K-League 1 match prediction: Little separates Incheon United and Gwangju in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Korea Republic K-League 1
Competition: Sat 01.August
Match begins: 11:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sungui Arena Park (20891 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the K-League 1, with both Incheon United and Gwangju experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 12th and the visitors in 10th place.

Incheon United and Gwangju should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

D D D L D

Incheon United form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the K-League 1 this season. Incheon United have only managed 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their games here at Sungui Arena Park. The home team are struggling everywhere these days as they haven't won a league-game, regardless of being the home or the away team, in 13 attempts. Their last two home games have resulted in two points, meaning they were both draws.

An away draw last time out for Incheon United, facing Pohang Steelers in a game that ended 1-1. Before that, Incheon drew at home versus Jeonbuk Motors.

This is expected to be a close game, with Incheon United perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Incheon as a small favourite), we find five games. Incheon United has won one of these, drawn three and lost one.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Incheon here at Sungui Arena Park in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (4 from 6 games). With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Incheon United defense is not exactly impregnable. 9 goals conceded from 6 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

L D L L L

Gwangju form and stats

There's been little loot from Gwangju's travels as they have only collected 4 points from 6 away games in the K-League 1. Gwangju only have 1 win to counter their 4 defeats and 1 draw.

Gwangju aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 229 league minutes without a goal. F. Silva was the last player to find the net.

The manager J. Park was unhappy after their last game, a K-League 1 match played at their home ground Gwangju World Cup Stadium. Gwangju suffered a 0-1 loss to Suwon Bluewings (placed 9th). Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Busan I'Park.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Gwangju playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were three Gwangju wins, zero draws and two defeats.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Gwangju's away games in the league this season with only 2 goals from 6 matches. As opposed to that, Gwangju have seen the ball go into their own net 7 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Gwangju - Incheon 2-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Incheon two wins, six draws and Gwangju two victories. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

GwangjuF. de Sousa Silva
F. de Sousa Silva
6 goals
IncheonS. Mugoša
S. Mugoša
3 goals
Incheon UnitedE. Ji
E. Ji
2 goals

Incheon United missing players

Gwangju missing players

Incheon United Gwangju
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
13 6 0 Played P 2 6 13
0 0 0 Won W 1 1 3
5 3 0 Drew D 0 1 2
8 3 0 Lost L 1 4 8
7 4 0 Scored S 1 2 10
19 9 0 Conceded C 1 7 19
85% 83% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
54% 67% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 17% 54%
31% 33% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 17% 31%
15% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 17% 23%
15% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 15%
54% 67% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 17% 38%
15% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 33% 15%
46% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 67% 54%
 
3.2 3.2 0 Corners for (avg) C F 2 2.2 3.9
5.8 6.7 0 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 6 5.4
1.8 2.3 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.2 1.3
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
88 34 0 Total Shots T S 14 45 106
28 10 0 Shots on Target S O 5 12 37
25% 40% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 17% 27%
Key stats in K-League 1 this season:
  • Gwangju has the fewest scored goals (2) away
  • Gwangju have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Gwangju have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Gwangju have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Gwangju is in the worst form (0-1-5)
  • Incheon United has the fewest scored goals (7)
  • Incheon United has the fewest scored goals in the second half (2)
  • Incheon United have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • Incheon United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Incheon United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Incheon United have yet to win a game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulsan 13 10 2 1 32 9 6 4 1 1 11 4 7 6 1 0 21 5 23 32
2 Jeonbuk Motors 13 9 2 2 21 8 6 5 1 0 10 2 7 4 1 2 11 6 13 29
3 Pohang Steelers 13 7 3 3 26 15 7 2 2 3 8 10 6 5 1 0 18 5 11 24
4 Sangju Sangmu 13 7 3 3 15 16 7 5 0 2 10 9 6 2 3 1 5 7 -1 24
5 Daegu 13 6 4 3 25 16 7 4 2 1 17 7 6 2 2 2 8 9 9 22
6 Busan I'Park 13 3 6 4 14 17 7 1 5 1 7 6 6 2 1 3 7 11 -3 15
7 Gangwon 13 4 3 6 16 20 6 3 1 2 11 10 7 1 2 4 5 10 -4 15
8 Seongnam 13 3 5 5 9 14 6 0 2 4 1 9 7 3 3 1 8 5 -5 14
9 Suwon Bluewings 13 3 4 6 13 16 7 1 2 4 8 11 6 2 2 2 5 5 -3 13
10 Gwangju 13 3 2 8 10 19 7 2 1 4 8 12 6 1 1 4 2 7 -9 11
11 Seoul 13 3 1 9 10 29 6 2 0 4 4 10 7 1 1 5 6 19 -19 10
12 Incheon United 13 0 5 8 7 19 6 0 3 3 4 9 7 0 2 5 3 10 -12 5

Read more about K-League 1

The K League 1 is the top level of the South Korean football league pyramid. It was founded in 1983 as the Korean Super League, later renamed K League Classic and in 2018 renamed K League 1. It currently has twelve teams playing 33 fixtures each, then enter championship and relegation rounds.