Shield Cup: Tusker - KCB prediction and detailed statistics

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Competition: Kenya Shield Cup
Competition: Sat 29.April
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)

Perhaps a welcome break from league football as Tusker & KCB face off to decide who makes it to next stage of the Shield Cup. All the pre-match information is available here!

15-11-8 (wins/draws/losses). These are the numbers for KCB when playing away games on grass, which is not the surface they have on their own home stadium (which has artifical turf). Their goal statistics from those 34 matches are 40-26 (scored/conceded).

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Tusker form and stats

Tusker have performed here this season with 10 wins from 14 Premier League matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 0.

The Tusker followers enjoyed the previous fixture, watching their team host KCB and win 1-0.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Nzoia United (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Tusker have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 10 times, drawn 5 and lost 0.

Tusker are traveling soon after this match as the Premier League match at Nairobi City Stars awaits in four days.

Tusker have proved capable of finding the net in their games here with 22 goals in 14 league matches. From these home matches, Tusker have conceded only 7 goals.

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KCB form and stats

KCB have an excellent away record in the Premier League so far with 8-4-2 from 14 games.

Two away games in a row for KCB, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Tusker.

A 2-2 draw at Leopards's stadium before that.

After this away game KCB return home for a Premier League game against Bandari. That game is only four sleeps after this.

KCB have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 14 league away games 16 goals have been scored. KCB are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 8 times in 14 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Tusker have won or drawn the last 10 fixtures (4-6-0) against KCB.

Tusker missing players

KCB missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Tusker KCB
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   12 25
15 8   Won W   6 12
6 4   Drew D   4 8
4 0   Lost L   2 5
33 17   Scored S   14 29
20 6   Conceded C   8 17
92% 83%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   83% 84%
60% 58%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   50% 56%
40% 33%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   42% 40%
16% 17%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   8% 4%
4% 0%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   0% 0%
44% 42%   BTTS BTTS   42% 44%
48% 58%   Clean Sheets C S   50% 48%
16% 17%   Failed to Score F T   25% 24%
 
3.7 3   Corners for (avg) C F   4.4 4.1
3.7 4   Corners against (avg) C A   3.7 3.3
1.3 1.5   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.3 1.2
1 1   Red cards R C   0 0
 
10.3 7.6   Shots (avg) S (   7.2 7
3.7 3   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.8 2.7
35% 47%   Goal Efficiency G E   42% 44%
 
7.3 4.1   Shots against (avg) S A   7.2 6.3
3 1.9   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   2.4 2.3

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gor Mahia 27 17 8 2 43 18 13 10 2 1 24 5 14 7 6 1 18 10 25 59
2 Tusker 27 17 6 4 39 20 14 10 4 0 22 7 13 7 2 4 15 13 19 57
3 Nzoia United 27 15 9 3 37 17 14 7 7 0 19 7 13 8 2 3 18 10 20 54
4 KCB 27 14 7 6 32 18 13 6 3 4 14 9 14 8 4 2 16 8 14 49
5 Police 26 13 7 6 42 17 12 5 4 3 17 8 14 8 3 3 24 9 25 46
6 Ulinzi Stars 27 10 10 7 31 27 14 7 5 2 18 12 13 3 5 5 11 14 4 40
7 Bandari 26 12 4 10 27 23 13 7 1 5 18 15 13 5 3 5 9 8 4 40
8 Homeboyz 27 10 9 8 29 20 13 3 5 5 11 11 14 7 4 3 18 9 9 39
9 Leopards 27 11 9 7 25 18 13 5 5 3 9 9 14 6 4 4 16 8 7 39
10 Posta Rangers 27 10 8 9 29 34 14 3 4 7 10 20 13 7 4 2 18 10 -5 38
11 Kariobangi Sharks 27 9 9 9 43 40 13 4 4 5 20 22 14 5 5 4 23 18 3 36
12 Bidco United 27 7 7 13 30 30 14 2 3 9 10 17 13 5 4 4 17 11 0 28
13 Sofapaka 26 6 10 10 24 32 14 4 5 5 14 15 12 2 5 5 10 13 -8 28
14 Nairobi City Stars 27 7 6 14 28 37 13 3 3 7 15 17 14 4 3 7 13 20 -9 27
15 Talanta 27 6 9 12 29 43 14 3 4 7 14 25 13 3 5 5 15 18 -14 27
16 Mathare United 26 7 1 18 23 50 14 5 0 9 11 27 12 2 1 9 12 23 -27 22
17 Wazito 27 4 7 16 21 45 13 2 5 6 8 17 14 2 2 10 9 28 -24 19
18 Vihiga Bullets 27 2 2 23 18 61 13 2 0 11 8 29 14 0 2 12 10 32 -43 8

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gor Mahia 27 17 8 2 43 18 13 10 2 1 24 5 14 7 6 1 18 10 25 59
2 Tusker 27 17 6 4 39 20 14 10 4 0 22 7 13 7 2 4 15 13 19 57
3 Nzoia United 27 15 9 3 37 17 14 7 7 0 19 7 13 8 2 3 18 10 20 54
4 KCB 27 14 7 6 32 18 13 6 3 4 14 9 14 8 4 2 16 8 14 49
5 Police 26 13 7 6 42 17 12 5 4 3 17 8 14 8 3 3 24 9 25 46
6 Ulinzi Stars 27 10 10 7 31 27 14 7 5 2 18 12 13 3 5 5 11 14 4 40
7 Bandari 26 12 4 10 27 23 13 7 1 5 18 15 13 5 3 5 9 8 4 40
8 Homeboyz 27 10 9 8 29 20 13 3 5 5 11 11 14 7 4 3 18 9 9 39
9 Leopards 27 11 9 7 25 18 13 5 5 3 9 9 14 6 4 4 16 8 7 39
10 Posta Rangers 27 10 8 9 29 34 14 3 4 7 10 20 13 7 4 2 18 10 -5 38
11 Kariobangi Sharks 27 9 9 9 43 40 13 4 4 5 20 22 14 5 5 4 23 18 3 36
12 Bidco United 27 7 7 13 30 30 14 2 3 9 10 17 13 5 4 4 17 11 0 28
13 Sofapaka 26 6 10 10 24 32 14 4 5 5 14 15 12 2 5 5 10 13 -8 28
14 Nairobi City Stars 27 7 6 14 28 37 13 3 3 7 15 17 14 4 3 7 13 20 -9 27
15 Talanta 27 6 9 12 29 43 14 3 4 7 14 25 13 3 5 5 15 18 -14 27
16 Mathare United 26 7 1 18 23 50 14 5 0 9 11 27 12 2 1 9 12 23 -27 22
17 Wazito 27 4 7 16 21 45 13 2 5 6 8 17 14 2 2 10 9 28 -24 19
18 Vihiga Bullets 27 2 2 23 18 61 13 2 0 11 8 29 14 0 2 12 10 32 -43 8

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