Soccer match preview: Home crowd has high hopes when Shabana welcomes Migori Youth

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Competition: Kenya Super League
Competition: Wed 14.July
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Narok County Stadium (30000 seats)

Super League: Top level against subpar, at least according to the table. Shabana - Migori Youth. Home win as expected or a surprise result?

Insights:
  • Shabana have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Shabana have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Migori Youth have scored away.

Shabana have less rest than Migori Youth in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Super League game only four days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at MCF.

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Shabana form and stats

Shabana have played 13 Super League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 7-3-3 (wins-draws-losses). After failing to beat MCF here at Narok County Stadium, Shabana has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

Shabana are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-1 away versus MCF.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Kisumu Hot Stars in a game that was won 2-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Shabana matches with similar probabilities have ended with zero wins, zero draws and one defeat (from one game).

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Shabana as they are travelling to their away game against SoNy Sugar in the Super League. That match is four days after this one.

The Shabana fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 20 goals in 13 league matches. Shabana have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Migori Youth form and stats

Migori Youth have only collected 7 points from their away games in the Super League, after 1-4-8 (13 played).

Migori Youth are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 2-2 draw at MCF (placed 6th).

Prior to that match, the Migori manager faced defeat when travelling to Modern Coast Rangers and losing 0-1.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Migori Youth when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing zero times, drawing one and winning zero games.

The visitors have scored 8 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 16 goals have been conceded by Migori Youth in these games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Migori Youth - Shabana 3-2 earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last four matches): Shabana two wins, one draw and Migori Youth one victory. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two games had two or less.

Shabana missing players

Migori Youth missing players

Shabana Migori Youth
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 4 13 24
11 7 3 Won W 1 1 6
8 3 1 Drew D 3 4 9
8 3 0 Lost L 0 8 9
36 20 7 Scored S 5 8 20
28 11 2 Conceded C 3 16 24
89% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 85% 83%
63% 62% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 54% 58%
52% 46% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 38% 29%
26% 31% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 8% 8%
7% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
56% 46% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 38% 42%
33% 46% 75% Clean Sheets C S 50% 23% 33%
22% 15% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 54% 42%
 
3.6 4.8 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4 3.9
4 2.8 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4 3.6
1.1 0.8 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.4 1
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7.2 5 3.3 Shots (avg) S ( 4 4.6 5.3
3.7 4.8 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.4 3.7
40% 32% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 25% 19%
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Migori Youth have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Shabana have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Migori Youth have scored away.
  • Shabana have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Talanta 25 14 6 5 40 20 14 8 4 2 21 9 11 6 2 3 19 11 20 48
2 Police 26 10 14 2 39 23 14 3 11 0 20 12 12 7 3 2 19 11 16 44
3 Kibera Black Stars 26 12 7 7 36 33 13 10 2 1 22 12 13 2 5 6 14 21 3 43
4 Fortune Sacco 25 11 8 6 33 24 14 8 4 2 22 12 11 3 4 4 11 12 9 41
5 Shabana 27 11 8 8 36 28 13 7 3 3 20 11 14 4 5 5 16 17 8 41
6 MCF 26 9 11 6 36 32 13 5 5 3 19 16 13 4 6 3 17 16 4 38
7 Mwatate United 25 11 4 10 38 38 13 6 2 5 24 24 12 5 2 5 14 14 0 37
8 Vihiga Bullets 23 10 6 7 34 27 11 5 5 1 15 9 12 5 1 6 19 18 7 36
9 Chemelil 9 4 2 3 10 9 4 3 1 0 6 2 5 1 1 3 4 7 1 14
9 Kisumu All Stars 23 9 7 7 34 28 11 7 3 1 18 8 12 2 4 6 16 20 6 34
10 APS Bomet 25 8 10 7 35 31 11 5 3 3 16 11 14 3 7 4 19 20 4 34
11 Murang'a SEAL 26 8 7 11 28 28 13 5 2 6 16 14 13 3 5 5 12 14 0 31
12 Modern Coast Rangers 27 8 7 12 33 37 14 5 5 4 22 17 13 3 2 8 11 20 -4 31
13 Nairobi Stima 27 8 7 12 37 45 13 5 2 6 22 25 14 3 5 6 15 20 -8 31
14 SoNy Sugar 23 8 6 9 30 34 11 4 3 4 13 16 12 4 3 5 17 18 -4 30
15 Silibwet 23 7 7 9 31 38 10 5 3 2 18 12 13 2 4 7 13 26 -7 28
15 Ushuru 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Migori Youth 24 6 9 9 20 24 11 5 5 1 12 8 13 1 4 8 8 16 -4 27
17 Kisumu Hot Stars 24 7 6 11 18 29 12 6 4 2 12 6 12 1 2 9 6 23 -11 27
18 Nakumatt 25 5 11 9 34 44 13 4 4 5 19 24 12 1 7 4 15 20 -10 26
19 Coast Stima 25 6 7 12 29 41 13 4 4 5 17 21 12 2 3 7 12 20 -12 25
20 Soy United 25 3 10 12 20 37 13 3 5 5 10 16 12 0 5 7 10 21 -17 19