Premier League match prediction: Little separates Tusker and Gor Mahia in quality

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Competition: Kenya Premier League
Competition: Thu 08.July
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kinoru Stadium (60000 seats)

Premier League: Two teams who have done well so far. Let's get ready for Tusker - Gor Mahia with this comprehensive preview!

Insights:
  • Tusker have the most scored goals (39) in Premier League
  • Gor Mahia have the most points (24) away in Premier League

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

These teams are so close in distance that this match is special, a derby with local pride the main prize.

W W W L W

Tusker form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Kinoru Stadium as Tusker have scored 13 goals to get 24 points from 11 games. The overall stats in the Premier League are 7-3-1 (wins-draws-losses).

Tusker are returning here after visiting Ulinzi Stars in a Premier League game and winning with a 4-1 scoreline.

Before that, Tusker had a home game versus Western Stima which ended with a victory 2-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Tusker perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Tusker as a small favourite), we find nine games. Tusker has won five of these, drawn four and lost zero.

Tusker are traveling soon after this match as the Premier League match at KCB awaits in two days.

Tusker has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. Tusker are not conceding a lot of goals here at Kinoru Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 11 matches.

D L D W W

Gor Mahia form and stats

The away team have been very comfortable on their travels so far, racking up 8 wins, 0 draws and only 2 losses in the Premier League. Mahia has been amazing away for a time now, winning six in a row on their travels. The last time they went home with a point loss was against Nzoia United.

Mahia's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Bandari that finished 0-0.

Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Western Stima.

Gor Mahia have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 20 goals from 10 away matches. Mahia have conceded 11 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Gor Mahia - Tusker 1-2. Last ten meetings between the teams: Tusker won four, Gor Mahia won four and two draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, eight matches with two goals or less.

Tusker missing players

Gor Mahia missing players

Tusker Gor Mahia
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 3 Played P 2 10 22
14 7 1 Won W 1 8 12
5 3 2 Drew D 0 0 3
3 1 0 Lost L 1 2 7
39 13 4 Scored S 6 20 28
18 6 2 Conceded C 5 11 20
91% 82% 33% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 86%
59% 36% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 50%
50% 27% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 70% 45%
27% 9% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 40% 23%
18% 9% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 10% 5%
55% 36% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 70% 45%
41% 55% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 30% 41%
14% 27% 67% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 27%
 
4 4.3 1 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 3.5 4.8
4.9 5.1 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4.2 3.8
1.3 1.3 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.7
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
7.2 7.4 6 Shots (avg) S ( 5 4.5 6.3
3.8 3.6 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3.4 3.4
47% 32% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 63% 37%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Gor Mahia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Gor Mahia have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Gor Mahia have the most points (24) away in Premier League
  • Gor Mahia have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Gor Mahia haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Tusker have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Tusker have the most scored goals (39) in Premier League
  • Tusker have the most scored goals in the first half (15) in Premier League
  • Tusker have the most scored goals in the second half (22) in Premier League
  • Tusker have the the best goal difference (+21) in Premier League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tusker 22 14 5 3 39 18 11 7 3 1 13 6 11 7 2 2 26 12 21 47
2 KCB 22 14 4 4 29 14 11 9 0 2 15 6 11 5 4 2 14 8 15 46
3 Leopards 22 12 4 6 25 17 12 8 0 4 14 10 10 4 4 2 11 7 8 40
4 Gor Mahia 22 12 3 7 28 20 12 4 3 5 8 9 10 8 0 2 20 11 8 39
5 Kariobangi Sharks 23 10 5 8 30 29 11 3 4 4 14 13 12 7 1 4 16 16 1 35
6 Bandari 22 8 9 5 31 25 12 6 3 3 24 16 10 2 6 2 7 9 6 33
7 Nairobi City Stars 23 9 6 8 25 19 11 6 3 2 17 8 12 3 3 6 8 11 6 33
8 Homeboyz 22 9 4 9 28 23 11 5 3 3 15 7 11 4 1 6 13 16 5 31
9 Wazito 22 8 7 7 20 21 11 5 4 2 15 10 11 3 3 5 5 11 -1 31
10 Ulinzi Stars 22 6 10 6 18 18 11 5 4 2 12 9 11 1 6 4 6 9 0 28
11 Sofapaka 23 7 7 9 24 28 11 4 5 2 17 12 12 3 2 7 7 16 -4 28
12 Bidco United 21 6 9 6 17 19 11 4 3 4 10 12 10 2 6 2 7 7 -2 27
13 Posta Rangers 22 5 11 6 17 22 11 1 6 4 7 14 11 4 5 2 10 8 -5 26
14 Nzoia United 21 3 8 10 18 26 10 3 5 2 12 11 11 0 3 8 6 15 -8 17
15 Western Stima 23 3 8 12 23 41 10 1 3 6 9 18 13 2 5 6 14 23 -18 17
16 Vihiga United 22 3 7 12 10 27 11 1 3 7 4 13 11 2 4 5 6 14 -17 16
17 Mathare United 22 3 5 14 17 32 11 2 4 5 8 11 11 1 1 9 9 21 -15 14
18 Zoo Kericho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gor Mahia:
Premier League: