K-League 1 match prediction: Little separates Incheon United and Seongnam in quality

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Competition: Korea Republic K-League 1
Competition: Sun 19.September
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sungui Arena Park (20891 seats)

Incheon United have 36 points running out as the host team. Seongnam have brought back 28 points playing away. Will this be a home win?

Insights:
  • Seongnam have the fewest scored goals (23) in K-League 1

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Incheon United form and stats

Incheon United have collected 23 points from their K-League 1 home games so far after 6-5-3.

The Incheon fans got no joy from their last match, a K-League 1 game also here at Sungui Arena Park: A 1-2 defeat against Jeju United (placed 8th). Min-su Kang, defender, was given a rating of 7.35/10 in that game, top of the team. Kang won 8 of 8 duels. Heartbreak for Incheon United in their last match as Jeju United's Lee Chang-Min scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

Prior to that, an away loss at Ulsan.

This is expected to be a close game, with Incheon United perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Incheon United as a small favourite), we find four games. Incheon United has won three of these, drawn one and lost zero.

Incheon United are traveling soon after this match as the K-League 1 match at Seoul awaits in three days.

The Incheon fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 15 in 14 matches. Incheon are not conceding a lot of goals here at Sungui Arena Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 14 matches.

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Seongnam form and stats

There's been little loot from Seongnam's travels as they have only collected 12 points from 14 away games in the K-League 1. Seongnam only have 2 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 6 draws. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Seongnam's last three away games as they have all been lost.

There were no winners in Seongnam's previous match, a K-League 1 home game that ended 1-1 vs Seoul (placed 12th). Kyung-won Kwon, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.63. Kwon won 6 of 6 duels.

Ahead of that game was the 0-0 draw at home against Daegu.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 16 similar matches played by Seongnam in our archives, and the results are: six wins for Seongnam, three draws and seven defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Seongnam now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A K-League 1 game at Suwon is waiting in only three days.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Seongnam have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these sides meet on the pitch this campaign, as the records show this recent match: Incheon - Seongnam 1-0. Numbers for the previous ten meetings featuring these two teams are: four wins for Incheon, four draws and two wins for Seongnam. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: eight games.

Top Goalscorers

SeongnamF. Mulić
F. Mulić
10 goals
Incheon UnitedS. Mugoša
S. Mugoša
9 goals
IncheonE. Aguilar Vargas
E. Aguilar Vargas
5 goals

Incheon United missing players

Seongnam missing players

Incheon United Seongnam
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 14 3 Played P 4 14 28
10 6 2 Won W 1 2 6
6 5 0 Drew D 1 6 10
11 3 1 Lost L 2 6 12
32 15 3 Scored S 4 11 23
37 11 2 Conceded C 5 17 34
89% 79% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 79% 79%
70% 57% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 50% 50%
56% 36% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 43% 39%
26% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 29% 25%
15% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
52% 43% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 43% 43%
26% 43% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 21% 32%
33% 36% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 57% 46%
 
2.7 2.9 3.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 3.6 3.4
4.7 4.8 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 3.4 3.5
1.5 1.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.4 2.1
2 1 1 Red cards R C 1 3 5
 
8.6 8.2 8.7 Shots (avg) S ( 7.8 8.6 9
3.3 3.1 2.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3.4 3.5
36% 35% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 23% 24%
Key stats in K-League 1 this season:
  • Seongnam have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Seongnam have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in K-League 1
  • Seongnam have the fewest scored goals (23) in K-League 1
  • Seongnam have the fewest scored goals in the first half (8) in K-League 1
  • Seongnam have the fewest scored goals in the second half (15) in K-League 1
  • Seongnam have the the worst goal difference (-11) in K-League 1

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulsan 28 15 10 3 46 30 15 9 5 1 29 16 13 6 5 2 17 14 16 55
2 Jeonbuk Motors 28 14 9 5 50 29 15 9 3 3 30 18 13 5 6 2 20 11 21 51
3 Suwon 28 11 8 9 40 40 13 6 3 4 18 17 15 5 5 5 22 23 0 41
4 Daegu 28 11 8 9 33 33 13 6 5 2 17 12 15 5 3 7 16 21 0 41
5 Pohang Steelers 28 10 9 9 29 30 14 5 5 4 12 13 14 5 4 5 17 17 -1 39
6 Suwon Bluewings 28 9 9 10 35 35 15 4 5 6 18 21 13 5 4 4 17 14 0 36
7 Incheon United 27 10 6 11 32 37 14 6 5 3 15 11 13 4 1 8 17 26 -5 36
8 Jeju United 27 7 13 7 30 31 13 4 5 4 17 20 14 3 8 3 13 11 -1 34
9 Gwangju 27 8 5 14 27 33 13 5 3 5 14 12 14 3 2 9 13 21 -6 29
10 Seongnam 28 6 10 12 23 34 14 4 4 6 12 17 14 2 6 6 11 17 -11 28
11 Gangwon 25 6 9 10 26 30 12 4 6 2 16 9 13 2 3 8 10 21 -4 27
12 Seoul 28 6 8 14 28 37 14 3 3 8 15 20 14 3 5 6 13 17 -9 26

Read more about K-League 1

The K League 1 is the top level of the South Korean football league pyramid. It was founded in 1983 as the Korean Super League, later renamed K League Classic and in 2018 renamed K League 1. It currently has twelve teams playing 33 fixtures each, then enter championship and relegation rounds.