K-League 1 match prediction: Little separates Daegu and Sangju Sangmu in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Korea Republic K-League 1
Competition: Sun 16.October
Match begins: 07:30 (UTC)
Venue: DGB Arena (66422 seats)

Important duel in the lower section of the K-League 1, with both Daegu and Sangju Sangmu going through more angst than pleasure. This match is a real "six-pointer" with the hosting team placed 9th and the away team in 10th place.

Insights:
  • Daegu have the most dropped points from leading position (24) in K-League 1
  • Sangju Sangmu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither Daegu nor Sangju Sangmu as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

W W L W W

Daegu form and stats

Daegu have played 17 K-League 1 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 7-5-5 (wins-draws-losses). When Daegu hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Seongnam, Daegu and Suwon Bluewings), they have won 3 of 4 matches! The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of four straight victories regardless of arena.

Daegu are returning here after visiting Suwon Bluewings and winning with a 2-1 scoreline. Ko and Cesinha scored the goal(s). Cesinha, a forward, was the top player for the side in that match, receiving a rating of 8.4 (out of 10). Cesinha scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 30 successful passes (of 35 total).

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Suwon in a game that was won 2-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Daegu have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 12 matches with the results: Won 6, drawn 1 and lost 5.

Scoring bonanza? Who knows the future, but we do know that 12 of the 15 most recent league matches with this side has had three or more goals.

The Daegu fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 23 in 17 matches. Daegu's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 19 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

D D D W L

Sangju Sangmu form and stats

Sangju Sangmu have only collected 15 points from their away games in the K-League 1, after 3-6-7 (16 played). The last three matches for Sangju have all ended in a draw.

Sangju Sangmu has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Seoul for a 1-1 draw. Midfield player Lee was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.92/10. Lee scored one goal, hit the woodwork once, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 64 successful passes (of 74 total).

Ahead of that game was the 1-1 draw at home against Seongnam.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 13 similar matches played by Sangju Sangmu in our archives, and the results are: 6 wins for Sangju Sangmu, 4 draws and 3 defeats.

Betting related statistic: Both sides have scored at least once in 9 of this club's latest 12 league fixtures.

Sangju are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 19 away goals from 16 games (in the league). As opposed to that, Sangju Sangmu have seen the ball go into their own net 20 times on the road. When Sangju Sangmu is visiting a side on the bottom half, 3 of 4 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Seongnam, Sangju Sangmu and Suwon Bluewings.

Head 2 Head

Daegu have managed a streak of 4 consecutive games without losing (2-2-0) when facing Sangju Sangmu.

The teams have faced each other already this season, with the result Daegu - Sangju Sangmu 0-0 registered in the official records.

Top Goalscorers

DaeguC. Silva dos Santos
C. Silva dos Santos
11 goals
DaeguJ. de Carvalho
J. de Carvalho
7 goals

Daegu missing players

Sangju Sangmu missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Daegu Sangju Sangmu
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
36 18 4 Played P 4 18 36
10 8 3 Won W 2 3 8
14 5 0 Drew D 1 8 13
12 5 1 Lost L 1 7 15
47 25 8 Scored S 8 22 43
54 20 3 Conceded C 3 23 44
92% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 83% 92%
81% 72% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 67% 69%
56% 56% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 50% 44%
33% 22% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 33% 25%
14% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 17% 11%
61% 44% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 61% 58%
25% 44% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 28% 25%
22% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 28% 25%
 
3.8 3.8 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 4.3 4.3
4.7 4.3 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 5.5 5.4
2.3 2.3 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 1.7 1.4
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
10.8 10.7 11.8 Shots (avg) S ( 10.8 9.8 10.5
4.1 4.2 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.2 3.8 4.3
32% 33% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 47% 32% 28%
 
10.2 9.4 9.2 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 12.2 11.8
4.2 3.4 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 4 4.6
Key stats in K-League 1 this season:
  • Daegu have the most clean sheets (8) at home in K-League 1
  • Daegu have the most dropped points from leading position (24) in K-League 1
  • Sangju Sangmu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulsan 33 19 9 5 48 28 17 11 4 2 28 14 16 8 5 3 20 14 20 66
2 Jeonbuk Motors 33 17 10 6 47 31 16 5 8 3 17 16 17 12 2 3 30 15 16 61
3 Pohang Steelers 33 15 10 8 47 34 15 8 5 2 23 11 18 7 5 6 24 23 13 55
4 Incheon United 33 12 13 8 41 35 16 6 6 4 19 13 17 6 7 4 22 22 6 49
5 Jeju United 33 12 10 11 45 41 17 5 7 5 23 19 16 7 3 6 22 22 4 46
6 Gangwon 33 13 6 14 47 47 16 8 2 6 23 20 17 5 4 8 24 27 0 45
7 Suwon 33 12 8 13 51 53 17 8 3 6 36 33 16 4 5 7 15 20 -2 44
8 Seoul 33 10 11 12 38 42 16 6 4 6 21 20 17 4 7 6 17 22 -4 41
9 Daegu 33 7 14 12 40 50 17 7 5 5 23 19 16 0 9 7 17 31 -10 35
10 Sangju Sangmu 33 8 10 15 39 40 17 5 4 8 20 20 16 3 6 7 19 20 -1 34
11 Suwon Bluewings 33 8 10 15 35 46 17 5 6 6 20 20 16 3 4 9 15 26 -11 34
12 Seongnam 33 6 7 20 30 61 17 3 5 9 16 34 16 3 2 11 14 27 -31 25

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulsan 33 19 9 5 48 28 17 11 4 2 28 14 16 8 5 3 20 14 20 66
2 Jeonbuk Motors 33 17 10 6 47 31 16 5 8 3 17 16 17 12 2 3 30 15 16 61
3 Pohang Steelers 33 15 10 8 47 34 15 8 5 2 23 11 18 7 5 6 24 23 13 55
4 Incheon United 33 12 13 8 41 35 16 6 6 4 19 13 17 6 7 4 22 22 6 49
5 Jeju United 33 12 10 11 45 41 17 5 7 5 23 19 16 7 3 6 22 22 4 46
6 Gangwon 33 13 6 14 47 47 16 8 2 6 23 20 17 5 4 8 24 27 0 45
7 Suwon 33 12 8 13 51 53 17 8 3 6 36 33 16 4 5 7 15 20 -2 44
8 Seoul 33 10 11 12 38 42 16 6 4 6 21 20 17 4 7 6 17 22 -4 41
9 Daegu 33 7 14 12 40 50 17 7 5 5 23 19 16 0 9 7 17 31 -10 35
10 Sangju Sangmu 33 8 10 15 39 40 17 5 4 8 20 20 16 3 6 7 19 20 -1 34
11 Suwon Bluewings 33 8 10 15 35 46 17 5 6 6 20 20 16 3 4 9 15 26 -11 34
12 Seongnam 33 6 7 20 30 61 17 3 5 9 16 34 16 3 2 11 14 27 -31 25

More from Korea Republic - K-League 1

Read more about K-League 1

The K League 1 is the top level of the South Korean football league pyramid. It was founded in 1983 as the Korean Super League, later renamed K League Classic and in 2018 renamed K League 1. It currently has twelve teams playing 33 fixtures each, then enter championship and relegation rounds.