Eerste Divisie: NAC Breda should have a great chance to win home game vs Helmond Sport

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Sat 27.November
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion (19000 seats)

NAC Breda have 20 points playing as the home side. Helmond Sport have got 15 points playing away. What are the odds of this being a home win?

Insights:
  • NAC Breda have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • NAC Breda have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Helmond Sport have scored away.

NAC Breda and Helmond Sport should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

3-5-7 (wins/draws/losses). These are the numbers for Helmond Sport when playing away games on grass, which is not the surface they have on their own home stadium (which has artifical turf). Their goal statistics from those 15 matches are 17-30 (scored/conceded).

D D L W D

NAC Breda form and stats

14 points is a decent return from 7 Eerste Divisie games here at Rat Verlegh Stadion for NAC Breda. The data says 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.

NAC Breda shared the glory with Jong PSV in their last match, an away game that ended all square 0-0. Defender Danny Bakker got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.53/10. Bakker won 6 of 10 duels.

In the match before that, NAC Breda hosted Jong Utrecht and drew the game 1-1.

Breda are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found eight matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won six, drew one and lost one.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (15 in 7 games), NAC Breda's attacking play is working. NAC Breda are not conceding a lot of goals here at Rat Verlegh Stadion in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

L D L L L

Helmond Sport form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Helmond Sport so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 1-2-4 (win-draw-lose). Helmond has drawn their two previous away games.

Home advantage was not enough for Helmond in their previous game, as they lost their Eerste Divisie-match, hosting Excelsior, 1-5. As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Excelsior was particularly ugly (1-5). The humiliation is still top of mind. Jellert Van Landschoot got a match rating of 7.42 in that game, top player of the team. Landschoot scored one goal, hit two key passes and had 46 successful passes (of 54 total).

Before that, Helmond Sport travelled to FC Oss and returned home with a draw after the game finished 0-0.

You'll want to know how Helmond Sport managed when outsiders such as today. Our database found seven similar matches resulting in zero away wins, one draw and six home wins.

Helmond Sport find the net regularly in their away games. 7 goals from 7 away fixtures in the league. Helmond struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 11 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last eight meetings): Breda won four games, three matches ended in a draw and Helmond Sport have one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / five

Top Goalscorers

BredaR. Seuntjens
R. Seuntjens
9 goals
Helmond SportJ. van Landschoot
J. van Landschoot
8 goals
NAC BredaB. van Schuppen
B. van Schuppen
3 goals

NAC Breda missing players

Helmond Sport missing players

NAC Breda Helmond Sport
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
16 7 2 Played P 3 7 16
5 4 0 Won W 0 1 4
5 2 2 Drew D 0 2 3
6 1 0 Lost L 3 4 9
24 15 3 Scored S 4 7 15
22 6 3 Conceded C 8 11 27
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 88%
75% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 57% 62%
56% 71% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 43% 56%
31% 29% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 43% 31%
12% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 29% 19%
50% 57% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 43% 44%
31% 43% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 29% 31%
31% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 43% 38%
 
5.8 6.1 7.5 Corners for (avg) C F 6 5.7 4.8
4.7 4.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 5.1 4.6
0.9 1 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.9 1.1
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.4 12.4 17.5 Shots (avg) S ( 11.3 9.7 8.2
4.9 5.4 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.3 3.4 3
30% 39% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 29% 31%
 
11.1 9 11 Shots against (avg) S A 12 11.9 10.4
4.6 3.3 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.3 6.7 5
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • Helmond Sport have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • NAC Breda have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • NAC Breda have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • NAC Breda have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Helmond Sport have scored away.
  • NAC Breda have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • NAC Breda haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 FC Volendam 16 10 5 1 40 22 8 5 2 1 20 12 8 5 3 0 20 10 18 35
2 Excelsior 16 10 2 4 41 23 7 3 2 2 17 11 9 7 0 2 24 12 18 32
3 FC Emmen 16 9 3 4 24 13 7 4 0 3 12 5 9 5 3 1 12 8 11 30
4 De Graafschap 16 9 3 4 27 17 8 3 3 2 9 10 8 6 0 2 18 7 10 30
5 Jong Ajax 16 9 2 5 39 29 8 5 1 2 23 14 8 4 1 3 16 15 10 29
6 ADO Den Haag 16 10 2 4 32 19 7 5 0 2 14 8 9 5 2 2 18 11 13 26
7 FC Eindhoven 16 8 2 6 31 24 7 5 1 1 16 9 9 3 1 5 15 15 7 26
8 FC Den Bosch 16 8 1 7 20 23 9 6 0 3 12 12 7 2 1 4 8 11 -3 25
9 Roda JC Kerkrade 15 6 4 5 28 22 8 2 3 3 13 12 7 4 1 2 15 10 6 22
10 Jong AZ 16 6 3 7 14 16 9 4 2 3 8 7 7 2 1 4 6 9 -2 21
11 MVV Maastricht 15 7 0 8 18 33 7 4 0 3 12 13 8 3 0 5 6 20 -15 21
12 NAC Breda 16 5 5 6 24 22 7 4 2 1 15 6 9 1 3 5 9 16 2 20
13 Jong PSV 16 5 4 7 23 25 9 4 2 3 14 11 7 1 2 4 9 14 -2 19
14 Jong Utrecht 16 5 4 7 20 24 8 3 0 5 8 13 8 2 4 2 12 11 -4 19
15 VVV-Venlo 16 6 1 9 17 22 9 5 1 3 13 10 7 1 0 6 4 12 -5 19
16 Telstar 16 4 5 7 19 34 8 1 3 4 11 20 8 3 2 3 8 14 -15 17
17 Helmond Sport 16 4 3 9 15 27 9 3 1 5 8 16 7 1 2 4 7 11 -12 15
18 Almere City 16 3 4 9 28 36 8 1 2 5 13 19 8 2 2 4 15 17 -8 13
19 FC Oss 16 3 3 10 17 28 8 2 2 4 12 15 8 1 1 6 5 13 -11 12
20 FC Dordrecht 16 2 4 10 18 36 8 1 3 4 8 14 8 1 1 6 10 22 -18 10

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.