Eerste Divisie preview: Can De Graafschap edge out victory against Almere City?

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Fri 21.January
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion De Vijverberg (12600 seats)

De Graafschap have won 37 points playing as the home team. Almere City have claimed 17 points using the away locker rooms. What are the odds of this being a home win?

Insights:
  • De Graafschap have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Almere City have the most conceded goals (52) in Eerste Divisie

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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De Graafschap form and stats

3 victories, 3 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what De Graafschap have to build on here at Stadion De Vijverberg in the Eerste Divisie. Three consecutive losses here at Stadion De Vijverberg is hard to swallow for the home team. Both players, staff and the home crowd are desperate to get something from this match.

An away draw last time out for De Graafschap, facing Excelsior in a game that ended 0-0. The goalie Jurjus was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 7.7 out of ten. Jurjus stopped the opponent with three saves and topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that game, the home loss against VVV-Venlo with the scoreline 1-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Graafschap have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won zero times, drawn one and lost three.

De Graafschap has scored 11 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. De Graafschap's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 16 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Almere City form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Almere City so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 2-3-6 (win-draw-lose). Three has not been a lucky number for Almere City as they have been defeated three times in a row since the NAC Breda match.

The manager Pastoor was unhappy after their last game, a Eerste Divisie match played at their home ground Yanmar Stadion. Almere City suffered a 0-4 loss to Roda JC Kerkrade (placed 6th). Almere City lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 0-4 beating and focus on this one. van Leeuwen, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.02. Leeuwen dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

A 1-5 defeat away at Jong PSV before that.

We have checked recent matches where Almere City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those four games were two victories, two draws and zero defeats.

The travelling fans enjoy Almere City's attacking play in away games, having scored 17 goals in 11 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. The Almere manager Pastoor has some worries about the defense as 26 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The newest registered match between these squads is the Almere City - De Graafschap 1-2 played earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's five De Graafschap victories, three draws and two Almere City wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Almere CityL. Duijvestijn
L. Duijvestijn
9 goals
Almere CityJ. Arweiler
J. Arweiler
9 goals
De GraafschapJ. Konings
J. Konings
6 goals

De Graafschap missing players

Almere City missing players

De Graafschap Almere City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 5 11 22
11 3 0 Won W 0 2 4
4 3 1 Drew D 2 3 5
7 5 1 Lost L 3 6 13
34 11 2 Scored S 4 17 34
25 16 3 Conceded C 10 26 52
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
82% 73% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 91% 95%
64% 55% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 73% 73%
27% 27% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 36% 45%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 36% 32%
50% 45% 50% BTTS BTTS 80% 82% 73%
36% 27% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 9%
23% 36% 50% Failed to Score F T 20% 18% 18%
 
7.1 7.7 9.5 Corners for (avg) C F 7.8 6.2 5.1
3.6 3 1.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 5 5.5
1.3 1.5 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.5 1.1
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
14.3 14.6 19 Shots (avg) S ( 12 11.3 10.5
5.7 5.6 8.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 4.1 4
27% 18% 12% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 38% 38%
 
9 8.6 5 Shots against (avg) S A 13.4 12.3 11.1
3.4 3.5 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.4 5.4 5.3
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • Almere City have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Almere City have the most conceded goals (52) in Eerste Divisie
  • Almere City have the most conceded goals in the second half (30) in Eerste Divisie
  • Almere City have the most dropped points from leading position (29) in Eerste Divisie
  • Almere City have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Almere City haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • De Graafschap have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 FC Volendam 22 14 7 1 52 28 11 8 2 1 28 15 11 6 5 0 24 13 24 49
2 Excelsior 21 13 4 4 48 26 10 5 3 2 21 13 11 8 1 2 27 13 22 43
3 FC Emmen 21 13 3 5 32 15 9 6 0 3 17 6 12 7 3 2 15 9 17 42
4 Jong Ajax 21 12 4 5 47 32 10 6 2 2 25 15 11 6 2 3 22 17 15 40
5 ADO Den Haag 20 14 2 4 48 24 10 8 0 2 26 12 10 6 2 2 22 12 24 38
6 Roda JC Kerkrade 22 10 7 5 43 28 11 4 4 3 17 14 11 6 3 2 26 14 15 37
7 De Graafschap 22 11 4 7 34 25 11 3 3 5 11 16 11 8 1 2 23 9 9 37
8 FC Eindhoven 22 10 5 7 38 28 11 7 3 1 23 11 11 3 2 6 15 17 10 35
9 NAC Breda 22 7 8 7 32 27 11 5 5 1 17 7 11 2 3 6 15 20 5 29
10 Jong PSV 22 8 5 9 38 34 11 5 2 4 21 15 11 3 3 5 17 19 4 29
11 VVV-Venlo 22 8 2 12 26 33 12 5 1 6 17 19 10 3 1 6 9 14 -7 26
12 FC Den Bosch 21 8 2 11 25 39 11 6 0 5 12 19 10 2 2 6 13 20 -14 26
13 Telstar 22 5 8 9 25 42 11 2 4 5 14 24 11 3 4 4 11 18 -17 23
14 MVV Maastricht 22 7 2 13 23 43 11 4 2 5 15 18 11 3 0 8 8 25 -20 23
15 Jong AZ 20 6 4 10 19 25 11 4 3 4 11 12 9 2 1 6 8 13 -6 22
16 Jong Utrecht 22 6 4 12 24 39 11 3 0 8 9 21 11 3 4 4 15 18 -15 22
17 Helmond Sport 21 5 5 11 19 32 11 3 2 6 10 19 10 2 3 5 9 13 -13 20
18 FC Oss 20 4 6 10 23 33 10 2 4 4 14 17 10 2 2 6 9 16 -10 18
19 Almere City 22 4 5 13 34 52 11 2 2 7 17 26 11 2 3 6 17 26 -18 17
20 FC Dordrecht 21 3 5 13 25 50 10 1 4 5 11 20 11 2 1 8 14 30 -25 14

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.