Home advantage could prove decisive in Suwon - Incheon United battle

Suwon have less rest than Incheon United in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a K-League 1 game only three days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Pohang Steelers, was also a home game here at Suwon Sports Complex. The away team is better rested.

Suwon form and stats

3 victories, 2 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Suwon, who have the most conceded goals (28) in K-League 1, have to build on here at Suwon Sports Complex in the K-League 1.

The Suwon crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 3-4 to Pohang Steelers here at Suwon Sports Complex in a K-League 1 match. Midfielder Murilo was the best player on the team with a rating of 8.43 (out of ten) in that game. Murilo scored one goal, served one assist, hit three key passes, dribled passed the opponent 2 of 4 times and had 26 successful passes (of 28 total). As you can tell by the result above, the goals flowed freely in the previous game and the stadium rocked. Could there be another goal fest today?

Before that, Suwon played out a draw 0-0 when visiting Gangwon.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Suwon have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won seven times, drawn two and lost two.

Suwon has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 9 matches. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 15 goals have been conceded. It's worth mentioning that 9 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

Incheon United form and stats

Incheon United, who have the the worst goal difference (-10) in K-League 1, have only collected 3 points from their away games in the K-League 1, after 1-0-6 (7 played).

The supporters enjoyed Incheon United's previous game versus Gwangju (placed 12th), a K-League 1 2-1 win played at home. Elías Aguilar got a match rating of 7.83 in that game, top player of the team. Aguilar hit two key passes, dribled passed the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 46 successful passes (of 52 total). Shi-uh Song came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Gwangju last time out, making the manager S. Cho feel like a tactical genius.

Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Pohang Steelers.

We have checked recent matches where Incheon United have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 14 games were five victories, two draws and seven defeats.

The attacking power of Incheon United when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 7 league matches away. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that Incheon concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own. It's worth mentioning that 9 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Incheon United - Suwon 4-1, played this season. As for the last six games between these two teams, there's one Suwon victory, two draws and three Incheon United wins. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

L. Veldwijk 6 goals

Y. Cho 4 goals

E. Aguilar Vargas 4 goals

Suwon missing players

Incheon United missing players