Experts' prediction: Riga set to get maximum points from Tukums visit

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Competition: Latvia Virsliga
Competition: Sun 23.Jul
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tukuma pilsētas stadions (1000 seats)

Tukums saw a 3-1 score versus Progress / AFA Olaine in their previous week, a game to remember. The next task is this firm Riga side.

Insights:
  • Riga have the most scored goals in the first half (25) in Virsliga

This football stadium uses grass, unlike Riga's home arena. The previous 18 games by the guests on grass have seen 12 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses.

Riga could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Europa Conference League game only three sleeps ago. That game was also an away game, at Víkingur Reykjavík. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

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Tukums form and stats

Tukums are returning here after guesting Progress / AFA Olaine in a Latvian Cup game and winning with a 3-1 scoreline.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Valmiera / BSS (0-6).

The home team are doomed in this game if you believe the odds offered on Riga to win. Let's see if Tukums are capable of creating a surprise here by looking at their earlier home games as massive outsiders: 17 games found revealing 2 Tukums wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats.

Lots of goals and action? Nobody knows the future, but we do know that 12 of the 16 latest league matches with this club has had three or more goals.

Tukums are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 11 goals in 10 games. Tukums have conceded 19 from these games.

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Riga form and stats

Riga's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Riga collect 26 points from their 11 away matches in the Virsliga. 8 victories and 2 draws have created these points (and only 1 defeat).

Two away games in a row for Riga, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 vs Víkingur Reykjavík in the Europa Conference League.

Ahead of that, the Latvian Cup victory away at PPK. Again, the away team are huge favourites in this match and any other result would be an upset. We checked our Tipsway database for earlier, recent games with Riga given similar win odds in an away game. This check revealed 16 matches with 12 wins as expected, 3 draws and 1 surprise home win. The favourites won 11 of these games by at least two goals.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Riga manager Stipić as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Kecskemeti TE.

With an average of more than two away goals per league game away, Riga are regular goalscorers on their travels. The Riga defense is a tough nut to crack, having conceded less than half a goal per away game on average ({4 goals} in 11 games). It's worth mentioning that 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Riga have been victorious in every one of the 11 most recent duels against this side. Will the streak continue?

These teams met each other before this season: Riga - Tukums 5-1.

Top Goalscorers

RigaM. Regža
M. Regža
12 goals
TukumsR. Ķiršs
R. Ķiršs
7 goals
RigaD. Aurélio
D. Aurélio
6 goals

Tukums missing players

Riga missing players

Tukums Riga
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
22 10 2 Played P 4 11 22
6 3 0 Won W 3 8 17
5 3 1 Drew D 1 2 4
11 4 1 Lost L 0 1 1
32 11 1 Scored S 11 24 53
50 19 7 Conceded C 3 4 11
95% 90% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 95%
82% 80% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 82% 82%
64% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 45% 55%
50% 30% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 75% 36% 41%
36% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 9%
55% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 75% 27% 41%
23% 30% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 64% 55%
27% 30% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 18% 9%
 
4 3.7 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 11.2 10.4 9.5
5.5 4.6 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 4 3
2.3 2.1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 1.6 1.6
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
8.3 8.2 10 Shots (avg) S ( 19 15.2 15.5
3.6 3 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.8 5.3 5.8
41% 37% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 58% 41% 42%
 
10.7 7.6 5.5 Shots against (avg) S A 5.5 5.8 5.6
4.4 2.7 1.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.8 1.9 2
Key stats in Virsliga this season:
  • Riga have created more than twice as many corners as Tukums.
  • Riga have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Riga have scored at least twice as many goals away as Tukums have scored home.
  • Riga have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Virsliga
  • Riga have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (5) in Virsliga
  • Riga have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Virsliga
  • Riga have the most points (26) away in Virsliga
  • Riga have the most scored goals in the first half (25) in Virsliga
  • Riga have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Riga 22 17 4 1 53 11 11 9 2 0 29 7 11 8 2 1 24 4 42 55
2 Rigas FS 22 15 7 0 53 9 10 9 1 0 20 3 12 6 6 0 33 6 44 52
3 Valmiera / BSS 22 9 7 6 29 21 11 6 4 1 20 8 11 3 3 5 9 13 8 34
4 Liepaja 21 9 4 8 32 32 12 4 3 5 13 21 9 5 1 3 19 11 0 31
5 Auda 22 8 7 7 23 24 10 3 3 4 7 15 12 5 4 3 16 9 -1 31
6 Metta / LU 21 6 6 9 26 36 10 3 2 5 10 17 11 3 4 4 16 19 -10 24
7 Tukums 22 6 5 11 32 50 10 3 3 4 11 19 12 3 2 7 21 31 -18 23
8 FC Daugavpils / Progress 22 5 7 10 30 32 12 4 5 3 21 19 10 1 2 7 9 13 -2 22
9 FS Jelgava 22 5 5 12 26 41 12 5 3 4 18 18 10 0 2 8 8 23 -15 20
10 Super Nova 22 2 2 18 19 67 11 2 1 8 10 37 11 0 1 10 9 30 -48 8