 25%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0.9 0.8 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.1 1.3
2 1 1 Red cards R C 2 2 2
 
19.6 18.6 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 9 10.3 11.5
8 7.5 3.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 3.7 3.7
40% 42% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 39% 35%
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • Ajax have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ajax have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Ajax have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Ajax have scored more than double the goals of FC Groningen.
  • Ajax have the fewest conceded goals (18) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (5) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most clean sheets (10) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals (35) at home in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals (73) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals in the first half (36) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the most scored goals in the second half (37) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the the best goal difference (+24) at home in Eredivisie
  • Ajax have the the best goal difference (+55) in Eredivisie
  • Ajax haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Ajax is in the best form (5-1-0)
  • FC Groningen have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • FC Groningen haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 73 18 11 9 1 1 35 11 12 9 2 1 38 7 55 57
2 PSV 24 15 6 3 55 26 12 10 1 1 28 8 12 5 5 2 27 18 29 51
3 AZ 24 14 7 3 56 35 12 7 2 3 25 17 12 7 5 0 31 18 21 49
4 Vitesse 24 14 3 7 39 25 12 9 2 1 21 7 12 5 1 6 18 18 14 45
5 Feyenoord 24 12 7 5 46 26 11 6 4 1 23 9 13 6 3 4 23 17 20 43
6 FC Groningen 24 12 6 6 31 24 13 7 4 2 15 8 11 5 2 4 16 16 7 42
7 FC Twente 24 9 8 7 39 32 12 3 4 5 16 17 12 6 4 2 23 15 7 35
8 FC Utrecht 23 8 10 5 36 29 13 5 6 2 21 17 10 3 4 3 15 12 7 34
9 Fortuna Sittard 24 9 4 11 35 42 12 4 2 6 19 23 12 5 2 5 16 19 -7 31
10 SC Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 32 35 11 5 3 3 17 12 13 2 6 5 15 23 -3 30
11 Heracles 24 8 5 11 26 37 12 5 2 5 17 13 12 3 3 6 9 24 -11 29
12 PEC Zwolle 24 5 11 8 32 38 12 3 6 3 15 14 12 2 5 5 17 24 -6 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 23 6 5 12 32 40 12 2 3 7 20 25 11 4 2 5 12 15 -8 23
14 RKC Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 22 35 12 3 4 5 14 17 12 2 4 6 8 18 -13 23
15 VVV-Venlo 23 6 4 13 37 60 11 3 3 5 16 32 12 3 1 8 21 28 -23 22
16 Willem II 24 4 5 15 27 54 12 3 2 7 16 28 12 1 3 8 11 26 -27 17
17 ADO Den Haag 24 2 9 13 20 50 12 0 6 6 11 23 12 2 3 7 9 27 -30 15
18 FC Emmen 24 2 6 16 21 53 12 1 3 8 16 33 12 1 3 8 5 20 -32 12

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.