Eerste Divisie: Excelsior anticipated to overwhelm MVV Maastricht

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Fri 10.December
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (4500 seats)

Excelsior are flying at 2nd, while MVV Maastricht are lingering 15 points behind in the league standings. Can they reduce the gap?

Insights:
  • Excelsior have the most scored goals (45) in Eerste Divisie
  • MVV Maastricht have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

There have been limited time to rest for the team playing at home, as they played a Eerste Divisie match only four days back. That game was an away game at Jong AZ, so at least Excelsior are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Excelsior form and stats

When playing at home in the Eerste Divisie, Excelsior have managed 4 wins, 2 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 8 games.

A good away victory last time out for Excelsior, who won 2-0 against Jong AZ (placed 14th). The forward Thijs Dallinga edged out all the other players in that game and was awarded a match rating of 8.12 out of 10. Dallinga scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Ahead of that match, Excelsior won a home game hosting Jong Utrecht (2-1).

Excelsior are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found four matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won three, drew one and lost zero.

Goals decide football matches and Excelsior are scoring many of them at home; 19 on target from 8 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Excelsior defense is not exactly impregnable. 12 goals conceded from 8 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 9 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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MVV Maastricht form and stats

3-0-5 is the win-draw-loss statistic for MVV Maastricht in their Eerste Divisie matches away. Momentum is building for Maastricht in their away games, having won their two previous outings.

Maastricht's last game was the home draw against TOP Oss (1-1). Goalkeeper Romain Matthys got the top player rating of the team with 7.21/10. Matthys stopped the opponent with four saves.

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Roda JC Kerkrade.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Maastricht played away with similar odds. This revealed nine games. The visitors overcame the odds to win two times, one were draw and the home team won as expected six times.

The schedule is very tough for Maastricht now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A KNVB Beker game at PEC Zwolle is waiting in only four days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Maastricht as they have only managed to score 6 times from 8 away games in the league. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Maastricht are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 6 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

Previous ten meetings with these contenders: Excelsior won four, MVV Maastricht were winners in four and we saw two draws. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

ExcelsiorT. Dallinga
T. Dallinga
22 goals
ExcelsiorR. Niemeijer
R. Niemeijer
7 goals
MVV MaastrichtM. Ntelo
M. Ntelo
7 goals

Excelsior missing players

MVV Maastricht missing players

Excelsior MVV Maastricht
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 8 3 Played P 3 8 18
12 4 2 Won W 0 3 7
2 2 0 Drew D 0 0 2
4 2 1 Lost L 3 5 9
45 19 9 Scored S 2 6 21
24 12 4 Conceded C 15 20 37
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
89% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 78%
72% 75% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 50% 56%
44% 38% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 38% 33%
33% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 25% 22%
61% 62% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 25% 50%
33% 25% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 38% 28%
6% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 38% 22%
 
4.1 5.2 2.7 Corners for (avg) C F 1 2 2.9
5.9 4.8 4 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6.4 6.2
1.2 1.2 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.5 1.8
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
9.3 9.6 7.3 Shots (avg) S ( 3.3 7.2 6.7
4.7 4.5 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 3 3.1
54% 53% 60% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 25% 38%
 
10 6.9 7.7 Shots against (avg) S A 18.7 16.5 13.6
4.1 3 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 9.7 7.6 5.9
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • Excelsior have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Excelsior have scored more than double the goals of MVV Maastricht.
  • Excelsior have the most scored goals (45) in Eerste Divisie
  • Excelsior have the most scored goals in the second half (28) in Eerste Divisie
  • Excelsior have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Excelsior haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • MVV Maastricht have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • MVV Maastricht have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • MVV Maastricht have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • MVV Maastricht haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 FC Volendam 18 11 6 1 44 23 9 6 2 1 23 12 9 5 4 0 21 11 21 39
2 Excelsior 18 12 2 4 45 24 8 4 2 2 19 12 10 8 0 2 26 12 21 38
3 Jong Ajax 18 11 2 5 43 30 9 6 1 2 24 14 9 5 1 3 19 16 13 35
4 FC Emmen 18 10 3 5 27 14 8 5 0 3 15 5 10 5 3 2 12 9 13 33
5 De Graafschap 18 10 3 5 31 22 9 3 3 3 10 13 9 7 0 2 21 9 9 33
6 ADO Den Haag 18 12 2 4 41 21 8 6 0 2 19 9 10 6 2 2 22 12 20 32
7 FC Eindhoven 18 9 2 7 32 26 8 6 1 1 17 9 10 3 1 6 15 17 6 29
8 Roda JC Kerkrade 18 7 6 5 34 25 9 2 4 3 13 12 9 5 2 2 21 13 9 27
9 NAC Breda 18 7 5 6 30 22 8 5 2 1 16 6 10 2 3 5 14 16 8 26
10 FC Den Bosch 18 8 1 9 20 31 10 6 0 4 12 17 8 2 1 5 8 14 -11 25
11 VVV-Venlo 18 7 2 9 20 23 9 5 1 3 13 10 9 2 1 6 7 13 -3 23
12 MVV Maastricht 18 7 2 9 21 37 10 4 2 4 15 17 8 3 0 5 6 20 -16 23
13 Jong PSV 18 6 4 8 27 29 10 4 2 4 16 14 8 2 2 4 11 15 -2 22
14 Jong AZ 18 6 3 9 14 19 10 4 2 4 8 9 8 2 1 5 6 10 -5 21
15 Jong Utrecht 18 5 4 9 22 30 9 3 0 6 9 17 9 2 4 3 13 13 -8 19
16 Telstar 18 4 6 8 21 38 9 1 3 5 12 23 9 3 3 3 9 15 -17 18
17 Almere City 18 4 4 10 30 39 9 2 2 5 15 19 9 2 2 5 15 20 -9 16
18 Helmond Sport 18 4 4 10 16 29 10 3 2 5 9 17 8 1 2 5 7 12 -13 16
19 TOP Oss 18 3 5 10 19 30 9 2 3 4 13 16 9 1 2 6 6 14 -11 14
20 FC Dordrecht 18 2 4 12 21 46 9 1 3 5 10 19 9 1 1 7 11 27 -25 10

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.