Home advantage could prove decisive in MCF - Gusii battle

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Competition: Kenya Super League
Competition: Sun 13.February
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Thika Municipal Stadium (1200 seats)

MCF have taken 7 of their 17 in total here in the safety of their own home. Will they claim the win against Gusii?

Insights:
  • MCF have the most conceded goals in the first half (7) in Super League
  • Gusii have yet to win a game away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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MCF form and stats

When playing at home in the Super League, MCF have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and suffered 2 defeats from 5 games.

A good away victory last time out for MCF, who won 3-2 against Migori Youth (placed 19th).

Before that match, a win away at Mwatate United.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how MCF have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won two times, drawn two and lost three.

The MCF fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 9 goals in 5 league matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 9 goals have been conceded.

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Gusii form and stats

As the visiting team in Super League matches, Gusii have produced an overall stat of 0-3-2 so far. Sharing is caring, but Gusii are perhaps overdoing it with their four draws in a row.

Gusii's last game was the home draw against Murang'a SEAL (0-0).

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Fortune Sacco that ended 0-0.

The visitors have scored 3 goals from 5 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 7 goals have been conceded by Gusii in these games.

Head 2 Head

MCF missing players

Gusii missing players

MCF Gusii
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 5 1 Played P 1 5 11
5 2 1 Won W 0 0 2
2 1 0 Drew D 0 3 6
4 2 0 Lost L 1 2 3
15 9 3 Scored S 1 3 10
16 9 2 Conceded C 4 7 14
91% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 60% 73%
64% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 40% 64%
45% 60% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 40% 45%
36% 60% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 40% 27%
27% 40% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 100% 20% 9%
36% 40% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 40% 45%
36% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 40% 36%
36% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 60% 45%
 
3.8 3.2 5 Corners for (avg) C F 1 1 5
2.8 2.8 1 Corners against (avg) C A 4 4 4
1 1.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1 1.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
10.3 11.2 15 Shots (avg) S ( 5 5 5
3.9 3.8 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 2.5
48% 60% 75% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 33% 20%
 
11 10.8 8 Shots against (avg) S A 12 12 9
4.1 3.8 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 7 5
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Gusii have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Gusii have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Gusii have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Gusii have yet to win a game away.
  • MCF have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • MCF have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Gusii have scored away.
  • MCF have the most conceded goals in the first half (7) in Super League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fortune Sacco 11 7 3 1 14 6 6 5 1 0 9 1 5 2 2 1 5 5 8 24
2 APS Bomet 11 7 2 2 12 7 6 3 2 1 5 3 5 4 0 1 7 4 5 23
3 Murang'a SEAL 11 6 2 3 16 11 5 4 0 1 10 3 6 2 2 2 6 8 5 20
4 Muhoroni Youth 11 5 3 3 13 9 5 3 0 2 6 4 6 2 3 1 7 5 4 18
5 Naivas 11 5 2 4 15 12 5 3 1 1 5 1 6 2 1 3 10 11 3 17
6 Shabana 11 5 2 4 12 11 5 4 1 0 9 2 6 1 1 4 3 9 1 17
7 Dandora Love 11 5 2 4 15 16 5 1 2 2 7 10 6 4 0 2 8 6 -1 17
8 MCF 11 5 2 4 15 16 5 2 1 2 9 9 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 17
9 Zoo Kericho 11 4 4 3 18 15 5 3 1 1 7 3 6 1 3 2 11 12 3 16
10 Vihiga United 11 4 4 3 14 11 6 3 3 0 8 5 5 1 1 3 6 6 3 16
11 Modern Coast Rangers 11 5 1 5 12 10 5 4 1 0 8 3 6 1 0 5 4 7 2 16
12 Kibera Black Stars 11 5 1 5 11 9 6 3 1 2 7 4 5 2 0 3 4 5 2 16
13 Coast Stima 11 4 2 5 16 14 6 3 2 1 15 9 5 1 0 4 1 5 2 14
13 Western Stima 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
14 Kisumu All Stars 11 3 4 4 12 13 5 3 2 0 8 3 6 0 2 4 4 10 -1 13
15 Gusii 11 2 6 3 10 14 6 2 3 1 7 7 5 0 3 2 3 7 -4 12
16 Muhoroni Youth 6 1 2 3 3 4 3 0 1 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 -1 5
16 Silibwet 11 3 2 6 13 21 6 1 2 3 5 8 5 2 0 3 8 13 -8 11
17 Mara Sugar 11 2 4 5 16 17 5 2 2 1 9 5 6 0 2 4 7 12 -1 10
18 Assad 11 2 4 5 11 19 6 2 2 2 9 10 5 0 2 3 2 9 -8 10
19 Migori Youth 11 1 5 5 9 15 6 1 1 4 4 8 5 0 4 1 5 7 -6 8
20 Mwatate United 11 1 3 7 8 16 6 1 1 4 7 10 5 0 2 3 1 6 -8 6