National League prediction and guide: Gyeongju HNP small favoured to outplay Mokpo City

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Competition: Korea Republic National League
Competition: Sat 05.March
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Gyeongju Citizen Stadium (20618 seats)

It's the second chance for points this campaign as Gyeongju HNP and Mokpo City battle it out at Gyeongju Citizen Stadium.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Gyeongju HNP form and stats

In the previous season, Gyeongju HNP's league results were 13 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses, leading to 4th position in the National League. In these 28 matches they scored 39 goals and conceded 30. Performing as the home team in the previous season Gyeongju HNP generated 7-4-3 (win-draw-lost) with 19 goals and 14 conceded. A National League draw at home so far for Gyeongju HNP. Last season their home statistics were 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 14 matches.

Gyeongju drew their last game, also a home match. Changwon City (placed 8th) was the opponent, 0-0 the score.

Preceding that game was the away draw at Mokpo City that finished 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Gyeongju HNP have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won six times, drawn four and lost zero.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Gyeongju HNP as they have a new game in only four days, a FA Cup match thankfully also at home. Together are visiting.

Early season league goal statistics from Gyeongju HNP's 1 home game: 0 goals, 0 conceded.

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Mokpo City form and stats

Let's have a look at how Mokpo City performed last season in the National League: They landed a 3rd position in the league table after playing out 14 victories, 8 draws and 6 defeats. In total they scored 34 and conceded 23 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 7 - drew 2 and lost 5 with 16/14 goals scored/conceded. The visitors' first away game in the National League ended in defeat. Last season Mokpo City had these away match statistics: Played 14; won 7, drew 2 and lost 5.

Mokpo City play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 1-3 to Cheongju (placed 5th).

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Gimpo wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Mokpo have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were one victory, two draws and three defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Mokpo City manager Hyun-Ho as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Ulsan Citize.

Mokpo City have the goal stats of 1-3 (for/against) from 1 business trip in the league at this early stage of the season.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Gyeongju HNP five wins, three draws and Mokpo City two victories. As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), nine games had two or less.

Gyeongju HNP missing players

Mokpo City missing players

Gyeongju HNP Mokpo City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
1 1 0 Played P 0 1 1
0 0 0 Won W 0 0 0
1 1 0 Drew D 0 0 0
0 0 0 Lost L 0 1 1
0 0 0 Scored S 0 1 1
0 0 0 Conceded C 0 3 3
0% 0% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
100% 100% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0 0
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
0 0 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 0 0
0 0 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 0 0
0% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 0 0
0 0 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 0 0
Gyeongju HNP Last season Mokpo City
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
29 14   Played P   15 30
13 7   Won W   7 14
8 4   Drew D   2 9
8 3   Lost L   6 7
40 19   Scored S   16 35
31 14   Conceded C   16 26
93% 93%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   93% 90%
76% 71%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   67% 70%
38% 29%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   33% 27%
24% 21%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   13% 10%
10% 14%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   7% 7%
55% 43%   BTTS BTTS   40% 47%
31% 43%   Clean Sheets C S   33% 40%
21% 21%   Failed to Score F T   33% 23%
 
3.8 4.7   Corners for (avg) C F   3.6 3.7
2.9 3   Corners against (avg) C A   4.7 4.4
1.2 1.3   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.4 1.8
2 1   Red cards R C   1 2
 
8.6 9.6   Shots (avg) S (   8.5 7.6
3.7 3.7   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.9 2.4
38% 38%   Goal Efficiency G E   34% 48%
 
7.3 8.2   Shots against (avg) S A   9.1 6.7
2.5 2.4   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.6 2.5

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Busan Transportation 2 2 0 0 4 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 3 6
2 Gimhae City 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 2 3
3 Pocheon 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
4 Gangneung City 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
5 Cheongju 2 1 0 1 3 3 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
6 Dangjin Citizen 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
7 Paju Citizen 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 Changwon City 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
9 Cheonan City 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
10 Gyeongju HNP 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
11 Ulsan Citize 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
12 Yangju Citizen 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
13 Siheung Citizen 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Hwaseong 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 0
15 Mokpo City 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
16 Daejeon Korail 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cheonan City 28 16 6 6 50 25 14 8 2 4 22 12 14 8 4 2 28 13 25 54
2 Gimpo 28 14 10 4 35 20 14 8 4 2 24 13 14 6 6 2 11 7 15 52
3 Mokpo City 28 14 8 6 34 23 14 7 6 1 18 9 14 7 2 5 16 14 11 50
4 Gyeongju HNP 28 13 7 8 39 30 14 7 4 3 19 14 14 6 3 5 20 16 9 46
5 Gimhae City 28 12 8 8 39 35 14 7 4 3 24 17 14 5 4 5 15 18 4 44
6 Busan Transportation 28 11 8 9 32 33 14 5 6 3 17 15 14 6 2 6 15 18 -1 41
7 Ulsan Citize 28 9 11 8 32 24 14 6 5 3 18 8 14 3 6 5 14 16 8 38
8 Changwon City 28 9 11 8 28 27 14 4 5 5 14 15 14 5 6 3 14 12 1 38
9 Daejeon Korail 28 8 12 8 32 30 14 5 6 3 16 11 14 3 6 5 16 19 2 36
10 Paju Citizen 28 8 11 9 32 36 14 4 4 6 12 15 14 4 7 3 20 21 -4 35
11 Cheongju 28 9 7 12 37 39 14 4 3 7 19 23 14 5 4 5 18 16 -2 34
12 Hwaseong 28 8 10 10 29 34 14 7 2 5 15 15 14 1 8 5 14 19 -5 34
13 Gangneung City 28 4 8 16 23 42 14 4 4 6 15 18 14 0 4 10 8 24 -19 20
14 Yangju Citizen 28 4 8 16 17 43 14 2 6 6 10 21 14 2 2 10 7 22 -26 20
15 Pyeongtaek Citizen 28 5 7 16 20 38 14 3 5 6 11 19 14 2 2 10 9 19 -18 2

Read more about National League

The Korea National League, formerly known as the K2 League, is the third highest tier of football in South Korea. It has eight teams playing a season from March to November- Each team plays 28 fixtures and the top three in the league table enter the subsequent play-offs. Currently no teams are promoted.