National League match prediction: Little separates Hwaseong and Gimhae City in quality

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Competition: Korea Republic National League
Competition: Sun 27.February
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Hwaseong Auxiliary Stadium (35270 seats)

It's the very first match of the new campaign for Hwaseong and Gimhae City. The leaf is empty, the opportunities unlimited.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Hwaseong and Gimhae City.

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Hwaseong form and stats

The season before, Hwaseong's league stats were 8 wins, 10 draws and 10 losses, ending with 12th spot in the National League. From these 28 matches they scored 29 goals and gave away 34. Playing as the host team in the previous season Hwaseong produced 7-2-5 (win-draw-lost) with 15 goals and 15 conceded.

This is expected to be a close game, with Hwaseong perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Hwaseong as a small favourite), we find six games. Hwaseong has won two of these, drawn three and lost one.

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Gimhae City form and stats

Let's have a look at how Gimhae City performed last season in the National League: They landed a 5th position in the league table after playing out 12 victories, 8 draws and 8 defeats. In total they scored 39 and conceded 35 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 5 - drew 4 and lost 5 with 15/18 goals scored/conceded.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Gimhae City playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were two Gimhae City wins, two draws and three defeats.

Head 2 Head

Hwaseong-Gimhae City H2H statistics last four meetings regardless of arena: Hwaseong one win, Gimhae City zero wins, three draws. one of these four matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Gimhae CityL. Costa de Carvalho
L. Costa de Carvalho
12 goals
HwaseongD. Cho
D. Cho
10 goals
Gimhae CityC. Kim
C. Kim
5 goals

Hwaseong missing players

Gimhae City missing players

Hwaseong Gimhae City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
1 1 0 Played P 0 1 1
0 0 0 Won W 0 1 1
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 0
1 1 0 Lost L 0 0 0
0 0 0 Scored S 0 1 1
1 1 0 Conceded C 0 0 0
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0 0
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
0 0 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 0 0
0 0 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 0 0
0% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 0 0
0 0 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 0 0
Hwaseong Last season Gimhae City
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
28 14   Played P   14 28
8 7   Won W   5 12
10 2   Drew D   4 8
10 5   Lost L   5 8
29 15   Scored S   15 39
34 15   Conceded C   18 35
96% 93%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   79% 89%
61% 43%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   71% 68%
32% 36%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   64% 54%
18% 21%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   14% 25%
14% 21%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   7% 14%
46% 36%   BTTS BTTS   57% 57%
29% 50%   Clean Sheets C S   21% 25%
29% 21%   Failed to Score F T   43% 29%
 
3.8 3.4   Corners for (avg) C F   3 3.7
3.8 3.2   Corners against (avg) C A   3.9 3.6
1.4 1.4   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.6 1.7
1 0   Red cards R C   1 1
 
7.3 7.1   Shots (avg) S (   6.9 9.1
3.2 3.3   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.6 3.7
33% 33%   Goal Efficiency G E   41% 38%
 
7.7 5.4   Shots against (avg) S A   6.3 8.2
3.6 2.6   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   2.8 3.5

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Pocheon 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
2 Busan Transportation 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
3 Gangneung City 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
4 Dangjin Citizen 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
5 Paju Citizen 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
6 Cheonan City 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
7 Ulsan Citize 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
8 Changwon City 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Cheongju 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Gimhae City 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Gyeongju HNP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Hwaseong 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Mokpo City 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Yangju Citizen 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
15 Siheung Citizen 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Daejeon Korail 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cheonan City 28 16 6 6 50 25 14 8 2 4 22 12 14 8 4 2 28 13 25 54
2 Gimpo 28 14 10 4 35 20 14 8 4 2 24 13 14 6 6 2 11 7 15 52
3 Mokpo City 28 14 8 6 34 23 14 7 6 1 18 9 14 7 2 5 16 14 11 50
4 Gyeongju HNP 28 13 7 8 39 30 14 7 4 3 19 14 14 6 3 5 20 16 9 46
5 Gimhae City 28 12 8 8 39 35 14 7 4 3 24 17 14 5 4 5 15 18 4 44
6 Busan Transportation 28 11 8 9 32 33 14 5 6 3 17 15 14 6 2 6 15 18 -1 41
7 Ulsan Citize 28 9 11 8 32 24 14 6 5 3 18 8 14 3 6 5 14 16 8 38
8 Changwon City 28 9 11 8 28 27 14 4 5 5 14 15 14 5 6 3 14 12 1 38
9 Daejeon Korail 28 8 12 8 32 30 14 5 6 3 16 11 14 3 6 5 16 19 2 36
10 Paju Citizen 28 8 11 9 32 36 14 4 4 6 12 15 14 4 7 3 20 21 -4 35
11 Cheongju 28 9 7 12 37 39 14 4 3 7 19 23 14 5 4 5 18 16 -2 34
12 Hwaseong 28 8 10 10 29 34 14 7 2 5 15 15 14 1 8 5 14 19 -5 34
13 Gangneung City 28 4 8 16 23 42 14 4 4 6 15 18 14 0 4 10 8 24 -19 20
14 Yangju Citizen 28 4 8 16 17 43 14 2 6 6 10 21 14 2 2 10 7 22 -26 20
15 Pyeongtaek Citizen 28 5 7 16 20 38 14 3 5 6 11 19 14 2 2 10 9 19 -18 2

Read more about National League

The Korea National League, formerly known as the K2 League, is the third highest tier of football in South Korea. It has eight teams playing a season from March to November- Each team plays 28 fixtures and the top three in the league table enter the subsequent play-offs. Currently no teams are promoted.