Liga Ascenso prediction and preview: Cafetaleros de Tapachula modest favorites to beat Cimarrones de Sonora

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Competition: Mexico Liga Ascenso
Date: Sun 04.August
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula (22000 seats)

It's game two of the Liga Ascenso season and everything to play for. Read our full preview!

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Cafetaleros de Tapachula and Cimarrones de Sonora.

It's quite the trip for Cimarrones de Sonora when visiting Cafetaleros de Tapachula as the cities are 3000 kilometers apart.

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Cafetaleros de Tapachula form and stats

Only one draw at home so far for Cafetaleros de Tapachula. Last season their home statistics were 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from seven matches.

Cafetaleros de Tapachula drew their last game, also a home match. Cimarrones de Sonora was the opponent, 0-0 the score. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-3 away at Juárez.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Cafetaleros de Tapachula have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won 5 times, drawn 1 and lost 4.

Early season goal statistics from Cafetaleros de Tapachula's 1 home game: 0 goals, 0 conceded.

Last season, Cafetaleros de Tapachula's league statistics were 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, resulting in a 13th position in the Liga Ascenso. Over these 14 matches they scored 23 goals and conceded 25. Playing at home last season Cafetaleros de Tapachula managed 3-2-2 (win-draw-lost) with 13 goals and 9 conceded.

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Cimarrones de Sonora form and stats

The visitors are W0-D1-L0 on the road this term.

Cimarrones de Sonora has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Cafetaleros de Tapachula for a Liga Ascenso game that ended a draw (0-0). Preceding that, the 0-2 home loss versus Dorados.

Cimarrones de Sonora are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 3 draws and 9 defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Cimarrones de Sonora has the goal stats of 0-0 (for/against) from 1 business trip at the early stages of this season.

Let's have a look at how Cimarrones de Sonora performed last season in the Liga Ascenso: They landed a 4th position in the league table after playing out 6 victories, 4 draws and 4 defeats. In total they scored 12 and conceded 17 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 2 - drew 2 and lost 3 with 4/11 goals scored/conceded.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Cafetaleros de Tapachula - Cimarrones de Sonora 0-0. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 4 wins for Cafetaleros de Tapachula, 3 draws and 3 wins for Cimarrones de Sonora. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 6 games.

Top Goalscorers

Cafetaleros de Tapachula missing players

Cimarrones de Sonora missing players

Cafetaleros de Tapachula Cimarrones de Sonora
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
1 1 0 Played 0 1 1
0 0 0 Won 0 0 0
1 1 0 Drew 0 1 1
0 0 0 Lost 0 0 0
0 0 0 Scored 0 0 0
0 0 0 Conceded 0 0 0
0% 0% 0% Over 0.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 0% 0%
100% 100% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Failed To Score 0% 100% 100%
 
6 6 0 Corners For (avg) 0 1 1
1 1 0 Corners Against (avg) 0 6 6
1 1 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 0 0
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Cafetaleros de Tapachula Last season Cimarrones de Sonora
Total Home   Statistic   Away Total
28 14   Played   16 32
7 5   Won   5 13
6 3   Drew   4 9
15 6   Lost   7 10
41 23   Scored   15 34
53 22   Conceded   25 41
96% 100%   Over 0.5   88% 84%
89% 86%   Over 1.5   56% 66%
68% 64%   Over 2.5   50% 47%
50% 50%   Over 3.5   31% 22%
25% 21%   Over 4.5   19% 12%
71% 57%   BTTS   44% 50%
14% 14%   Clean Sheets   25% 28%
18% 29%   Failed To Score   44% 38%
 
3.5 4.2   Corners For (avg)   3.3 3.9
4.4 4.3   Corners Against (avg)   6 5.3
2.2 2.1   Yellow Cards (avg)   2.4 2.2
5 2   Red Cards   2 5
Key stats last season:
  • Cafetaleros de Tapachula haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Cafetaleros de Tapachula
All Liga Ascenso Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away
09-03-19 LA Venados 2 - 1 Cafetaleros de Tapachula
16-03-19 LA Cafetaleros de Tapachula 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis
31-03-19 LA Celaya 1 - 1 Cafetaleros de Tapachula
14-04-19 LA Juárez 3 - 1 Cafetaleros de Tapachula
04-08-19 LA Cafetaleros de Tapachula 0 - 0 Cimarrones de Sonora
07-08-19 CM Cafetaleros de Tapachula 00:00 Monterrey
11-08-19 LA Universidad Guadalajara 17:00 Cafetaleros de Tapachula
14-08-19 CM Universidad Guadalajara - Cafetaleros de Tapachula
18-08-19 LA Cafetaleros de Tapachula - Atlante
24-08-19 LA Zacatepec FC 22:00 Cafetaleros de Tapachula
Cimarrones de Sonora
All Liga Ascenso Copa MX
All Home Away
06-04-19 LA Atlético Zacatepec 4 - 0 Cimarrones de Sonora
13-04-19 LA Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - 1 Correcaminos UAT
19-04-19 LA Dorados 1 - 0 Cimarrones de Sonora
22-04-19 LA Cimarrones de Sonora 0 - 2 Dorados
04-08-19 LA Cafetaleros de Tapachula 0 - 0 Cimarrones de Sonora
09-08-19 LA Cimarrones de Sonora 02:00 Zacatepec FC
14-08-19 CM Cimarrones de Sonora 02:00 Morelia
18-08-19 LA Celaya 17:00 Cimarrones de Sonora
26-08-19 LA Cimarrones de Sonora 02:00 Tampico Madero
31-08-19 LA Loros Universidad 22:00 Cimarrones de Sonora

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Potros UAEM 1 1 0 0 4 0 1 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 3
2 Atlético Zacatepec 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 3
3 Dorados 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
4 Venados 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
5 Atlante 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
6 Cafetaleros de Tapachula 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
8 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
11 Celaya 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
12 Loros Universidad 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
13 Tampico Madero 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
14 Correcaminos UAT 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

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