National League preview: Can Paju Citizen edge out victory against Daejeon Korail?

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Competition: Korea Republic National League
Competition: Sat 01.October
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Paju Public Stadium (22000 seats)

Paju Citizen should be probable winners of this home match versus Daejeon Korail, if the league table is thought to provide some clues. Or are we eyeing a possible shock?

Insights:
  • Paju Citizen have the most points from losing position (14) in National League
  • Daejeon Korail have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Paju Citizen form and stats

Paju Citizen have performed here at Paju Public Stadium this season with 8 wins from 13 National League matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 2 games and lost 3.

The followers are hoping that Citizen will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 1-2 away loss in the match against Gyeongju HNP (placed 3rd). Heartbreak for Paju Citizen in their last match as Gyeongju HNP's Joon-Mo scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

Before that game, the home loss against Cheonan City with the scoreline 1-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Citizen have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 4 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 0 and lost 2.

Betting people might want to know that 12 of the latest 15 league matches from this football club have had at least one goal from each side.

Paju Citizen has scored 18 league goals at home this season, in 13 matches.

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Daejeon Korail form and stats

As the visiting team in National League matches, Daejeon Korail have produced an overall stat of 5-2-6 so far. Momentum is building for Daejeon Korail in their away games, having won their two previous outings.

Daejeon delivered a 0-0 draw playing at home against Cheonan City (placed 10th) in their previous game.

Before that one, a nice away victory 2-1 at Siheung Citizen.

We have checked recent matches where Daejeon Korail have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

Look out: 10 of the latest 11 league fixtures involving this side have had only one (or no) team scoring (Both Teams to Score NO in the betting world).

As opposed to that, Daejeon Korail have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road. Daejeon has visited these top teams four times, and 3 of 4 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Daejeon Korail have not lost in the last 4 games (1-3-0) versus Paju Citizen.

Citizen and Daejeon Korail have met before this season: Daejeon Korail - Paju Citizen 1-1.

Top Goalscorers

Paju CitizenD. Kim
D. Kim
8 goals
Paju CitizenE. An
E. An
6 goals
Paju CitizenH. Jung
H. Jung
4 goals

Paju Citizen missing players

Daejeon Korail missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Paju Citizen Daejeon Korail
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 5 Played P 4 13 27
12 8 3 Won W 2 5 10
11 2 1 Drew D 1 2 5
4 3 1 Lost L 1 6 12
36 18 6 Scored S 5 13 25
27 13 5 Conceded C 5 16 34
85% 92% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 85% 85%
74% 77% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 54% 59%
48% 62% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 46% 41%
15% 8% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 15% 15%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 7%
67% 69% 60% BTTS BTTS 75% 46% 37%
30% 23% 40% Clean Sheets C S 25% 31% 33%
19% 15% 20% Failed to Score F T 25% 38% 44%
 
4.6 4.3 2.6 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 3.8 3.8
3.9 4 3.6 Corners against (avg) C A 4 4.5 3.8
1.8 2.1 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.7 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
12.4 12.5 12.8 Shots (avg) S ( 10.7 10 10.2
5 4.9 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 3.2 3.3
27% 27% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 36% 32% 28%
 
