Super League match prediction: Little separates Mzuni and Kamuzu Barracks in quality

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Competition: Malawi Super League
Date: Sun 08.September
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Mzuzu Stadium (10000 seats)

The visiting Kamuzu Barracks side should be favourites in this visit to Mzuni, as the away team holds a 12 point advantage from their 18 league games this season.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Mzuni and Kamuzu Barracks.

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Mzuni form and stats

Mzuni, who have the fewest scored goals (12) in Super League, have collected 14 points from their Super League home games so far after 3-5-2. The trend of drawing games is also valid regardless of arena as Mzuni has four draws from their last four matches. Three draws from their last three home games means a steady supply of points here at Mzuzu Stadium, but a victory now would be sweet for Mzuni.

Mzuni drew their last game, also a home match. Kamuzu Barracks (placed 3rd) was the opponent, 0-0 the score. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Ntopwa that ended 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Mzuni perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Mzuni as a small favourite), we find two games. Mzuni has won 0 of these, drawn 1 and lost 1.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Mzuni here at Mzuzu Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (7 from 10 games). Mzuni are not conceding a lot of goals here at Mzuzu Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 10 matches.

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Kamuzu Barracks form and stats

4-2-2 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Kamuzu Barracks, who have the fewest conceded goals (8) in Super League, in their Super League matches away.

Kamuzu Barracks has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Mzuni for a Super League game that ended a draw (0-0). Prior to that match, the Kamuzu Barracks manager faced defeat when travelling to Moyale Barracks and losing 0-1.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found three similar matches played by Kamuzu Barracks in our archives, and the results are: 1 win for Kamuzu Barracks, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

The attacking power of Kamuzu Barracks when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 8 league matches away. The Kamuzu Barracks defense is a tough nut to crack, having conceded less than half a goal per away game on average (4 goals in 8 games).

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Mzuni - Kamuzu Barracks 0-0. Head-2-head stats last six meetings: 2 - 3 - 1 (Mzuni wins - draws - Kamuzu Barracks wins). As for goals, 0 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 6 had two or less.

Mzuni missing players

Kamuzu Barracks missing players

Mzuni Kamuzu Barracks
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs low Away Total
17 10 1 Played 2 8 18
4 3 0 Won 2 4 8
7 5 1 Drew 0 2 7
6 2 0 Lost 0 2 3
12 7 0 Scored 3 6 14
18 7 0 Conceded 1 4 8
71% 70% 0% Over 0.5 100% 75% 72%
47% 40% 0% Over 1.5 50% 38% 39%
29% 20% 0% Over 2.5 50% 12% 11%
18% 10% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
29% 30% 0% BTTS 50% 12% 22%
53% 60% 100% Clean Sheets 50% 62% 61%
47% 40% 100% Failed To Score 0% 50% 44%
 
2.8 3.8 2 Corners For (avg) 1 4.2 4.1
3.8 4.1 9 Corners Against (avg) 5 4 4.4
1.1 1.1 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 4 1.3 1.1
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Kamuzu Barracks have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Mzuni have won significantly more corners at home than away.

Mzuni
10-08-19 SL Chitipa United 1 - 0 Mzuni
11-08-19 SL Mzuni 0 - 0 Karonga United
18-08-19 SL Kamuzu Barracks 0 - 0 Mzuni
02-09-19 SL Mzuni 1 - 1 Ntopwa
08-09-19 SL Mzuni 0 - 0 Kamuzu Barracks
14-09-19 SL Karonga United 12:30 Mzuni
27-09-19 SL Mzuni 12:30 Be Forward Wanderers
06-10-19 SL Mzuni 12:30 Chitipa United
20-10-19 SL Mzuni 12:30 Blue eagles Malawi
26-10-19 SL Mzuni 12:30 Silver Strikers
Kamuzu Barracks
14-08-19 SL Kamuzu Barracks 1 - 1 Masters Security
18-08-19 SL Kamuzu Barracks 0 - 0 Mzuni
31-08-19 SL Kamuzu Barracks 0 - 1 Be Forward Wanderers
07-09-19 SL Moyale Barracks 1 - 0 Kamuzu Barracks
08-09-19 SL Mzuni 0 - 0 Kamuzu Barracks
14-09-19 SL Kamuzu Barracks 12:30 Blue eagles Malawi
22-09-19 SL Masters Security 12:30 Kamuzu Barracks
27-09-19 SL Chitipa United 12:30 Kamuzu Barracks
28-09-19 SL Karonga United 12:30 Kamuzu Barracks
06-10-19 SL EPAC United 12:30 Kamuzu Barracks

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Be Forward Wanderers 16 11 3 2 34 9 8 6 0 2 27 8 8 5 3 0 7 1 25 36
2 Big Bullets 16 9 5 2 37 9 8 5 3 0 23 4 8 4 2 2 14 5 28 32
3 Kamuzu Barracks 18 8 7 3 14 8 10 4 5 1 8 4 8 4 2 2 6 4 6 31
4 Silver Strikers 16 8 5 3 19 15 9 5 3 1 11 7 7 3 2 2 8 8 4 29
5 Blue eagles Malawi 16 8 4 4 26 20 8 6 1 1 13 8 8 2 3 3 13 12 6 28
6 TN Stars 17 8 3 6 16 23 8 4 2 2 7 7 9 4 1 4 9 16 -7 27
7 EPAC United 18 7 4 7 24 20 8 5 1 2 15 5 10 2 3 5 9 15 4 25
8 Moyale Barracks 17 7 3 7 21 22 7 5 1 1 10 5 10 2 2 6 11 17 -1 24
9 Karonga United 17 6 4 7 20 23 9 5 1 3 14 8 8 1 3 4 6 15 -3 22
10 Azam Tigers 16 4 8 4 14 16 7 2 4 1 5 4 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 20
11 Chitipa United 17 4 7 6 18 23 9 3 3 3 12 14 8 1 4 3 6 9 -5 19
12 Mzuni 17 4 7 6 12 18 10 3 5 2 7 7 7 1 2 4 5 11 -6 19
13 Dwangwa United 18 4 3 11 18 34 9 3 2 4 13 15 9 1 1 7 5 19 -16 15
14 Ntopwa 17 4 2 11 22 27 9 3 1 5 13 11 8 1 1 6 6 14 -5 14
15 Mlatho Mponela 17 3 4 10 13 26 7 3 1 3 9 9 10 0 3 7 4 17 -13 13
16 Masters Security 17 2 7 8 14 29 9 1 5 3 5 9 8 1 2 5 9 20 -15 13

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