Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht preview for betting prediction

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Fri 06.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (4500 seats)

With their 17 point advantage in the league table, Excelsior fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against MVV Maastricht.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Excelsior form and stats

Overall Eerste Divisie stats at home this season for Excelsior, who have the most scored goals (41) at home in Eerste Divisie, are 8-3-3 (wins-draw-losses).

In their previous game, the manager M. Dijkhuizen led his Excelsior to a defeat in the Eerste Divisie match away at FC Eindhoven. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. Previous to that game, a home match hosting FC Den Bosch in a game that was won 6-4.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Excelsior's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won one match, drawn one and lost zero.

Excelsior are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in their league games, having scored an impressive 41 goals in 14 matches. Excelsior are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (32 from 14 played).

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MVV Maastricht form and stats

MVV Maastricht have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Eerste Divisie, after 1-2-11 (14 played). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved MVV Maastricht have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone twelve consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Jong PSV game.

MVV Maastricht might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. FC Den Bosch proved too strong as MVV Maastricht slumped to a 2-3 defeat in front of their own fans at De Geusselt. A 1-2 defeat away at Telstar before that.

Late heartbreak for MVV Maastricht in the FC Den Bosch match, as the deciding 2-3 goal came deep into overtime.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of MVV Maastricht when being an outsider away as they are today, we find three matches with the visitors losing two times, drawing zero and winning one game.

MVV Maastricht have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 14 league away games 14 goals have been scored. MVV Maastricht have conceded 33 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; MVV Maastricht - Excelsior 0-0. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Excelsior won three games, four matches ended with a draw and MVV Maastricht has three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / seven

Top Goalscorers

ExcelsiorR. Vloet
R. Vloet
13 goals
ExcelsiorE. Ómarsson
E. Ómarsson
9 goals

Excelsior missing players

MVV Maastricht missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Excelsior MVV Maastricht
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
28 14 4 Played P 4 14 28
12 8 3 Won W 0 1 7
8 3 1 Drew D 0 2 6
8 3 0 Lost L 4 11 15
62 41 14 Scored S 1 14 37
55 32 8 Conceded C 10 33 50
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 89%
93% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 93% 82%
82% 93% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 64% 64%
61% 79% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 50% 46%
36% 50% 75% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 29% 29%
79% 93% 100% BTTS BTTS 25% 64% 57%
14% 7% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 25%
14% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 75% 29% 29%
 
6.2 5.9 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.9 5.6
4.9 5.2 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 7 6.2 6.5
1.5 1.4 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 2.2 1.8
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
338 171 56 Total Shots T S 20 123 215
154 75 23 Shots on Target S O 8 54 89
40% 55% 61% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 26% 42%
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • All of Excelsior's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Excelsior has the fewest matches under the total-line (8)
  • Excelsior has the most conceded goals (32) at home
  • Excelsior has the most scored goals (41) at home
  • Excelsior has the most scored goals in the second half (43)
  • Excelsior have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Excelsior have scored at least twice as many goals at home as MVV Maastricht have scored away.
  • Excelsior have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Excelsior haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • MVV Maastricht have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • MVV Maastricht haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 SC Cambuur 28 20 3 5 65 25 14 11 1 2 40 14 14 9 2 3 25 11 40 63
2 De Graafschap 28 16 11 1 61 27 14 10 4 0 36 10 14 6 7 1 25 17 34 59
3 Jong Ajax 28 16 6 6 72 43 14 9 3 2 40 17 14 7 3 4 32 26 29 54
4 FC Volendam 28 15 7 6 53 42 14 8 5 1 31 20 14 7 2 5 22 22 11 52
5 Go Ahead Eagles 28 12 12 4 48 39 14 7 7 0 26 12 14 5 5 4 22 27 9 48
6 NAC Breda 28 13 8 7 44 29 14 8 3 3 23 11 14 5 5 4 21 18 15 47
7 Excelsior 28 12 8 8 62 55 14 8 3 3 41 32 14 4 5 5 21 23 7 44
8 NEC 28 11 9 8 49 36 14 6 5 3 24 17 14 5 4 5 25 19 13 42
9 FC Den Bosch 28 10 11 7 55 47 14 6 6 2 30 18 14 4 5 5 25 29 8 41
10 Almere City 28 12 5 11 42 41 14 10 1 3 25 14 14 2 4 8 17 27 1 41
11 Telstar 28 11 8 9 46 48 14 7 1 6 20 21 14 4 7 3 26 27 -2 41
12 Jong Utrecht 28 10 8 10 47 45 14 8 5 1 33 18 14 2 3 9 14 27 2 38
13 FC Eindhoven 28 9 6 13 44 57 14 7 4 3 27 21 14 2 2 10 17 36 -13 33
14 Jong AZ 28 7 7 14 45 58 14 6 4 4 26 22 14 1 3 10 19 36 -13 28
15 MVV Maastricht 28 7 6 15 37 50 14 6 4 4 23 17 14 1 2 11 14 33 -13 27
16 TOP Oss 28 6 6 16 26 51 14 5 3 6 17 19 14 1 3 10 9 32 -25 24
17 Roda JC Kerkrade 28 5 10 13 35 48 14 4 4 6 28 28 14 1 6 7 7 20 -13 22
18 Jong PSV 28 5 7 16 34 55 14 4 5 5 18 19 14 1 2 11 16 36 -21 22
19 FC Dordrecht 28 4 7 17 33 65 14 2 4 8 18 29 14 2 3 9 15 36 -32 19
20 Helmond Sport 28 3 7 18 24 61 14 2 4 8 13 24 14 1 3 10 11 37 -37 16

