Liga Ascenso prediction and preview: Atlante modest favorites to beat Dorados

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Competition: Mexico Liga Ascenso
Date: Sat 01.February
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo (20000 seats)

It's the second chance for points this season as Atlante and Dorados battle it out at Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Copa MX.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Atlante form and stats

Atlante haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 302 minutes ago. O. Islas scored that one.

In their previous game, the manager A. Diego Tejado led his Atlante to a defeat in the Liga Ascenso match away at Celaya. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo. Preceding that match was a defeat to Atletico Zacatepec (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Atlante have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 18 games) they have won 11 times, drawn 5 and lost 2.

Last season, Atlante's league statistics were 5 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, resulting in a 9th position in the Liga Ascenso. Over these 14 matches they scored 26 goals and conceded 21. Playing at home last season Atlante managed 4-0-4 (win-draw-lost) with 17 goals and 11 conceded.

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Dorados form and stats

It's three draws from Dorados's last three away games, a decent catch but one that could be so much better.

Dorados are looking to quickly end their 396 minutes long goal drought in the Liga Ascenso.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Copa MX home defeat versus Guadalajara with 0-1 on the scoreboard. A 0-3 loss hosting Correcaminos UAT before that.

Dorados are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

Let's have a look at how Dorados performed last season in the Liga Ascenso: They landed a 5th position in the league table after playing out 5 victories, 5 draws and 4 defeats. In total they scored 21 and conceded 19 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 2 - drew 3 and lost 1 with 9/8 goals scored/conceded.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Dorados - Atlante 0-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 5 Atlante victories, 2 draws and 3 Dorados wins. 3 of these games ended with three goals or more, 7 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

AtlanteS. Sosa Sánchez
S. Sosa Sánchez
5 goals
AtlanteO. Islas Hernández
O. Islas Hernández
4 goals
DoradosV. Angulo Pata
V. Angulo Pata
3 goals

Atlante missing players

Dorados missing players

Atlante Dorados
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
18 9 1 Played P 1 6 14
7 5 0 Won W 1 1 3
7 3 1 Drew D 0 4 7
4 1 0 Lost L 0 1 4
18 13 0 Scored S 2 6 13
13 5 0 Conceded C 1 6 15
72% 78% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 79%
56% 67% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 64%
39% 44% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 33% 36%
6% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 14%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
33% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 83% 50%
50% 56% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 36%
44% 33% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 17% 36%
 
5.2 5.4 9 Corners For (avg) C F 1 4.7 4.9
3.7 3.3 3 Corners Against (avg) C A 6 3.5 3.9
2.4 2.1 3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1 1.8 1.3
3 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
 
149 93 11 Total Shots T S 5 46 112
60 44 3 Shots on Target S O 4 21 48
30% 30% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 29% 27%
Key stats in Liga Ascenso this season:
  • Atlante have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlante have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Atlante have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Dorados have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Correcaminos UAT 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 3 3
2 Cimarrones de Sonora 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 3
3 Venados 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
4 Celaya 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
5 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 3
6 Universidad Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
7 Atletico Zacatepec 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
8 Zacatepec FC 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
9 Atlante 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
10 Cafetaleros de Tapachula 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
11 Tampico Madero 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 0
12 Dorados 1 0 0 1 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 0

Read more about Liga Ascenso

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.