Latvian Cup betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Valmiera / BSS - Tukums game

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Competition: Latvia Latvian Cup
Competition: Wed 21.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs

Perhaps a welcome break from league football as Valmiera / BSS & Tukums face off to decide who makes it to next stage of the Latvian Cup. All the pre-match information is available here!

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

W D D W L

Valmiera / BSS form and stats

Valmiera / BSS was eliminated in the 8th finals last season in the Latvian Cup.

Valmiera / BSS have collected 21 points from their Virsliga home games so far after 6-3-2.

The Valmiera supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Tukums in Virsliga and win 5-0. Preceding that game was the away draw at Ventspils that finished 1-1.

As mentioned above, Valmiera "killed" Tukums in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency. E. Punculs was absolutely essential when Valmiera beat Tukums 5-0, scoring three goals.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Virsliga game versus Spartaks Jūrmala in only four days. This game is also played here at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.

A decent goal production from Valmiera in their home games so far, with 21 goals from 11 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only -1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Valmiera are not conceding a lot of goals here at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 10 from 11 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only -1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

L W L W D

Tukums form and stats

Last season their Latvian Cup adventure ended in the quarter-finals.

There's been little loot from Tukums's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 11 away games in the Virsliga. Tukums only have 0 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Tukums have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone eleven consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Grobina game.

Tukums lost away at Valmiera / BSS (0-5) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. That result followed a home victory 2-1 versus FC Daugavpils / Progress in the Virsliga.

As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Valmiera / BSS was particularly ugly (0-5). The humiliation is still top of mind.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Tukums as the away team, we found five results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, zero draws and five defeats. The outsiders lost five of these games by at least two goals.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Metta / LU in just four days.

The attacking power of Tukums when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 11 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only -1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that Tukums concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only -1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Valmiera seven wins, two draws and Tukums one victory. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Valmiera / BSSĒ. Punculs
Ē. Punculs
7 goals
ValmieraK. Kārkliņš
K. Kārkliņš
4 goals

Valmiera / BSS missing players

Tukums missing players

Valmiera / BSS Tukums
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   13 25
12 6   Won W   2 4
7 4   Drew D   3 5
6 2   Lost L   8 16
46 23   Scored S   18 26
34 12   Conceded C   32 62
100% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 92%
84% 83%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   100% 88%
60% 58%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   62% 64%
44% 42%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   38% 40%
20% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   23% 28%
48% 33%   BTTS BTTS   54% 48%
32% 50%   Clean Sheets C S   0% 12%
20% 17%   Failed to Score F T   46% 48%
 
0 0   Corners for (avg) C F   0 0
0 0   Corners against (avg) C A   0 0
2.2 1.6   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.3 2
1 1   Red cards R C   1 1
 
237 119   Total Shots T S   110 191
104 53   Shots on Target S O   45 77
38% 40%   Goal Efficiency G E   22% 22%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Riga 22 20 0 2 51 14 11 10 0 1 25 8 11 10 0 1 26 6 37 60
2 Rīgas FS 21 16 3 2 55 19 11 9 1 1 28 9 10 7 2 1 27 10 36 51
3 Valmiera / BSS 22 11 6 5 39 28 11 6 3 2 21 10 11 5 3 3 18 18 11 39
4 Ventspils 22 9 7 6 31 23 11 6 4 1 21 9 11 3 3 5 10 14 8 34
5 Liepāja 21 8 5 8 41 32 10 4 3 3 19 17 11 4 2 5 22 15 9 29
6 Spartaks Jūrmala 22 7 7 8 39 39 11 3 4 4 20 19 11 4 3 4 19 20 0 28
7 Jelgava 22 6 3 13 17 42 11 4 1 6 12 22 11 2 2 7 5 20 -25 21
8 FC Daugavpils / Progress 22 5 4 13 28 38 11 3 2 6 11 18 11 2 2 7 17 20 -10 19
9 Metta / LU 22 4 4 14 19 41 11 3 2 6 11 17 11 1 2 8 8 24 -22 16
10 Tukums 22 1 5 16 14 58 11 1 2 8 7 30 11 0 3 8 7 28 -44 8