Eerste Divisie match prediction: Little separates Telstar and NAC Breda in quality

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Tue 16.February
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: BUKO Stadion

Telstar will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 11 points behind NAC Breda.

Insights:
  • Telstar has the most matches under the total-line (15) in Eerste Divisie
  • NAC Breda has the most points from losing position (18) in Eerste Divisie

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Telstar and NAC Breda.

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Telstar form and stats

Telstar have collected 15 points from their Eerste Divisie home games so far after 4-3-4.

In their previous game, the manager A. Jonker led his Telstar to a defeat in the Eerste Divisie match away at Go Ahead Eagles. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at BUKO Stadion. Preceding that game was the away draw at Helmond Sport that finished 1-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Telstar have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found six matches with the results: Won three, drawn one and lost two.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Telstar, as the Eerste Divisie home game vs FC Eindhoven is only three days away.

Goals decide football matches and Telstar are scoring many of them at home; 25 on target from 11 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Telstar defense is not exactly impregnable. 17 goals conceded from 11 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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NAC Breda form and stats

Playing away, NAC Breda have won 5 games, drawn 4 and suffered 2 defeats in the Eerste Divisie this season. Two points from the last two away games for Breda, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Impressive finishing from Lex Immers and Lewis Fiorini secured the home win 2-1 against FC Eindhoven in their previous game. That result followed a home victory 4-0 versus Almere City.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with NAC Breda playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were zero Breda wins, one draw and six defeats.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The Eerste Divisie trip to FC Dordrecht.

The travelling fans enjoy NAC Breda's attacking play in away games, having scored 17 goals in 11 league matches away. NAC Breda are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 8 times in 11 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; NAC Breda - Telstar 1-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last seven matches): Telstar one win, one draw and NAC Breda five victories. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

TelstarG. Plet
G. Plet
12 goals
NAC BredaS. van Hooijdonk
S. van Hooijdonk
12 goals
TelstarI. Bronkhorst
I. Bronkhorst
8 goals

Telstar missing players

NAC Breda missing players

Telstar NAC Breda
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 4 Played P 3 11 23
9 4 1 Won W 2 5 13
6 3 0 Drew D 1 4 5
8 4 3 Lost L 0 2 5
41 25 9 Scored S 7 17 43
33 17 9 Conceded C 2 8 20
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 82% 91%
91% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 73% 74%
61% 73% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 27% 52%
30% 45% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 18% 30%
22% 27% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 18% 13%
74% 82% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 36% 39%
9% 18% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 45% 39%
17% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 36% 30%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.2 1 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1 1.4
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.3 11.4 9.2 Shots (avg) S ( 12 9.7 11.1
4.7 5 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.3 4.8 5.1
38% 45% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 32% 36%
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • All of Telstar's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • NAC Breda has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (9) in Eerste Divisie
  • NAC Breda has the fewest matches over the total-line (7) in Eerste Divisie
  • NAC Breda has the most points from losing position (18) in Eerste Divisie
  • NAC Breda have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Telstar has the most matches under the total-line (15) in Eerste Divisie
  • Telstar have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Telstar have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Telstar haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 SC Cambuur 22 17 2 3 65 19 12 9 0 3 36 12 10 8 2 0 29 7 46 53
2 Graafschap 24 17 2 5 51 33 12 9 1 2 25 14 12 8 1 3 26 19 18 53
3 Almere City 22 15 5 2 50 28 11 9 2 0 22 2 11 6 3 2 28 26 22 50
4 NAC Breda 23 13 5 5 43 20 12 8 1 3 26 12 11 5 4 2 17 8 23 44
5 Go Ahead Eagles 24 13 5 6 33 18 12 5 3 4 14 10 12 8 2 2 19 8 15 44
6 NEC 23 12 5 6 40 27 11 6 3 2 20 10 12 6 2 4 20 17 13 41
7 FC Volendam 23 10 7 6 48 30 12 4 3 5 25 16 11 6 4 1 23 14 18 37
8 Roda JC Kerkrade 23 9 8 6 42 31 12 6 4 2 24 13 11 3 4 4 18 18 11 35
9 Telstar 23 9 6 8 41 33 11 4 3 4 25 17 12 5 3 4 16 16 8 33
10 Excelsior 23 9 3 11 44 40 11 4 1 6 22 22 12 5 2 5 22 18 4 30
11 Jong Ajax 22 8 5 9 37 41 11 3 3 5 16 22 11 5 2 4 21 19 -4 29
12 FC Oss 23 8 4 11 25 33 12 5 2 5 19 16 11 3 2 6 6 17 -8 28
13 FC Eindhoven 24 7 6 11 35 43 12 4 3 5 25 22 12 3 3 6 10 21 -8 27
14 Helmond Sport 22 6 8 8 30 34 11 4 2 5 16 17 11 2 6 3 14 17 -4 26
15 Jong Utrecht 23 8 1 14 34 44 11 4 0 7 15 19 12 4 1 7 19 25 -10 25
16 Jong AZ 24 6 4 14 35 65 12 3 3 6 24 33 12 3 1 8 11 32 -30 22
17 Jong PSV 23 5 5 13 34 51 11 1 4 6 13 20 12 4 1 7 21 31 -17 20
18 MVV Maastricht 24 5 5 14 25 52 11 3 2 6 17 29 13 2 3 8 8 23 -27 20
19 FC Den Bosch 23 2 7 14 26 55 12 2 5 5 16 18 11 0 2 9 10 37 -29 13
20 FC Dordrecht 22 3 3 16 18 59 11 2 3 6 11 21 11 1 0 10 7 38 -41 12

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.