Delightful dogfight as daring Atmosfera duel with determined Minija

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Competition: Lithuania 1. Lyga
Competition: Fri 04.November
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Mazeikiu m. centrinis stadionas (2400 seats)

1. Lyga: Tipsway are looking at an exciting and highly important game starring Atmosfera and Minija at Mazeikiu m. centrinis stadionas. They both need to win this!

Insights:
  • Atmosfera have the most conceded goals in the first half (31) in 1. Lyga
  • Minija have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Atmosfera and Minija should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

W L L L L

Atmosfera form and stats

Atmosfera's struggle is real here at Mazeikiu m. centrinis stadionas with only 10 points collected from 14 1. Lyga games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 2-4-8. When Atmosfera hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Atmosfera, FA Siauliai II, Garliava and Banga II), they have won 2 of 3 matches! Atmosfera are very eager to stop a potential losing streak at Mazeikiu m. centrinis stadionas, having lost their two previous games here.

A good away victory last time out for Atmosfera, who won 2-1 against BFA (placed 7th). A big relief, as that was the first three points in the league after going winless in eight consecutive matches.

Preceding that match was the home game against Ekranas that was lost 1-4.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Atmosfera have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 4 games) they have won 1 time, drawn 1 and lost 2.

Sports gamblers, take note: A review of the 14 most recent league games reveals that 12 of them had goals from both sides.

Atmosfera has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. Atmosfera have conceded 29 goals in these home games, a significant number.

D L W D W

Minija form and stats

There's been little loot from Minija's travels as they have only collected 8 points from 14 away games in the 1. Lyga. Minija only have 2 wins to counter their 10 defeats and 2 draws.

There were no winners in Minija's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Babrungas (placed 6th).

A 1-3 defeat away at Trakai II before that.

We have checked recent matches where Minija have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

The attacking power of Minija when travelling is not overwhelming with 12 goals scored from 14 league matches away. When Minija is visiting a side on the bottom half, 2 of 3 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Minija, FA Siauliai II, Garliava and Banga II.

Head 2 Head

The most up to date registered history featuring both these sides is the Minija - Atmosfera 0-2 played previously this season. Head-2-head stats last seven meetings: three - one - three (Atmosfera wins - draws - Minija wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three had two or less.

Atmosfera missing players

Minija missing players

Atmosfera Minija
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
28 14 3 Played P 3 14 28
6 2 2 Won W 0 2 7
6 4 0 Drew D 0 2 6
16 8 1 Lost L 3 10 15
39 19 7 Scored S 2 12 24
61 29 5 Conceded C 6 28 39
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 89%
86% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 68%
68% 71% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 57% 39%
39% 43% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 18%
25% 21% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 7%
68% 71% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 57% 43%
4% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 21%
29% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 43% 46%
 
6.5 8 11.3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 3.8 4.3
5 4 2.3 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.2 5.1
1.9 1.4 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.7 2
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
15.3 18.6 22.7 Shots (avg) S ( 6.5 7.8 8.5
5.7 6.1 8.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3.7 3.1
27% 25% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 23% 24%
 
11.8 11.1 10.3 Shots against (avg) S A 9 13.2 12.4
5 4.7 4.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 6.2 5.8
Key stats in 1. Lyga this season:
  • Atmosfera have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Atmosfera have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atmosfera have the most conceded goals in the first half (31) in 1. Lyga
  • Atmosfera have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Atmosfera haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Minija have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Minija have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dainava 28 19 4 5 67 31 15 12 3 0 45 15 13 7 1 5 22 16 36 61
2 Nevėžis 28 17 6 5 51 24 14 11 1 2 30 12 14 6 5 3 21 12 27 57
3 Neptuna Klaipeda 28 17 5 6 59 33 14 10 3 1 30 13 14 7 2 5 29 20 26 56
3 Siauliai II 2 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 5 2 3 6
4 Be1 NFA 28 14 11 3 36 18 14 10 4 0 21 8 14 4 7 3 15 10 18 53
5 Silas 28 16 4 8 50 39 14 10 2 2 29 12 14 6 2 6 21 27 11 52
6 Babrungas 27 12 6 9 49 30 12 7 2 3 31 12 15 5 4 6 18 18 19 42
7 BFA 27 11 4 12 51 41 15 7 3 5 34 20 12 4 1 7 17 21 10 37
8 Panevezys II 28 10 6 12 47 58 14 5 3 6 25 31 14 5 3 6 22 27 -11 36
9 Ekranas 28 11 5 12 45 46 13 5 3 5 17 18 15 6 2 7 28 28 -1 35
10 Zalgiris II 28 8 8 12 38 47 14 4 3 7 18 24 14 4 5 5 20 23 -9 32
11 Trakai II 28 7 10 11 40 46 15 5 5 5 24 25 13 2 5 6 16 21 -6 31
12 FA Siauliai II 28 9 3 16 31 52 13 3 2 8 11 21 15 6 1 8 20 31 -21 30
13 Garliava 28 8 5 15 29 49 14 5 2 7 15 20 14 3 3 8 14 29 -20 29
14 Minija 28 7 6 15 24 39 14 5 4 5 12 11 14 2 2 10 12 28 -15 27
15 Atmosfera 28 6 6 16 39 61 14 2 4 8 19 29 14 4 2 8 20 32 -22 24
16 Banga II 28 4 5 19 23 65 14 3 3 8 15 32 14 1 2 11 8 33 -42 17