Football betting preview: Nouadhibou favourites when Ksar visits

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Competition: Mauritania Super D1
Competition: Mon 28.September
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya (5000 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Nouadhibou fans are optimistic that the difference between 2nd and Ksar's 14th place in the table will show on the pitch.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Nouadhibou are battling for top spots and have everything to play for. For Ksar it's their last days at this level as relegation is a fact.

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Nouadhibou form and stats

22 points is a decent return from 9 Super D1 games here at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya for Nouadhibou. The data says 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Nouadhibou has a nice streak going on as they have played 13 consecutive leaguegames without losing (regardless of home/away). They are keen to extend their tally, a streak that began after the Tidjikja defeat 268 days ago. It’s been three wins in a row for Nouadhibou here at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

A strong away win for Nouadhibou against Police the last match. In the game before, an away victory match versus Sahel with a 2-0 scoreline.

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Nouadhibou home games with this odds we find one game with a similar winning chance. Resulting in one win, zero draws and zero defeats. Looking at the victories, one match were won by at least two goals.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (20 in 9 games), Nouadhibou's attacking play is working. From these home matches, Nouadhibou have conceded only 7 goals.

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Ksar form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Ksar, who have the fewest scored goals (6) in Super D1, so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 0-5-7 (win-draw-lose). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in twelve away games in a row. Ksar are desperate to end a 22-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Concorde fixture.

Ksar's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Sahel that finished 1-1.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Ksar played away with similar odds. This revealed two games. The visitors overcame the odds to win zero times, one were draw and the home team won as expected one time.

Goals are few and far between in Ksar's away league games. Only 4 goals from 12 travels. Ksar have conceded 15 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Ksar - Nouadhibou 0-3. As for the last three games between these two teams, there's two Nouadhibou victories, one draw and zero Ksar wins. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, two matches with two goals or less.

Nouadhibou missing players

Ksar missing players

Nouadhibou Ksar
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 9 4 Played P 3 12 22
15 7 4 Won W 0 0 0
2 1 0 Drew D 1 5 8
4 1 0 Lost L 2 7 14
35 20 10 Scored S 2 4 6
14 7 1 Conceded C 6 15 35
95% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 82%
71% 89% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 58% 64%
43% 67% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 17% 27%
14% 33% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 8% 14%
10% 22% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
38% 56% 25% BTTS BTTS 67% 33% 27%
52% 44% 75% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 18%
14% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 67% 73%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
3 2.4 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 1.8
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
282 126 52 Total Shots T S 36 76 169
127 59 25 Shots on Target S O 18 30 65
24% 34% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 6% 10% 8%
Key stats in Super D1 this season:
  • Ksar has the fewest scored goals (4) away in Super D1
  • Ksar has the fewest scored goals (6) in Super D1
  • Ksar has the fewest scored goals in the second half (1) in Super D1
  • Ksar have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Ksar have yet to win a game.
  • Nouadhibou has the the best goal difference (+13) at home in Super D1
  • Nouadhibou has the the best goal difference (+21) in Super D1
  • Nouadhibou have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nouadhibou have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Nouadhibou have scored more than double the goals of Ksar.
  • Nouadhibou is in the best form (6-0-0)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tevragh-Zeine 22 14 6 2 27 10 13 8 4 1 16 5 9 6 2 1 11 5 17 48
2 Nouadhibou 21 15 2 4 35 14 9 7 1 1 20 7 12 8 1 3 15 7 21 47
3 Concorde 23 12 6 5 32 19 12 7 2 3 17 14 11 5 4 2 15 5 13 42
4 Kedia 22 11 7 4 22 11 10 4 5 1 8 3 12 7 2 3 14 8 11 40
5 Nouakchott King's 23 10 7 6 31 22 10 5 4 1 15 6 13 5 3 5 16 16 9 37
6 Tidjikja 23 10 5 8 35 24 13 7 2 4 17 12 10 3 3 4 18 12 11 35
7 Police 22 9 8 5 20 17 12 4 4 4 10 11 10 5 4 1 10 6 3 35
8 Kaedi 23 7 7 9 26 23 11 5 3 3 21 12 12 2 4 6 5 11 3 28
9 Médine 23 8 4 11 21 27 10 3 2 5 6 8 13 5 2 6 15 19 -6 28
10 SNIM 22 7 6 9 17 18 12 3 4 5 10 10 10 4 2 4 7 8 -1 27
11 Garde Nationale 22 6 5 11 22 24 12 3 2 7 8 13 10 3 3 4 14 11 -2 23
12 Sahel 23 6 5 12 17 34 12 5 3 4 10 12 11 1 2 8 7 22 -17 23
13 JAHE 23 2 4 17 15 48 11 2 1 8 9 24 12 0 3 9 6 24 -33 10
14 Ksar 22 0 8 14 6 35 10 0 3 7 2 20 12 0 5 7 4 15 -29 8