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 SC Cambuur 28 20 3 5 65 25 14 11 1 2 40 14 14 9 2 3 25 11 40 63
2 De Graafschap 28 16 11 1 61 27 14 10 4 0 36 10 14 6 7 1 25 17 34 59
3 Jong Ajax 28 16 6 6 72 43 14 9 3 2 40 17 14 7 3 4 32 26 29 54
4 FC Volendam 28 15 7 6 53 42 14 8 5 1 31 20 14 7 2 5 22 22 11 52
5 Go Ahead Eagles 28 12 12 4 48 39 14 7 7 0 26 12 14 5 5 4 22 27 9 48
6 NAC Breda 28 13 8 7 44 29 14 8 3 3 23 11 14 5 5 4 21 18 15 47
7 Excelsior 28 12 8 8 62 55 14 8 3 3 41 32 14 4 5 5 21 23 7 44
8 NEC 28 11 9 8 49 36 14 6 5 3 24 17 14 5 4 5 25 19 13 42
9 FC Den Bosch 28 10 11 7 55 47 14 6 6 2 30 18 14 4 5 5 25 29 8 41
10 Almere City 28 12 5 11 42 41 14 10 1 3 25 14 14 2 4 8 17 27 1 41
11 Telstar 28 11 8 9 46 48 14 7 1 6 20 21 14 4 7 3 26 27 -2 41
12 Jong Utrecht 28 10 8 10 47 45 14 8 5 1 33 18 14 2 3 9 14 27 2 38
13 FC Eindhoven 28 9 6 13 44 57 14 7 4 3 27 21 14 2 2 10 17 36 -13 33
14 Jong AZ 28 7 7 14 45 58 14 6 4 4 26 22 14 1 3 10 19 36 -13 28
15 MVV Maastricht 28 7 6 15 37 50 14 6 4 4 23 17 14 1 2 11 14 33 -13 27
16 TOP Oss 28 6 6 16 26 51 14 5 3 6 17 19 14 1 3 10 9 32 -25 24
17 Roda JC Kerkrade 28 5 10 13 35 48 14 4 4 6 28 28 14 1 6 7 7 20 -13 22
18 Jong PSV 28 5 7 16 34 55 14 4 5 5 18 19 14 1 2 11 16 36 -21 22
19 FC Dordrecht 28 4 7 17 33 65 14 2 4 8 18 29 14 2 3 9 15 36 -32 19
20 Helmond Sport 28 3 7 18 24 61 14 2 4 8 13 24 14 1 3 10 11 37 -37 16

More from Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.