8.2 7.1 7 Shots against (avg) S A 8.3 11.1 11.2
3.4 3 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.3 3.9 4.2
Key stats in National League this season:
  • Daejeon Korail have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Paju Citizen have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Paju Citizen have the most points from losing position (14) in National League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Changwon City 27 14 6 7 33 19 14 8 3 3 18 7 13 6 3 4 15 12 14 48
2 Paju Citizen 27 12 11 4 36 27 13 8 2 3 18 13 14 4 9 1 18 14 9 47
3 Gyeongju HNP 27 13 7 7 40 24 13 6 4 3 19 10 14 7 3 4 21 14 16 46
4 Hwaseong 27 12 9 6 32 24 15 7 4 4 17 14 12 5 5 2 15 10 8 45
5 Siheung Citizen 27 13 5 9 35 28 13 8 2 3 23 13 14 5 3 6 12 15 7 44
6 Gimhae City 27 11 8 8 30 23 14 7 4 3 19 12 13 4 4 5 11 11 7 41
7 Busan Transportation 27 9 13 5 37 27 14 5 6 3 20 15 13 4 7 2 17 12 10 40
8 Yangju Citizen 27 12 4 11 29 26 13 7 2 4 18 13 14 5 2 7 11 13 3 40
9 Pocheon 27 9 8 10 34 31 15 5 7 3 16 12 12 4 1 7 18 19 3 35
10 Cheonan City 27 8 11 8 27 25 12 2 5 5 12 12 15 6 6 3 15 13 2 35
11 Daejeon Korail 27 10 5 12 25 34 14 5 3 6 12 18 13 5 2 6 13 16 -9 35
12 Gangneung City 27 7 9 11 31 39 12 4 3 5 12 17 15 3 6 6 19 22 -8 30
13 Cheongju 27 7 9 11 20 35 13 5 4 4 14 15 14 2 5 7 6 20 -15 30
14 Mokpo City 27 8 4 15 21 35 13 4 3 6 10 11 14 4 1 9 11 24 -14 28
15 Ulsan Citize 27 6 8 13 25 35 14 2 4 8 9 20 13 4 4 5 16 15 -10 26
16 Dangjin Citizen 27 3 7 17 26 49 14 3 6 5 18 24 13 0 1 12 8 25 -23 16

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Changwon City 27 14 6 7 33 19 14 8 3 3 18 7 13 6 3 4 15 12 14 48
2 Paju Citizen 27 12 11 4 36 27 13 8 2 3 18 13 14 4 9 1 18 14 9 47
3 Gyeongju HNP 27 13 7 7 40 24 13 6 4 3 19 10 14 7 3 4 21 14 16 46
4 Hwaseong 27 12 9 6 32 24 15 7 4 4 17 14 12 5 5 2 15 10 8 45
5 Siheung Citizen 27 13 5 9 35 28 13 8 2 3 23 13 14 5 3 6 12 15 7 44
6 Gimhae City 27 11 8 8 30 23 14 7 4 3 19 12 13 4 4 5 11 11 7 41
7 Busan Transportation 27 9 13 5 37 27 14 5 6 3 20 15 13 4 7 2 17 12 10 40
8 Yangju Citizen 27 12 4 11 29 26 13 7 2 4 18 13 14 5 2 7 11 13 3 40
9 Pocheon 27 9 8 10 34 31 15 5 7 3 16 12 12 4 1 7 18 19 3 35
10 Cheonan City 27 8 11 8 27 25 12 2 5 5 12 12 15 6 6 3 15 13 2 35
11 Daejeon Korail 27 10 5 12 25 34 14 5 3 6 12 18 13 5 2 6 13 16 -9 35
12 Gangneung City 27 7 9 11 31 39 12 4 3 5 12 17 15 3 6 6 19 22 -8 30
13 Cheongju 27 7 9 11 20 35 13 5 4 4 14 15 14 2 5 7 6 20 -15 30
14 Mokpo City 27 8 4 15 21 35 13 4 3 6 10 11 14 4 1 9 11 24 -14 28
15 Ulsan Citize 27 6 8 13 25 35 14 2 4 8 9 20 13 4 4 5 16 15 -10 26
16 Dangjin Citizen 27 3 7 17 26 49 14 3 6 5 18 24 13 0 1 12 8 25 -23 16

More from Korea Republic - National League

Read more about National League

The Korea National League, formerly known as the K2 League, is the third highest tier of football in South Korea. It has eight teams playing a season from March to November- Each team plays 28 fixtures and the top three in the league table enter the subsequent play-offs. Currently no teams are promoted.