Super League match prediction: Little separates Migori Youth and Shabana in quality

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Competition: Kenya Super League
Competition: Sat 26.February
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Migori Stadium (25000 seats)

Match-goers at Migori Stadium haven’t seen many wins this season, with Migori Youth decaying in the 19th position. The visiting Shabana will try to defend their higher league spot in this match.

Insights:
  • Migori Youth have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Shabana have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Migori Youth and Shabana should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

L L D W L

Migori Youth form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Super League this season. Migori Youth have only managed 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their games here at Migori Stadium.

Migori Youth lost their last game at Zoo Kericho (placed 5th) after a 1-3 scoreline.

Preceding that match was the home game against MCF that was lost 2-3.

This is expected to be a close game, with Migori Youth perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Migori as a small favourite), we find four games. Migori Youth has won three of these, drawn one and lost zero.

Migori Youth are traveling soon after this match as the Super League match at Modern Coast Rangers awaits in four days.

Migori aren't scoring a lot here at Migori Stadium in the league, with only 4 goals from 6 games. 8 goals have been conceded.

L L L W L

Shabana form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Shabana so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 1-1-4 (win-draw-lose). Recent form does not give Shabana much hope, as the visitors have lost three games in a row. Migori Youth will be a tough nut to crack.

Shabana might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. APS Bomet proved too strong as Shabana slumped to a 1-3 defeat in front of their own fans.

Preceding that game, the 2-3 loss visiting Kibera Black Stars's place.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Shabana playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were three Shabana wins, one draw and seven defeats.

After this away game Shabana return home for a Super League game against Vihiga United. That game is only four sleeps after this.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Shabana's away games in the league this season with only 3 goals from 6 matches. Shabana's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 9 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

As for the last five games between these two teams, there's one Migori Youth victory, two draws and two Shabana wins. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Migori Youth missing players

Shabana missing players

Migori Youth Shabana
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
12 6 2 Played P 1 6 12
1 1 1 Won W 0 1 5
5 1 0 Drew D 1 1 2
6 4 1 Lost L 0 4 5
10 4 1 Scored S 0 3 13
18 8 1 Conceded C 0 9 14
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 83% 92%
75% 50% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 33% 67%
25% 17% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 33%
25% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 25%
8% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 8%
67% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 17% 33%
8% 17% 50% Clean Sheets C S 100% 33% 42%
25% 50% 50% Failed to Score F T 100% 67% 33%
 
3 2 0 Corners for (avg) C F 6 6.5 6
5 4 0 Corners against (avg) C A 6 4.2 4
1.2 1.5 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.2 1.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7.5 7.5 0 Shots (avg) S ( 7 13.2 11.3
4 4 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 3.5 3.7
31% 38% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 14% 27%
 
5 3 0 Shots against (avg) S A 7 14.5 11.7
3.2 2.5 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 5.8 4.2
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Migori Youth have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Migori Youth haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Shabana have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fortune Sacco 12 8 3 1 15 6 6 5 1 0 9 1 6 3 2 1 6 5 9 27
2 APS Bomet 12 8 2 2 15 8 6 3 2 1 5 3 6 5 0 1 10 5 7 26
3 Murang'a SEAL 12 7 2 3 19 11 6 5 0 1 13 3 6 2 2 2 6 8 8 23
4 Naivas 12 6 2 4 17 12 6 4 1 1 7 1 6 2 1 3 10 11 5 20
5 Zoo Kericho 12 5 4 3 21 16 6 4 1 1 10 4 6 1 3 2 11 12 5 19
6 Muhoroni Youth 12 5 4 3 15 11 6 3 1 2 8 6 6 2 3 1 7 5 4 19
7 MCF 12 5 3 4 16 17 6 2 2 2 10 10 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 18
8 Kibera Black Stars 12 5 2 5 12 10 6 3 1 2 7 4 6 2 1 3 5 6 2 17
9 Shabana 12 5 2 5 13 14 6 4 1 1 10 5 6 1 1 4 3 9 -1 17
10 Dandora Love 12 5 2 5 16 19 6 1 2 3 8 13 6 4 0 2 8 6 -3 17
11 Vihiga United 12 4 4 4 14 13 6 3 3 0 8 5 6 1 1 4 6 8 1 16
12 Modern Coast Rangers 12 5 1 6 12 11 6 4 1 1 8 4 6 1 0 5 4 7 1 16
13 Coast Stima 12 4 2 6 16 16 6 3 2 1 15 9 6 1 0 5 1 7 0 14
13 Western Stima 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
14 Kisumu All Stars 12 3 5 4 13 14 6 3 3 0 9 4 6 0 2 4 4 10 -1 14
15 Silibwet 12 4 2 6 16 22 6 1 2 3 5 8 6 3 0 3 11 14 -6 14
16 Mara Sugar 12 3 4 5 18 17 6 3 2 1 11 5 6 0 2 4 7 12 1 13
16 Muhoroni Youth 6 1 2 3 3 4 3 0 1 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 -1 5
17 Gusii 12 2 7 3 11 15 6 2 3 1 7 7 6 0 4 2 4 8 -4 13
18 Assad 12 2 5 5 13 21 6 2 2 2 9 10 6 0 3 3 4 11 -8 11
19 Migori Youth 12 1 5 6 10 18 6 1 1 4 4 8 6 0 4 2 6 10 -8 8
20 Mwatate United 12 1 3 8 8 19 6 1 1 4 7 10 6 0 2 4 1 9 -11 6